Compulsory military service and personality development

Compulsory military service is a uniformed life event disrupting the lives of young men (and sometimes women) in countries with conscription. Consequently, the development of personality and subjective well-being during service was investigated using representative population data from the German Socio-Economic Panel. In line with previous findings, men who chose military service revealed descriptively lower agreeableness than those who did civil service (d = -0.33). Contrasting previous research, agreeableness ratings remained stable in both groups. Conscientiousness increased in both groups (n2 = .067). The potentially disruptive nature of conscription is not reflected in the present longitudinal results.Overall, personality traits and life satisfaction appear to remain remarkably stable despite the substantial changes of living environments and daily routines associated with military service

How to Get Better: Taking Notes Mediates the Effect of a Video Tutorial on Number Series

In recent studies, test-score increases have been shown in rule-based intelligence test tasks, such as number series, after watching a corresponding video tutorial. An open question remains regarding the mechanisms involved. Specifically, taking notes to describe the relations between numbers might be linked to test scores, and is hypothesized to mediate the effect of a number series video tutorial on number series test scores. Therefore, an experimental group (EG) watching a number series video tutorial (n = 58) was compared with a control group (CG) watching an irrelevant tutorial (n = 52) before working on number series items. Results revealed higher number series scores in the EG than the CG (d = .48), more items with provided notes in the EG than in the CG (d = .41), and substantial correlations between the number of items with notes and the number series sum scores in both groups (EG: r = .66; CG: r = .75). The effect of the video tutorial on the number series sum score was mediated by the number of items with notes (indirect effect = 3.41, SE = 1.74). Theoretical and practical implications as well as future research directions are discussed

Network of recurrent events for the Olami-Feder-Christensen model

We numerically study the dynamics of a discrete spring-block model introduced by Olami, Feder and Christensen (OFC) to mimic earthquakes and investigate to which extent this simple model is able to reproduce the observed spatiotemporal clustering of seismicty. Following a recently proposed method to characterize such clustering by networks of recurrent events [Geophys. Res. Lett. {\bf 33}, L1304, 2006], we find that for synthetic catalogs generated by the OFC model these networks have many non-trivial statistical properties. This includes characteristic degree distributions -- very similar to what has been observed for real seismicity. There are, however, also significant differences between the OFC model and earthquake catalogs indicating that this simple model is insufficient to account for certain aspects of the spatiotemporal clustering of seismicity.Comment: 11 pages, 16 figure

Inferring functional extinction based on sighting records

© The Author(s), 2016. This is the author's version of the work and is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License. The definitive version was published in Biological Conservation 199 (2016): 84-87, doi:10.1016/j.biocon.2016.04.034.The term functional extinction is used to describe a permanent failure of reproduction or recruitment in a population. Functional extinction results in a truncation of the age distribution, but this can be very difficult to detect in poorly studied populations. Here, we describe a novel statistical method for detecting functional extinction based on a sighting record of individuals of known or estimated ages. The method is based on a simple population dynamics model and simulation results show that it works well even with limited data. The method is illustrated using a sighting record of the ship sturgeon (Acipenser nudiventris) in the Danube River. The results indicate that this population is functionally extinct, most likely by 2002. Management implications of this finding are discussed.The authors also acknowledge the sponsorship provided by the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation and the Federal German Ministry for Education and Research, as well as the support by the Project No. 173045, funded by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia.2017-05-1

Seismic Interferometry at the TIMO2-network, Germany

Using seismic interferometry, we analyze the seismic noise wavefield around the city of Landau, Germany. The crosscorrelation functions (CCFs) are investigated with respect to signals which might contain information on the underground and its temporal variations. The used data set comes from the TIMO2-project (TIMO: Deep Structure of the Central Upper Rhine Graben). Since the summer of 2009, seismic stations have been installed especially to detect induced seismicity in the region of Landau. The obtained CCFs are dominated by signals with frequencies between 0.4 and 0.8 Hz which are strongly asymmetric. We will present the results of the ongoing work to characterize and identify the source(s) of these signals

Extreme value and record statistics in heavy-tailed processes with long-range memory

Extreme events are an important theme in various areas of science because of their typically devastating effects on society and their scientific complexities. The latter is particularly true if the underlying dynamics does not lead to independent extreme events as often observed in natural systems. Here, we focus on this case and consider stationary stochastic processes that are characterized by long-range memory and heavy-tailed distributions, often called fractional L\'evy noise. While the size distribution of extreme events is not affected by the long-range memory in the asymptotic limit and remains a Fr\'echet distribution, there are strong finite-size effects if the memory leads to persistence in the underlying dynamics. Moreover, we show that this persistence is also present in the extreme events, which allows one to make a time-dependent hazard assessment of future extreme events based on events observed in the past. This has direct applications in the field of space weather as we discuss specifically for the case of the solar power influx into the magnetosphere. Finally, we show how the statistics of records, or record-breaking extreme events, is affected by the presence of long-range memory.Comment: 15 pages, 20 figures, accepted for publication in AGU Monographs: Complexity and Extreme Events in Geoscienc