FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI STABILITAS EKONOMI SERTA IMBASNYA TERHADAP KINERJA SEKTOR KEUANGAN DI INDONESIA (PENDEKATAN COINTEGRATION, ERROR CORRECTION MODEL DAN FINANCIAL DEEPENING)

The research and study cover a theoretical discussion and empirical study on factors affecting the Economic stability and their impact on the performance of the financial sector based on Quartely data from 2001Q1 to 2017Q2. The research employs the Cointegration and Engle Granger-Error Correction Model (ECM) approach by applying the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The ECM is performed to anticipate the possibility of errors and disparity between the theoretical model and the statistical model as well as to identify long-term balance and validity of the model employed in the research. The research results indicate that within a long-term period, there is balance between changes in the GDP and the monetary variables i.e.  interest rate, inflation, M2 and rupiah exchange rate despite the fact that the M2 variable does not significantly affect the GDP within the observed period. On the other hand, within a short-term period changes in the GDP affected significantly by the ECT variable. Within such a period, interest rate, inflation, M2 and exchange rate variables do not significantly affect GDP. Thus, it can be concluded that the GDP tend to respond to changes occurring in monetary variables, especially interest rate, inflation and M2. Currently, the result of financial performance analysis shows that the average of the financial deepening quartely in Indonesia during the observation period is 3.80 percent. In addition, the quartely average of Indonesia's economic growth was 1.36 percent, while M2 growth during the same period was 3.03 percent

Case Study of Teaching Meta Communicative Competence Issues in Learners with ID

Nowadays, the fact of lack of knowledge of bilingualism due to the changed volume ratio in the teaching of writing is becoming more and more apparent, especially to learners with intellectual disabilities. The emergence of complex processes marks this fact is interference and convergence of speech, which are sources of better speaking and writing in bilingualism.The purpose of the study is to identify the specific difficulties of teaching writing to younger bilingual schoolchildren with ID and to develop a productive speech therapy system for the prevention and correction of violations of higher mental functions that they have.The object of research is the features of teaching children with speech deficiency and with ID to writing in bilingual conditions.The subject of the research is the process of preventing and overcoming problems in the bilingual conditions of teaching children with speech and ID functions deficiency

Weather radar for urban hydrological applications: lessons learnt and research needs identified from 4 pilot catchments in North-West Europe

International audienceThis study investigates the impact of rainfall estimates of different spatial resolutions on the hydraulic outputs of the models of four of the EU RainGain project’s pilot locations (the Cranbrook catchment (UK), the Herent catchment (Belgium), the Morée-Sausset catchment (France) and the Kralingen District (The Netherlands)). Two storm events, one convective and one stratiform, measured by a polarimetric X-band radar located in Cabauw (The Netherlands) were selected for analysis. The original radar estimates, at 100 m and 1 min resolutions, were aggregated to a spatial resolution of 1000 m. These estimates were then applied to the high-resolution semi-distributed hydraulic models of the four urban catchments, all of which have similar size (between 5 and 8 km2), but different morphological, hydrological and hydraulic characteristics. When doing so, methodologies for standardising rainfall inputs and making results comparable were implemented. The response of the different catchments to rainfall inputs of varying spatial resolution is analysed in the light of model configuration, catchment and storm characteristics. Rather surprisingly, the results show that for the two events under consideration the spatial resolution (i.e. 100 m vs 1000 m) of rainfall inputs does not have a significant influence on the outputs of urban drainage models. The present study will soon be extended to more storms as well as model structures and resolutions, with the final aim of identifying critical spatial-temporal resolutions for urban catchment modelling in relation to catchment and storm event characteristics

VOLATILITAS NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH TERHADAP DOLAR AS DAN FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHINYA DI INDONESIA (PENDEKATAN COINTEGRATION DAN ENGLE GRANGER-ERROR CORECTION MODEL)

The research and study cover a theoretical discussion and empirical study on Volatility Of Rupiah Exchange Rate to Us Dollar And Factors that it Influence based on Quartely data from Q12001 to Q42015 . The research employs the Cointegration and Engle Granger-Error Correction Model (ECM) approach by applying the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The ECM is performed to anticipate the possibility of errors and disparity between the theoretical model and the statistical model as well as to identify long-term balance and validity of the model employed in the research. The research results indicate that within a long-term period, there is balance between changes in the rupiah exchange rate and macro-economic variables, i.e. interest rate and inflation within the observed period. On the other hand, within a short-term period changes in the rupiah exchange rate are affected significantly by interest rate, inflation and the ECT variable. Within such a period, PDB, and M2 variables do not significantly affect the volatility of rupiah exchange rate. Thus, it can be concluded that the rupiah exchange rate tend to respond to changes occurring in macro-economic variables, especially interest rate and inflation

Large N Free Energy of 3d N=4 SCFTs and AdS/CFT

We provide a non-trivial check of the AdS_4/CFT_3 correspondence recently proposed in arXiv:1106.4253 by verifying the GKPW relation in the large N limit. The CFT free energy is obtained from the previous works (arXiv:1105.2551, arXiv:1105.4390) on the S^3 partition function for 3-dimensional N=4 SCFT T[SU(N)]. This is matched with the computation of the type IIB action on the corresponding gravity background. We unexpectedly find that the leading behavior of the free energy at large N is 1/2 N^2 ln N. We also extend our results to richer theories and argue that 1/2 N^2 ln N is the maximal free energy at large N in this class of gauge theories.Comment: 20 pages, 3 figure

Computing and Representing Sea Ice Trends: Toward a Community Consensus

Estimates of the recent decline in Arctic Ocean summer sea ice extent can vary due to differences in sea ice data sources, in the number of years used to compute the trend, and in the start and end years used in the trend computation. Compounding such differences, estimates of the relative decline in sea ice cover (given in percent change per decade) can further vary due to the choice of reference value (the initial point of the trend line, a climatological baseline, etc.). Further adding to the confusion, very often when relative trends are reported in research papers, the reference values used are not specified or made clear. This can lead to confusion when trend studies are cited in the press and public reports

Cold Water and High Ice Cover on Great Lakes in Spring 2014

Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/108350/1/eost2014EO340001.pd

Insulin Resistance and Contrainsular Response in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND: The number of patients with diabetes mellitus (DM) is progressively increasing all over the world. Over the past three decades, the global burden of diabetes has increased from 30 million in 1985 to 382 million in 2015, and current trends indicate that the prevalence of diabetes grows progressively. The phenomenon of insulin resistance established in the majority of type 2 DM (T2DM) patients. T2DM is associated with β-cell deficiency, α-cell resistance to insulin, and reduced effects of incretin. However, the role of insulin and glucagon in the process of cardiovascular complications in diabetic patients is a matter of debate. AIM: Our study aims to estimate insulin resistance and the contrainsular response in patients with T2DM and acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: The 104 T2DM patients aged 18–70 years participated in the observational study carried out in the Karaganda regional cardiosurgery hospital and ambulatory. The first group included 37 patients hospitalized for ACS in the first 24 h of admission. The second group included 67 patients without ACS. Determination of insulin resistance and contrainsular response was provided using a multiplex immunological assay with XMap technology on Bioplex 3D. RESULTS: During the research, we have discovered a decreased level of glucagon and increased homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) in patients with T2DM diabetes and ACS. Evaluation of traditional correlation interactions of HOMA-IR and indicators of carbohydrate metabolism showed a positive correlation with fasting plasma glucose in both study groups (Group 1: R = 0.47, p = 0.003; Group 2: R = 0.41, p = 0.024). Glucagon-like peptide (GLP)-1 has a weak positive correlation with HOMA-IR only in the first group (R = 0.32, p = 0.006). Increased insulin resistance was associated with high GLP-1 levels and low glucagon. The logistic regression model established that an increased HOMA-IR index rises the chance of ACS by 10.6% (OR = 1.106 [95% CI 1.105–1.206], p = 0,021). The logistic regression model, reflecting the relation between glucagon and ACS, shows that increased glucagon reduces the ACS odds (OR = 0.989 [95% CI 0.979–0.999], p = 0.026). The adjusted regression model showed no significant influence of early presented factors on the probability of ACS. CONCLUSION: There is a trend toward elevated HOMA-IR insulin resistance index and decreased level of glucagon in diabetic patients with ACS

Localization of supersymmetric field theories on non-compact hyperbolic three-manifolds

We study supersymmetric gauge theories with an R-symmetry, defined on non-compact, hyperbolic, Riemannian three-manifolds, focusing on the case of a supersymmetry-preserving quotient of Euclidean AdS$_3$. We compute the exact partition function in these theories, using the method of localization, thus reducing the problem to the computation of one-loop determinants around a supersymmetric locus. We evaluate the one-loop determinants employing three different techniques: an index theorem, the method of pairing of eigenvalues, and the heat kernel method. Along the way, we discuss aspects of supersymmetry in manifolds with a conformal boundary, including supersymmetric actions and boundary conditions.Comment: v3:79p, minor clarifications and references adde