A probability-based approach to setting annual catch levels.

The requirement of setting annual catch limits to prevent overfishing has been added to the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Reauthorization Act of 2006 (MSRA). Because this requirement is new, a body of applied scientific practice for deriving annual catch limits and accompanying targets does not yet exist. This article demonstrates an approach to setting levels of catch that is intended to keep the probability of future overfishing at a preset low level. The proposed framework is based on stochastic projection with uncertainty in population dynamics. The framework extends common projection methodology by including uncertainty in the limit reference point and in management implementation, and by making explicit the risk of overfishing that managers consider acceptable. The approach is illustrated with application to gag (Mycteroperca microlepis), a grouper that inhabits the waters off the southeastern United States. Although devised to satisfy new legislation of the MSRA, the framework has potential application to any fishery where the management goal is to limit the risk of overfishing by controlling catch

What can the Midwest learn from California about emissions trading?

Clean Air Act of 1990 ; Environmental protection

User’s Guide to C2R: A Set of C Language Output Routines Compatible with the R Statistics Language

C2R is a collection of C routines for saving complex data structures into a file that can be read in the R statistics environment with a single command.1 C2R provides both the means to transfer data structures significantly more complex than simple tables, and an archive mechanism to store data for future reference. We developed this software because we write and run computationally intensive numerical models in Fortran, C++, and AD Model Builder. We then analyse results with R. We desired to automate data transfer to speed diagnostics during working-group meetings. We thus developed the C2R interface to write an R data object (of type list) to a plain-text file. The master list can contain any number of matrices, values, dataframes, vectors or lists, all of which can be read into R with a single call to the dget function. This allows easy transfer of structured data from compiled models to R. Having the capacity to transfer model data, metadata, and results has sharply reduced the time spent on diagnostics, and at the same time, our diagnostic capabilities have improved tremendously. The simplicity of this interface and the capabilities of R have enabled us to automate graph and table creation for formal reports. Finally, the persistent storage in files makes it easier to treat model results in analyses or meta-analyses devised months—or even years—later. We offer C2R to others in the hope that they will find it useful. (PDF contains 27 pages

User’s Guide to For2R: A Module of Fortran 95 Output Routines Compatible with the R Statistics Language

For2R is a collection of Fortran routines for saving complex data structures into a file that can be read in the R statistics environment with a single command.1 For2R provides both the means to transfer data structures significantly more complex than simple tables, and an archive mechanism to store data for future reference. We developed this software because we write and run computationally intensive numerical models in Fortran, C++, and AD Model Builder. We then analyse results with R. We desired to automate data transfer to speed diagnostics during working-group meetings. We thus developed the For2R interface to write an R data object (of type list) to a plain-text file. The master list can contain any number of matrices, values, dataframes, vectors or lists, all of which can be read into R with a single call to the dget function. This allows easy transfer of structured data from compiled models to R. Having the capacity to transfer model data, metadata, and results has sharply reduced the time spent on diagnostics, and at the same time, our diagnostic capabilities have improved tremendously. The simplicity of this interface and the capabilities of R have enabled us to automate graph and table creation for formal reports. Finally, the persistent storage in files makes it easier to treat model results in analyses or meta-analyses devised months—or even years—later. We offer For2R to others in the hope that they will find it useful. (PDF contains 31 pages

Population characteristics of gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus

The status of the Gulf menhaden, Brevoortia patronus, fishery was assessed with purse-seine landings data from 1946 to 1997 and port sampling data from 1964 to 1997. These data were analyzed to determine growth rates, biological reference points for fi shing mortality from yield per recruit and maximum spawning potential analyses, spawner-recruit relationships, and maximum sustainable yield (MSY). The separable virtual population approach was used for the period 1976–97 (augmented by earlier analyses for 1964–75) to obtain point estimates of stock size, recruits to age 1, spawning stock size, and fishing mortality rates. Exploitation rates for age-1 fi sh ranged between 11% and 45%, for age-2 fi sh between 32% and 72%, and for age-3 fi sh between 32% and 76%. Biological reference points from yield per recruit (F0.1: 1.5–2.5/yr) and spawning potential ratio (F20: 1.3–1.9/yr and F30: 0.8–1.2/yr) were obtained for comparison with recent estimates of F (0.6–0.8/yr). Recent spawning stock estimates (as biomass or eggs) are above the long-term average, while recent recruits to age 1 are comparable to the long-term average. Parameters from Ricker-type spawner-recruit relations were estimated, although considerable unexplained variability remained. Recent survival to age-1 recruitment has generally been below that expected based on the Ricker spawner-recruit relation. Estimates of long-term MSY from PRODFIT and ASPIC estimation of production model ranged between 717,000 t and 753,000 t, respectively. Declines in landings between 1988 and 1992 raised concerns about the status of the Gulf menhaden stock. Landings have fl uctuated without trend since 1992, averaging about 571,000 t. However, Gulf menhaden are short lived and highly fecund. Thus, variation in recruitment to age 1, largely mediated by environmental conditions, infl uences fi shing success over the next two years (as age-1 and age-2 fi sh). Comparisons of recent estimates of fi shing mortality to biological reference points do not suggest overfishing. (PDF file contains 22 pages.

Fecundity of Blue Crab, Callinectes Sapidus, in Chesapeake Bay: Biological, Statistical and Management Considerations

Ovigerous blue crabs were collected from the mouth of Chesapeake Bay during the 1986 and 1987 spawning seasons. Mean carapace width was 14.7 cm; mean fecundity was 3.2×106 eggs. Fecundity was significantly related to carapace width, and did not vary significantly with developmental stage of the eggs. Mean fecundities were 2.6×106 eggs in 1986, and 4.0×106 eggs in 1987. An additive model with year and size effects described the observed fecundities reasonably well, was compact, and was easier to interpret than a multiplicative model. To fit a more general model without year effects, the authors took the mean of 1986 and 1987 results, and modeled fecundity as E=-2.25+0.38W, where E is predicted fecundity (106 eggs), and W is carapace width (cm)

Estimates of Spawning Stock Size of Blue Crab, Callinectes Sapidus, in Chesapeake Bay, 1986-1987

The 1986 spawning stock exhibited a single abundance peak, increasing from 1.0×105 individuals in early July to 9.3×106 in late July, maintaining high levels throughout the summer, and declining in the fall to 7.4×105 individuals. The 1987 spawning stock showed 2 peaks of abundance. The population reached the lesser peak, 1.0×106 individuals, in late July; the greater peak, 1.5×106, in late August. By late September, the population had declined to 6.5×105 individuals. The peak abundance of the 1987 female spawning stock was only 16% as great as the peak abundance in 1986; the 1987 spawning stock size in 1986. Variability of this magnitude calls for continued monitoring and watchful management, to prevent fishing pressure from exceeding the reproductive capacity of the stock

Using lifetime fecundity to compare management strategies: a case history for striped bass

Abstract. --To evaluate possible regulatory schemes for restoring the stocks of striped bass Morone saxatilis in Rhode Island coastal waters, we constructed a computer simulation model ofa cohort's expected lifetime egg production. The model demonstrated that the expected increase in egg production from a proposed increase in minimum legal harvestable size (from 17 to 24 in) also could be achieved by an alternate management regime which, unlike the proposed size increase, would allow continued use of traditional fishing gears. The alternative regime increased the minimum size (but only to 18 in) and simultaneously reduced instantaneous fishing mortality from 0.45 to 0.30. Our findings of equivalence between the two regimes are reasonably robust to errors in population parameters. We then used the simulation model to generate curves of egg production per female recruit under a wide range of regulatory regimes. Such curves can illustrate the potential effects of management measures on depleted stocks. land Department of Environmental Management (DEM) was to propose regulations that were considered equivalent to the 24-in limit in restoration potential, but which would allow the continuing participation of the traditional net fisheries on a limited scale. This was accomplished by specifying only a modest increase in minimum size (to 18 in rather than 24 in TL), but simultaneously specifying a reduction in instantaneous fishing mortality (F). The reduction was to be achieved through additional closed seasons, gear restrictions, and area closures. We devised an egg production model for comparing these management regimes and used the model to generate expected egg production curves for a wide range of regulatory conditions. This report illustrates, by example, the production of such curves, which form an additional tool for managing depleted stocks. A prior version of this manuscript was released as Technical Report 84-6 of the University of Rhode Island Graduate School of Oceanography and Technical Report 84-17 of the Oceanography Department of Old Dominion University. Description of the Model As stock replenishment is currently a major goal of Atlantic coast striped bass management, the 40

SPHERES, J\"ulich's High-Flux Neutron Backscattering Spectrometer at FRM II

SPHERES (SPectrometer with High Energy RESolution) is a third-generation neutron backscattering spectrometer, located at the 20 MW German neutron source FRM II and operated by the Juelich Centre for Neutron Science. It offers an energy resolution (fwhm) better than 0.65 micro-eV, a dynamic range of +-31 micro-eV, and a signal-to-noise ratio of up to 1750:1.Comment: 12 pages, 7 figures, 2 tables. Supplemental material consists of 3 pages, 2 figures, 2 table

Электроимпульсный пробой и разрушение горных пород и твердых диэлектриков при воздействии разнополярных импульсов напряжения

Исследования электрической прочности внедрения канала разряда в горные породы при одновременном воздействии разнополярных импульсах высокого напряжения.In the dielectric displacement course in an electric field become two phenomena groups apparent. The first group is peculiar for dialectic only. The internal charged particles will always exist if the dielectric is placed in an electric field. Hence, the opposite electric charges will be shifted in relation to each other