Forecasting with two generalized integer-valued autoregressive processes of order one in the mutual random environment

In this article, we consider two univariate random environment integer-valued autoregressive processes driven by the same hidden process. A model of this kind is capable of describing two correlated non-stationary counting time series using its marginal variable parameter values. The properties of the model are presented. Some parameter estimators are described and implemented on the simulated time series. The introduction of this bivariate integer-valued autoregressive model with a random environment is justified at the end of the paper, where its real-life data-fitting performance was checked and compared to some other appropriate models. The forecasting properties of the model are tested on a few data sets, and forecasting errors are discussed through the residual analysis of the components that comprise the model.Peer Reviewe

PROLACTIN AND HYPERPROLACTINAEMIA IN FEMALE REPRODUCTIVE ENDOCRINOLOGY – AN UPDATE

Hyperprolactinaemia is one of the most frequent causes of anovulation, resulting in infertility and hypoestrogenic  state with consequences on overall women’s health. Recent investigations on biological actions of prolactin, especially prolactin of extrapituitary origin, expand our knowledge  on prolactin role in the human organism and open new questions connected with female reproductive function and treatment of female infertility. This article represents the review of current knowledge on prolactin physiology, etiopathogenesis, clinical features, assessment , differential diagnosis ,and teatment of hyperprolactinaemia in the female patient

Influence of Running Conditions on Resonant Oscillations in Fresh-Air Ventilator Blades Used in Thermal Power Plants

High-frequency cyclic load of fresh air supply to ventilator blades in thermo energetic facilities can cause the occurrence of fretting in the pressed overlap of ventilator shaft and socket. These loads can be generated by the resonant oscillations of ventilator blades and thermal residual stress due to welding. To prevent running in resonant conditions, the manufacturer of the ventilator defined a procedure of adjusting blades natural frequency in the process of production, as well as period control during exploitation period The numerical simulations and the accelerations measured and presented in this paper, enabling analysis of mass changes and rotation rate effects on resonant oscillations occurrence in fresh air ventilator

Hydrodynamics of a self-agitated draft tube airlift reactor

The main hydrodynamic characteristics of a novel-constructed, self-agitated draft tube airlift reactor (DT-ALR) were investigated. Ten impellers, driven only by the means of gas throughput and induced liquid circulation, were inserted in the draft tube. The insertion of impellers caused bubble breakup and reduction of both mean bubble size and coalescence, even under the conditions of high gas throughputs. Although the impellers induced energy losses, the resistance to the flow was relatively lower due to their rotation, unlike the internals used in other research reported in the literature. In comparison to the conventional configuration of a DT-ALR, it was found that the presence of impellers led to significant changes in hydrodynamics: riser gas holdup and mixing time increased, while overall gas holdup and liquid velocity in the downcomer decreased. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. 172025

A comparison of different convex corner compensation strucutures applicable in anisotropic wet chemical etching of {100} oriented silicon

This paper presents fabrication of microcantilevers on {100} oriented Si substrate by bulk micromachining. Two types of CCC (Convex Corner Compensation) structures, namely ⟨100⟩ oriented simple beam and structure using symmetric rectangular blocks oriented in the ⟨110⟩ direction at the apex of the square peg have been analyzed. Etching solution has been KOH water solution (80 wt. %) at etching temperature of 80 o C. Detailed construction and etching behavior of both structures have been given and explained

Search for new resonances in W gamma and Z gamma final states in pp collisions at root s=8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

This Letter presents a search for new resonances decaying to final states with a vector boson produced in association with a high transverse momentum photon, V gamma, with V = W(- GT l nu) or Z(- GT l(+)l(-)), where l = mu or mu. The measurements use 20.3fb(-1) of proton-proton collision data at a center-of-mass energy of root s = 8 TeV recorded with the ATLAS detector. No deviations from the Standard Model expectations are found, and production cross section limits are set at 95% confidence level. Masses of the hypothetical a(T) and omega(T) states of a benchmark Low Scale Technicolor model are excluded in the ranges [275, 960] GeV and [200, 700]boolean OR[750, 890] GeV, respectively. Limits at 95% confidence level on the production cross section of a singlet scalar resonance decaying to Z gamma final states have also been obtained for masses below 1180GeV. Published by Elsevier B. V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/). Funded by SCOAP(3)

Search for direct pair production of the top squark in all-hadronic final states in proton-proton collisions at=8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

The results of a search for direct pair production of the scalar partner to the top quark using an integrated luminosity of 20.1 fb(-1) of proton-proton collision data at = 8 TeV recorded with the ATLAS detector at the LHC are reported. The top squark is assumed to decay via or , where denotes the lightest neutralino (chargino) in supersymmetric models. The search targets a fully-hadronic final state in events with four or more jets and large missing transverse momentum. No significant excess over the Standard Model background prediction is observed, and exclusion limits are reported in terms of the top squark and neutralino masses and as a function of the branching fraction of . For a branching fraction of 100%, top squark masses in the range 270-645 GeV are excluded for masses below 30 GeV. For a branching fraction of 50% to either or , and assuming the mass to be twice the mass, top squark masses in the range 250-550 GeV are excluded for masses below 60 GeV

Search for pair and single production of new heavy quarks that decay to a Z boson and a third-generation quark in pp collisions at root s=8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

A search is presented for the production of new heavy quarks that decay to a Z boson and a third-generation Standard Model quark. In the case of a new charge +2/3 quark (T), the decay targeted is T - GT Zt, while the decay targeted for a new charge -1/3 quark (B) is B - GT Zb. The search is performed with a dataset corresponding to 20.3 fb(-1) of p p collisions at root s = 8TeV recorded in 2012 with the ATLAS detector at the CERN Large Hadron Collider. Selected events contain a high transverse momentum Z boson candidate reconstructed from a pair of oppositely charged same-flavor leptons (electrons or muons), and are analyzed in two channels defined by the absence or presence of a third lepton. Hadronic jets, in particular those with properties consistent with the decay of a b-hadron, are also required to be present in selected events. Different requirements are made on the jet activity in the event in order to enhance the sensitivity to either heavy quark pair production mediated by the strong interaction, or single production mediated by the electroweak interaction. No significant excess of events above the Standard Model expectation is observed, and lower limits are derived on the mass of vector-like T and B quarks under various branching ratio hypotheses, as well as upper limits on the magnitude of electroweak coupling parameters

Search for the lepton flavor violating decay Z - GT e mu in pp collisions at root s=8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

The ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider is used to search for the lepton flavor violating process Z - GT e mu in pp collisions using 20.3 fb(-1) of data collected at root s = 8 TeV. An enhancement in the e mu invariant mass spectrum is searched for at the Z-boson mass. The number of Z bosons produced in the data sample is estimated using events of similar topology, Z - GT ee and mu mu, significantly reducing the systematic uncertainty in the measurement. There is no evidence of an enhancement at the Z-boson mass, resulting in an upper limit on the branching fraction, B(Z - GT e mu) LT 7.5 x 10(-7) at the 95% confidence level

Search for high-mass dilepton resonances in pp collisions at root s = 8 TeV with the ATLAS detector

The ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider is used to search for high-mass resonances decaying to dielectron or dimuon final states. Results are presented from an analysis of proton-proton (pp) collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 8 TeV corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 20.3 fb(-1) in the dimuon channel. A narrow resonance with Standard Model Z couplings to fermions is excluded at 95% confidence level for masses less than 2.79 TeV in the dielectron channel, 2.53 TeV in the dimuon channel, and 2.90 TeV in the two channels combined. Limits on other model interpretations are also presented, including a grand-unification model based on the E-6 gauge group, Z* bosons, minimal Z models, a spin-2 graviton excitation from Randall-Sundrum models, quantum black holes, and a minimal walking technicolor model with a composite Higgs boson