Exile Vol. XXXV No. 2

Peter Goes Groovy, by Carolyn Bern (cover) I Hate Poetry by Craig Bagno 1 Truancy by Richard Latimer 2 I ate a Star Last Night by Rory Herbster 3 Delivery by Amy Judge 4 Untitled by Sue McLain 5 Road Signs by Richard Latimer 7-8 Haiku for Me to Possess by Shannon J. Salser 9 Patches by Michael Payne 10 Untitled by Laura Johnson 11 He by Kent Lambert 13 At the Corner Grill by Lynn Pendleton 14-15 Black Licorice by Richard Latimer 16-17 Blue Shirt by Michael Payne 18 ...Loves a Clown by Margaret Dawson 21-24 The Surreal Sonnet by Shannon J. Salser 26 Untitled by Mat Benson 27 Swimming Lessons by Richard Latimer 29 Communion by Amy Judge 30 Beth\u27s Last Funny Joke by Ted Gould 31-35 Hope for a Peaceful Coming Around by Shannon J. Salser 36 Untitled by Laura Johnson 37 A Child\u27s Moment by Peter Witonsky 39 Observation by Rosemary Walsh 40 Untitled by Carolyn Burns 41 To My Sister by Amy B. Judge 43 Ideas In Bloom by Randy Casden 44 Untitled by Deb Tily 45 A Child of Mind by Charles Riedinger 47 Ars Poetica by Rory Herbster 48 Untitled by Mat Benson 49 REPRINTS Dancer by Bradford Cover 52 Skin Deep by Eric Whitney 53-55 Sunset by Chris Rynd 56 Editorial decision is shared equally among the Editorial Board Members -cover page The editors of Exile would like to formally apologize to those contributors whose works were misprinted in the Fall issue. We have reprinted a few of the pieces that contained the most errors. -51 NOTE: An uncredited and untitled piece of artwork appears on page 19. NOTE: Carolyn Bern (cover) Burns (41) and Berns (contributor notes) all appear to refer to the same artist

Rapid climate-driven circulation changes threaten conservation of endangered north atlantic right whales

As climate trends accelerate, ecosystems will be pushed rapidly into new states, reducing the potential efficacy of conservation strategies based on historical patterns. In the Gulf of Maine, climate-driven changes have restructured the ecosystem rapidly over the past decade. Changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation have altered deepwater dynamics, driving warming rates twice as high as the fastest surface rates. This has had implications for the copepod Calanus finmarchicus, a critical food supply for the endangered North Atlantic right whale (Eubalaena glacialis). The oceanographic changes have driven a deviation in the seasonal foraging patterns of E. glacialis upon which conservation strategies depend, making the whales more vulnerable to ship strikes and gear entanglements. The effects of rapid climate-driven changes on a species at risk undermine current management approaches.publishedVersio

Exile Vol. XXXV No. 1

ARTWORK Untitled by Eric Whitney (cover) Untitled by Rory Herbster 7 Little Boy by Eric Whitney 45 FICTION Through the Window Pane by Jennifer Read 4 to whom i may concern by Chris Campi 19 For Lack of Sleep by Amy Judge 26 Jonathan by Jim Cox 39 Skin Deep by Eric Whitney 51 NON-FICTION A Theopoetic by Robert Marshall 11 POETRY Clay Pot by Christopher Collette 1 Ars Poetica by Mans Agantyr 2 Bible Thumber by Chris Rynd 6 Play by Amy Judge 9 Satellites by Andrew C. Carinston 10 Music - Love? by Shammon J. Salser 15 Allusion by Rosemary Walsh 17 Self Portrait by Margaret Dawson 18 On Our Way by Lynn Pendleton 21 They called her Mitzi... by Jen Miller 22 Storms of Illusion by Kevin Merriman 23 Beauty by Andrew C. Carington 24 Thoughts of a Husband by Kent Lambert 25 The Music of the Sum by Zach Smith 31 Don\u27t Think by Mary Forsythe 32 Aspiration by Tim Emrick 33 Where We Go Together by Man Angantyr 35 Sunset by Chris Byrd 36 The Child of my Fatalism by Jennifer Peterson 37 Untitled by Kent Lambert 38 Terribly close to being... by Michael Payne 44 Anne Frank\u27s House by Mary Forsythe 47 Invitation by Kevin Merriman 48 Height Protest by Jen Miller 49 Dancer by Bradford Cover 50 Ars Poetica by Amy Judge 55 Editorial decision is shared equally among the Editorial Board members -title page NOTE: The author of the poem Satellites is listed as Andrew C. Carinston in the published table of contents. This is likely a misspelling as there are four instances of an Andrew C. Carington elsewhere in this edition, including the attribution on the page where Satellites is published. NOTE: The author of the poem Where We Go Together is listed as Man Angantyr in the published table of contents. This is likely a misspelling as there are four instances of an Mans Angantyr elsewhere in this edition, including the attribution on the pages where Where We Go Together is published. NOTE: Chris Byrd is listed as the author of the poem Sunset in the published version. However a note in the received version indicates that the author is actually Chris Rynd, whose poem Bible Thumper is also published in this issue. No Chris Byrd is listed among the contributors to this issue. NOTE: The author of the poem Music = Love? is listed as Shammon J. Salser in the published table of contents. This is likely a misspelling. Where Music = Love? appears the author is listed as Shannon J. Salser. The same is true of the contributors section. NOTE: Though the published table of contents is followed here, the poem by Zach Smith that is published on page 31 is listed as The Music of the Sun on page 31

Developing a self-reported comorbidity index to predict mortality of community-dwelling older adults

Current common comorbidity measures have poor to moderate predictive validity of mortality of community-dwelling older adults. Hence, our aim is to develop a simpler resource-efficient self-reported comorbidity index in the prediction of survival. 113 older adults in Greater Manchester, United Kingdom attended a routine medical examination whereby information gathered was used to construct Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI). They completed the Cornell Medical Index (CMI) questionnaire and reported the number of medication prescribed to them. We compared the ability of CCI, CMI, number of medication, age and sex to predict mortality of the sample over 7-year period using Cox-regression and Kaplan–Meier plot and rank test. None of the variables individually was significant when tested using either Cox-regression via ENTER method or Kaplan–Meier test. Remarkably, by means of forward step-wise Cox-regression, two variables emerged significant: (i) number of medicine (beta coefficient = 0.229, SE = 0.090 and p = 0.011) and (ii) age (beta coefficient = 0.106, SE = 0.051 and p = 0.037). We demonstrated that simple count of medication predicted mortality of community-dwelling older adults over the next 7 years more accurately than CMI or CCI. Further works involving a larger scale of subjects is needed for use in epidemiological study of survival where cost and resources are concerne

Effects of death within 11 years on cognitive performance in old age

Six different cognitive tests and the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) were given to 3,572 active community residents aged 49 to 93 years. Causes of death were ascertained for 443 who died between 36 and 3,903 days later. Subsequent survival predicted test scores during the 3,903 days and independently during Days 36 to 1,826 and Days 1,827 to 3,903. Scores on the BDI and cumulative verbal learning and vocabulary tests predicted mortality after demographics and performance on other cognitive tests had been considered. Predictors were similar for deaths from heart disease, malignancies, and other causes. A new finding that cognitive tests did not predict survival duration within the sample of deceased explains previous findings of greater terminal decline in performance for young than for elderly adults