Emissions Trading and the Convergence of the Australian Electricity and Transport Markets

Bottom up partial equilibrium modelling of the energy sector has tended to focus on the electricity sector given its typically large share of total emissions, the deregulation of that market in many countries and the relatively well understood technology options. In contrast, this paper employs a model of the energy sector to investigate the proportion electricity and transport may contribute given the relative cost of abatement in those sectors, for specified emission targets. A related issue is the potential convergence of the two sectors through greater uptake of electrically powered transport.Energy, Emissions trading, Electricity and transport, integrated modelling, Environmental Economics and Policy, Public Economics,

Contextualising demography: the significance of local clusters of fertility in Scotland

This study links empirical analysis of geographical variations in fertility to ideas of contextualising demography. We examine whether there are statistically significant clusters of fertility in Scotland between 1981 and 2001, controlling for more general factors expected to influence fertility. Our hypothesis, that fertility patterns at a local scale cannot be explained entirely by ecological socio-economic variables, is supported. In fact, there are ‘unexplained’ local clusters of high and low fertility, which would be masked in analyses at a different scale. We discuss the demographic significance of local fertility clusters as contexts for fertility behaviour, including the role of the housing market and social interaction processes, and the residential sorting of those displaying or anticipating different fertility behaviour. We conclude that greater understanding of local geographical contexts is needed if we are to develop mid-level demographic theories and shift the focus of fertility research from events to processes.Scotland, fertility, geography

The effect of mark enhancement techniques on the subsequent detection of saliva

There appears to be a limited but growing body of research on the sequential analysis/treatment of multiple types of evidence. The development of an integrated forensic approach is necessary to maximise evidence recovery and to ensure that a particular treatment is not detrimental to other types of evidence. This study aims to assess the effect of latent and blood mark enhancement techniques (e.g. fluorescence, ninhydrin, acid violet 17, black iron-oxide powder suspension) on the subsequent detection of saliva. Saliva detection was performed by means of a presumptive test (Phadebas®) in addition to analysis by a rapid stain identification (RSID) kit test and confirmatory DNA testing. Additional variables included a saliva depletion series and a number of different substrates with varying porosities as well as different ageing periods. Examination and photography under white light and fluorescence was carried out prior to and after chemical enhancement All enhancement techniques (except Bluestar® Forensic Magnum luminol) employed in this study resulted in an improved visualisation of the saliva stains, although the inherent fluorescence of saliva was sometimes blocked after chemical treatment. The use of protein stains was, in general, detrimental to the detection of saliva. Positive results were less pronounced after the use of black iron-oxide powder suspension, cyanoacrylate fuming followed by BY40 and ninhydrin when compared to the respective positive controls. The application of Bluestar® Forensic Magnum luminol and black magnetic powder proved to be the least detrimental, with no significant difference between the test results and the positive controls. The use of non-destructive fluorescence examination provided good visualisation; however, only the first few marks in the depletion were observed. Of the samples selected for DNA analysis only depletion 1 samples contained sufficient DNA quantity for further processing using standard methodology. The 28 day delay between sample deposition and collection resulted in a 5-fold reduction in the amount of useable DNA. When sufficient DNA quantities were recovered, enhancement techniques did not have a detrimental effect on the ability to generate DNA profiles. This study aims to contribute to a strategy for maximising evidence recovery and efficiency for the detection of latent marks and saliva. The results demonstrate that most of the enhancement techniques employed in this study were not detrimental to the subsequent detection of saliva by means of presumptive, confirmative and DNA tests

THE USE OF RULE-BASED EXPERT SYSTEMS TO INVESTIGATE THE EFFECTS OF EXPERIENCE ON AUDIT JUDGMENTS

Rule-based expert systems (RBES) are currently the focus of a great deal of research interest. Most of that work, however, has concentrated on the development of such systems. There has not been much analysis of the resulting RBES. This paper examines two RBESs designed to make audit judgments. The knowledge bases of the initial prototype versions of each system contain the rules used by novice auditors. Each system was refined by having experienced auditors use the system to make the audit judgments for actual clients. The rules contained in the refined versions of each RBES thus represent the knowledge used by an experienced auditor to make a particular audit judgment. The effects of experience are then examined by comparing the rules in the initial prototype knowledge base to those contained in the refined version of each system. Experience appears to provide the capability to deal with exceptions to general rules and expectations

The monitoring of environmental conditions within corporate collections at Keyworth and Murchison House : 2004

This report presents the environment data gathered during the calendar year 2004 in the storerooms for the British Geological Survey’s Corporate Collections Archives. The report follows the pattern laid down in the first in the series, released in 2004, The Monitoring of Environmental Conditions within Corporate Collections at Keyworth and Murchison House 2002-03, with comparisons made between data collected in pervious years to assess the benefits or otherwise of modifications to either working practices or the fabric of the building. The data are discussed in chapters 2 and 3 where they are also illustrated in graphical format. A full copy of the data is contained on the accompanying compact disk, together with an Adobe Acrobat format version of this report. We will discuss the factors that affect the temperature and humidity of the storerooms, including the duration and number of workers present in the room, heating cycles of the building and external influences such as variations in the weather, from temperature and precipitation to the direction of the wind. Alterations to working practices and improvements in the fabric of the stores over the period of reporting will also be discussed. Possible future modifications are identified, however these are made in a controlled manner to allow changes in the environment to be assessed

Bloodstream form trypanosoma brucei depend upon multiple metacaspases associated with RAB11-positive endosomes

Trypanosoma brucei possesses five metacaspase genes. Of these, MCA2 and MCA3 are expressed only in the mammalian bloodstream form of the parasite, whereas MCA5 is expressed also in the insect procyclic form. Triple RNAi analysis showed MCA2, MCA3 and MCA5 to be essential in the bloodstream form, with parasites accumulating pre-cytokinesis. Nevertheless, triple null mutants (Δmca2/3Δmca5) could be isolated after sequential gene deletion. Thereafter, Δmca2/3Δmca5 mutants were found to grow well both in vitro in culture and in vivo in mice. We hypothesise that metacaspases are essential for bloodstream form parasites, but they have overlapping functions and their progressive loss can be compensated for by activation of alternative biochemical pathways. Analysis of Δmca2/3Δmca5 revealed no greater or lesser susceptibility to stresses reported to initiate programmed cell death, such as treatment with prostaglandin D2. The metacaspases were found to colocalise with RAB11, a marker for recycling endosomes. However, variant surface glycoprotein (VSG) recycling processes and the degradation of internalised anti-VSG antibody were found to occur similarly in wild type, Δmca2/3Δmca5 and triple RNAi induced parasites. Thus, the data provide no support for the direct involvement of T. brucei metacaspases in programmed cell death and suggest that the proteins have a function associated with RAB11 vesicles that is independent of known recycling processes of RAB11-positive endosomes