Validation of a Model for Identification of Patients With Compensated Cirrhosis at High Risk of Decompensation

Background & Aims: It is important to rapidly identify patients with advanced liver disease. Routine tests to assess liver function and fibrosis provide data that can be used to determine patients’ prognoses. We tested the validated the ability of combined data from the ALBI and FIB-4 scoring systems to identify patients with compensated cirrhosis at highest risk for decompensation.Methods: We collected data from 145 patients with compensated cirrhosis (91% Child A cirrhosis and median MELD scores below 8) from a cohort in Nottingham, United Kingdom, followed for a median 4.59 years (development cohort). We collected baseline clinical features and recorded decompensation events. We used these data to develop a model based on liver function (assessed by the ALBI score) and extent of fibrosis (assessed by the FIB-4 index) to determine risk of decompensation. We validated the model in 2 independent external cohorts (1 in Dublin, Ireland and 1 in Menoufia, Egypt) comprising 234 patients.Results: In the development cohort, 19.3% of the patients developed decompensated cirrhosis. Using a combination of ALBI and FIB-4 scores, we developed a model that identified patients at low vs high risk of decompensation (hazard ratio [HR] for decompensation in patients with high risk score was 7.10). When we tested the scoring system in the validation cohorts, the HR for decompensation in patients with a high-risk score was 12.54 in the Ireland cohort and 5.10 in the Egypt cohort.Conclusion: We developed scoring system, based on a combination of ALBI and FIB-4 scores, that identifies patients at risk for liver decompensation. We validated the scoring system in 2 independent international cohorts (Europe and the Middle East), so it appears to apply to diverse populations

Ultrasonography in surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

International guidelines recommend six monthly ultrasounds as the primary surveillance tool for patients at risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The dominant driver of liver disease in HCC surveillance populations is shifting, particularly in Europe and the United States, from chronic viral hepatitis (B or C), towards non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Today, the population requiring HCC surveillance is also characterised by a high prevalence of overweight/obesity. These patient characteristics significantly impair ultrasound quality which can impede the detection of early HCC lesions. This diagnostic limitation has significant implications considering that eligibility for curative treatment depends upon the stage at which the cancer is detected. In this narrative review, we provide a comprehensive overview of the published evidence and national/international guidelines regarding ultrasound surveillance for HCC in people with NAFLD. We examine ultrasound sensitivity in this cohort for the detection of all stage and early HCC, the impact of steatosis and abdominal obesity on ultrasound performance, evidence for the addition of serum alpha-fetoprotein measurement, optimal timing of surveillance, emerging modalities for risk stratification and screening, and outline the challenges of case finding and surveillance eligibility criteria in this patient cohort. Finally, amalgamating all available evidence, we propose a pragmatic surveillance pathway for patients with NAFLD.</jats:p

Prediction of survival among patients receiving transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma: A response-based approach

Background and aims: The heterogeneity of intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the widespread use of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) outside recommended guidelines have encouraged the development of scoring systems that predict patient survival. The aim of this study was to build and validate statistical models that offer individualized patient survival prediction using response to TACE as a variable. Approach and results: Clinically relevant baseline parameters were collected for 4,621 patients with HCC treated with TACE at 19 centers in 11 countries. In some of the centers, radiological responses (as assessed by modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors [mRECIST]) were also accrued. The data set was divided into a training set, an internal validation set, and two external validation sets. A pre-TACE model ("Pre-TACE-Predict") and a post-TACE model ("Post-TACE-Predict") that included response were built. The performance of the models in predicting overall survival (OS) was compared with existing ones. The median OS was 19.9 months. The factors influencing survival were tumor number and size, alpha-fetoprotein, albumin, bilirubin, vascular invasion, cause, and response as assessed by mRECIST. The proposed models showed superior predictive accuracy compared with existing models (the hepatoma arterial embolization prognostic score and its various modifications) and allowed for patient stratification into four distinct risk categories whose median OS ranged from 7 months to more than 4 years. Conclusions: A TACE-specific and extensively validated model based on routinely available clinical features and response after first TACE permitted patient-level prognosticatio

Development, Validity, and Reliability of the Perceived Telemedicine Importance, Disadvantages, and Barriers (PTIDB) Questionnaire for Egyptian Healthcare Professionals.

BackgroundThis study aimed to develop and investigate the psychometric properties of the Perceived Telemedicine Importance, Disadvantages, and Barriers (PTIDB) questionnaire for healthcare professionals (HCPs) in Egypt. This study was conducted in three phases: (1) development of the questionnaire, (2) preliminary testing of the questionnaire, and (3) investigation of its validity and reliability using a large survey.MethodsA cross-sectional survey was conducted over two months. A convenience sample of 691 HCPs and clerks from 22 governorates accessed the online survey. The construct validity was assessed using exploratory factor analysis (EFA), confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), and internal reliability.ResultsThe initial Eigenvalues showed that all 19 items of the questionnaire explained 56.0% of the variance in three factors. For Factor 1 (importance), eight items were loaded on one factor, with factor loading ranging from 0.61 to 0.78. For Factor 2 (disadvantages), seven items were loaded on one factor with factor loading ranging from 0.60 to 0.79. For Factor 3 (barriers), four items were loaded on one factor, with factor loading ranging from 0.60 to 0.86. The CFA showed that All loadings ranged from 0.4 to 1.0, with CFI = 0.93 and RMSEA = 0.061. All the factors had satisfactory reliability; 0.87 for ''Importance'', 0.82 for ''Disadvantages'', and 0.79 for ''Barriers''.ConclusionThe PTIDB questionnaire has an acceptable level of validity and internal consistency, at a readability level of 12th grade. The retest reliability, however, still needs to be tested

Hepatocellular carcinoma following direct anti-viral for hepatitis C treatment: a report of an Egyptian case series

Egypt had been vexed by the highest load of chronic hepatitis C in the world. It represents a vast market of the new direct-acting anti-viral drugs (DAAs); effectively treating chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. Eradication of HCV in Egypt has been challenged by the observed increased diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in relation to DAAs therapy. This is the first Egyptian report annotating to a series of sixteen chronic HCV infected cases without a diagnosis of HCC before DAAs therapy and unexpected development of HCC during or after completion of DAAs therapy

The TM6SF2 variant as a risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma development in chronic liver disease patients.

IntroductionHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent cancers worldwide. A non-synonymous single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) of the transmembrane 6 superfamily member 2 (TM6SF2) gene is associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. SNPs of the TM6SF2 gene play an important role in the pathogenesis of HCC in alcoholic cirrhosis, but there are limited data regarding other possible etiologies. We aimed to evaluate the role of the rs58542926 polymorphism in the development of HCC in Egyptian chronic liver disease (CLD) patients.Material and methodsA total of 120 participants, including 40 HCC patients, 40 CLD patients, and 40 healthy controls, were selected. Real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) was used to detect the TM6SF2 rs58542926 polymorphism.ResultsThere were no significant differences among the three studied groups regarding age (p = 0.06) and gender (p = 0.75). Frequencies of the CT, TT, CT + TT genotypes and the T allele were significantly higher in HCC patients than in the CLD and control groups (p p = 0.005, and p ConclusionsThe TM6SF2 rs58542926 genotype is associated with an increased risk of HCC in the Egyptian population