1,101 research outputs found

    Measuring the Goodness-of-Fit of Accident Prediction Models

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    DTFH61-94-Y-00107In developing accidents-flow-roadway design models, the R-squared goodness-of-fit measure has been used by traffic safety engineers and researchers for many years to (1) determine the quality and usability of a model; (2) select covariates (or explanatory variables) for inclusion in the model; (3) make a decision as to whether it would be worthwhile to collect additional covariates; and (4) compare the relative quality of models from different studies. Through computer simulations, this study demonstrated the pitfalls of using R-squared to make these decisions and comparisons. Other goodness-of-fit criteria such as the Akaike Information Criterion, scaled deviance, and Pearson's X-squared statistics were also introduced and evaluated. Based on limited simulation results, one of the alternative criteria called R-squared-alpha was recommended for evaluating and comparing the quality of accident prediction models when sample size is large. Finally, the interrelated and complementary nature of two approaches that have traditionally been used to develop the relationship between run-off-the-road accident frequency and roadside hazards (i.e., accident-based approach and encroachment-based approach) were studied and demonstrated using data from a Federal Highway Administration and Transportation Research Board roadway cross-section design data base. It was suggested that exploring the complementary nature of these two approaches could be a viable avenue to reduce data collection cost

    Tracking the Deployment of the Integrated Metropolitan Intelligent Transportation Systems Infrastructure in the USA: FY2000 Results

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    DTFH61-00-Y-30014This report describes the results of a major data gathering effort aimed at tracking deployment of nine infrastructure components of the metropolitan ITS infrastructure in 78 of the largest metropolitan areas in the nation. The nine components are: Freeway Management, Incident Management, Arterial Management, Electronic Toll Collection, Electronic Fare Payment, Transit Management, Highway-Rail Intersections, Emergency Management, and Regional Multimodal Traveler Information. Deployment is tracked through the use of indicators tied to the major functions of each component. In addition, integration of components is tracked through examining the transfer of information between components and the use of that information, once transferred. The report summarizes results at a national level and includes information on the number of metropolitan areas deploying selected technologies related to the indicators

    Preliminary assessment of the irradiation behaviour of the FeCrMnNi High-Entropy Alloy for nuclear applications

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    In the search for new nuclear materials with improved radiation tolerance and behavior, the high-entropy alloys (HEAs) have arisen as new candidates for structural components in nuclear reactors due to their suspected superior stability under irradiation. The metallurgical definition of HEAs is any alloy with multiple elements, five or more all in equiatomic compositions. The basic principle is the high mixing entropy of its solid solution lowers the Gibbs free energy giving a strong enhancement of the microstructural stability at low and high temperatures. The objective of this project is to assess the irradiation behaviour of the FeCrMnNi HEA system in order to investigate whether the high entropy effect is responsible for a microstructure with better radiation resistance compared to conventional alloys. In this work transmission electron microscopy (TEM) with in-situ ion irradiation has been used at the MIAMI-1 facility at the University of Huddersfield, UK: a 100 kV ion accelerator coupled with a JEOL JEM-2000FX TEM. This methodology allows the evolution of the HEA microstructure to be studied on the nanoscale during the ion irradiation

    Tracking the Deployment of the Integrated Metropolitan Intelligent Transportation Systems Infrastructure in the USA: FY2004 Results

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    DTFH61-00-Y-30014This report describes the results of a major data gathering effort carried out in the spring and summer of 2004 aimed at tracking deployment of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) technology in metropolitan areas in the United States. Metropolitan ITS is defined in terms of nine infrastructure components: Freeway Management, Incident Management, Arterial Management, Electronic Toll Collection, Electronic Fare Payment, Transit Management, Highway-Rail Intersections, Emergency Management, and Regional Multimodal Traveler Information. Deployment is tracked through the use of indicators tied to the major functions of each component. In addition, integration of components is tracked, the measure being based on a comparison of the reported extent of the transfer of information between components to the maximum possible. The report summarizes results at a national level and includes information on the number of metropolitan areas deploying selected technologies related to the indicators. Two separate metropolitan surveys are included in this report: a survey of 78 major metropolitan areas, and one of 30 medium-sized metropolitan areas

    Preliminary assessment of the irradiation behaviour of the FeCrMnNi High-Entropy Alloy for nuclear applications

    Get PDF
    In the search for new nuclear materials with improved radiation tolerance and behavior, the high-entropy alloys (HEAs) have arisen as new candidates for structural components in nuclear reactors due to their suspected superior stability under irradiation. The metallurgical definition of HEAs is any alloy with multiple elements, five or more all in equiatomic compositions. The basic principle is the high mixing entropy of its solid solution lowers the Gibbs free energy giving a strong enhancement of the microstructural stability at low and high temperatures. The objective of this project is to assess the irradiation behaviour of the FeCrMnNi HEA system in order to investigate whether the high entropy effect is responsible for a microstructure with better radiation resistance compared to conventional alloys. In this work transmission electron microscopy (TEM) with in-situ ion irradiation has been used at the MIAMI-1 facility at the University of Huddersfield, UK: a 100 kV ion accelerator coupled with a JEOL JEM-2000FX TEM. This methodology allows the evolution of the HEA microstructure to be studied on the nanoscale during the ion irradiation
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