Validity and Failure of the Boltzmann Weight

The dynamics and thermostatistics of a classical inertial XY model, characterized by long-range interactions, are investigated on $d$-dimensional lattices ($d=1,2,$ and 3), through molecular dynamics. The interactions between rotators decay with the distance $r_{ij}$ like~$1/r_{ij}^{\alpha}$ ($\alpha \geq 0$), where $\alpha\to\infty$ and $\alpha=0$ respectively correspond to the nearest-neighbor and infinite-range interactions. We verify that the momenta probability distributions are Maxwellians in the short-range regime, whereas $q$-Gaussians emerge in the long-range regime. Moreover, in this latter regime, the individual energy probability distributions are characterized by long tails, corresponding to $q$-exponential functions. The present investigation strongly indicates that, in the long-range regime, central properties fall out of the scope of Boltzmann-Gibbs statistical mechanics, depending on $d$ and $\alpha$ through the ratio $\alpha/d$.Comment: 10 pages, 6 figures. To appear in EP

Where do winds come from? A new theory on how water vapor condensation influences atmospheric pressure and dynamics

Phase transitions of atmospheric water play a ubiquitous role in the Earth's climate system, but their direct impact on atmospheric dynamics has escaped wide attention. Here we examine and advance a theory as to how condensation influences atmospheric pressure through the mass removal of water from the gas phase with a simultaneous account of the latent heat release. Building from the fundamental physical principles we show that condensation is associated with a decline in air pressure in the lower atmosphere. This decline occurs up to a certain height, which ranges from 3 to 4 km for surface temperatures from 10 to 30 deg C. We then estimate the horizontal pressure differences associated with water vapor condensation and find that these are comparable in magnitude with the pressure differences driving observed circulation patterns. The water vapor delivered to the atmosphere via evaporation represents a store of potential energy available to accelerate air and thus drive winds. Our estimates suggest that the global mean power at which this potential energy is released by condensation is around one per cent of the global solar power -- this is similar to the known stationary dissipative power of general atmospheric circulation. We conclude that condensation and evaporation merit attention as major, if previously overlooked, factors in driving atmospheric dynamics

Heat engines and heat pumps in a hydrostatic atmosphere: How surface pressure and temperature constrain wind power output and circulation cell size

The kinetic energy budget of the atmosphere's meridional circulation cells is analytically assessed. In the upper atmosphere kinetic energy generation grows with increasing surface temperature difference \$\Delta T_s\$ between the cold and warm ends of a circulation cell; in the lower atmosphere it declines. A requirement that kinetic energy generation is positive in the lower atmosphere limits the poleward cell extension \$L\$ of Hadley cells via a relationship between \$\Delta T_s\$ and surface pressure difference \$\Delta p_s\$: an upper limit exists when \$\Delta p_s\$ does not grow with increasing \$\Delta T_s\$. This pattern is demonstrated here using monthly data from MERRA re-analysis. Kinetic energy generation along air streamlines in the boundary layer does not exceed \$40\$~J~mol\$^{-1}\$; it declines with growing \$L\$ and reaches zero for the largest observed \$L\$ at 2~km height. The limited meridional cell size necessitates the appearance of heat pumps -- circulation cells with negative work output where the low-level air moves towards colder areas. These cells consume the positive work output of the heat engines -- cells where the low-level air moves towards the warmer areas -- and can in theory drive the global efficiency of atmospheric circulation down to zero. Relative contributions of \$\Delta p_s\$ and \$\Delta T_s\$ to kinetic energy generation are evaluated: \$\Delta T_s\$ dominates in the upper atmosphere, while \$\Delta p_s\$ dominates in the lower. Analysis and empirical evidence indicate that the net kinetic power output on Earth is dominated by surface pressure gradients, with minor net kinetic energy generation in the upper atmosphere. The role of condensation in generating surface pressure gradients is discussed.Comment: 26 pages, 9 figures, 2 tables; re-organized presentation, more discussion and a new figure (Fig. 4) added; in Fig. 3 the previously invisible dots (observations) can now be see

Identificação das características dos clientes associadas ao risco de crédito

O processo da tomada de decisão sobre a avaliação de uma solicitação de crédito comercial é por vezes difícil para o julgamento humano, devido à imensidão de variáveis que estão em jogo e das suas inter- relações. Neste artigo propomo-nos identificar as características dos clientes associadas a alto e a baixo risco, com recurso a um modelo aplicacional. A partir de uma base de dados de um cartão de crédito, formada por variáveis de natureza qualitativa e quantitativa, ajustámos um modelo logit binário, com o objectivo de tornar o processo de decisão mais objectivo e quantificável. Em seguida, identificámos oito classes de risco através da aplicação de um método de classificação não hierárquica (K-means) sobre o vector da pontuação do modelo logit. Aferimos temporalmente o comportamento de cada classe de risco ao longo de 70 meses, verificando-se que probabilidades baixas de default estão associadas a classes de risco baixo. As características dos clientes tipicamente associadas ao risco de crédito foram identificadas através de uma Análise Factorial das Correspondências

ELF Teaching in Portuguese Schools: The Not-so-good Old Days Are Back

With the aim of contributing to the comprehension of the changes that have recently been observed in Portuguese EFL school curriculum, this paper is a critical analysis of curricular factors that contribute to the challenges today’s EFL teachers face in schools. The data analysed comprise the documents published by national educational authorities (EFL learning outcomes) as well as the teachers’ examination test required to enter the EFL teaching profession. The educational principles underlying these documents, as well as the teaching practices they support and encourage, are compared to the principles and the methodological recommendations of previous, more progressive, Portuguese EFL syllabi. The methodological trends identified on the current EFL teaching panorama are also contrasted with the principles of the language teachers education programs taught at Portuguese universities

Comment on "The Tropospheric Land-Sea Warming Contrast as the Driver of Tropical Sea Level Pressure Changes" by Bayr and Dommenget

T Bayr and D Dommenget [J. Climate 26 (2013) 1387] proposed a model of temperature-driven air redistribution to quantify the ratio between changes of sea level pressure $p_s$ and mean tropospheric temperature $T_a$ in the tropics. This model assumes that the height of the tropical troposphere is isobaric. Here problems with this model are identified. A revised relationship between $p_s$ and $T_a$ is derived governed by two parameters -- the isobaric and isothermal heights -- rather than just one. Further insight is provided by the model of R S Lindzen and S Nigam [J. Atmos. Sci. 44 (1987) 2418], which was the first to use the concept of isobaric height to relate tropical $p_s$ to air temperature, and did this by assuming that isobaric height is always around 3 km and isothermal height is likewise near constant. Observational data, presented here, show that neither of these heights is spatially universal nor do their mean values match previous assumptions. Analyses show that the ratio of the long-term changes in $p_s$ and $T_a$ associated with land-sea temperature contrasts in a warming climate -- the focus of Bayr and Dommenget [2013] -- is in fact determined by the corresponding ratio of spatial differences in the annual mean $p_s$ and $T_a$. The latter ratio, reflecting lower pressure at higher temperature in the tropics, is dominated by meridional pressure and temperature differences rather than by land-sea contrasts. Considerations of isobaric heights are shown to be unable to predict either spatial or temporal variation in $p_s$. As noted by Bayr and Dommenget [2013], the role of moisture dynamics in generating sea level pressure variation remains in need of further theoretical investigations.Comment: 26 pages, 11 figures. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1404.101