Universal statistical properties of poker tournaments

We present a simple model of Texas hold'em poker tournaments which retains the two main aspects of the game: i. the minimal bet grows exponentially with time; ii. players have a finite probability to bet all their money. The distribution of the fortunes of players not yet eliminated is found to be independent of time during most of the tournament, and reproduces accurately data obtained from Internet tournaments and world championship events. This model also makes the connection between poker and the persistence problem widely studied in physics, as well as some recent physical models of biological evolution, and extreme value statistics.Comment: Final longer version including data from Internet and WPT tournament

AUTOMATED MORPHOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION OF APM GALAXIES BY SUPERVISED ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS

We train Artificial Neural Networks to classify galaxies based solely on the morphology of the galaxy images as they appear on blue survey plates. The images are reduced and morphological features such as bulge size and the number of arms are extracted, all in a fully automated manner. The galaxy sample was first classified by 6 independent experts. We use several definitions for the mean type of each galaxy, based on those classifications. We then train and test the network on these features. We find that the rms error of the network classifications, as compared with the mean types of the expert classifications, is 1.8 Revised Hubble Types. This is comparable to the overall rms dispersion between the experts. This result is robust and almost completely independent of the network architecture used.Comment: The full paper contains 25 pages, and includes 22 figures. It is available at ftp://ftp.ast.cam.ac.uk/pub/hn/apm2.ps . The table in the appendix is available on request from [email protected]. Mon. Not. R. Astr. Soc., in pres

Hydration of an apolar solute in a two-dimensional waterlike lattice fluid

In a previous work, we investigated a two-dimensional lattice-fluid model, displaying some waterlike thermodynamic anomalies. The model, defined on a triangular lattice, is now extended to aqueous solutions with apolar species. Water molecules are of the "Mercedes Benz" type, i.e., they possess a D3 (equilateral triangle) symmetry, with three equivalent bonding arms. Bond formation depends both on orientation and local density. The insertion of inert molecules displays typical signatures of hydrophobic hydration: large positive transfer free energy, large negative transfer entropy (at low temperature), strong temperature dependence of the transfer enthalpy and entropy, i.e., large (positive) transfer heat capacity. Model properties are derived by a generalized first order approximation on a triangle cluster.Comment: 9 pages, 5 figures, 1 table; submitted to Phys. Rev.

Weak Disorder in Fibonacci Sequences

We study how weak disorder affects the growth of the Fibonacci series. We introduce a family of stochastic sequences that grow by the normal Fibonacci recursion with probability 1-epsilon, but follow a different recursion rule with a small probability epsilon. We focus on the weak disorder limit and obtain the Lyapunov exponent, that characterizes the typical growth of the sequence elements, using perturbation theory. The limiting distribution for the ratio of consecutive sequence elements is obtained as well. A number of variations to the basic Fibonacci recursion including shift, doubling, and copying are considered.Comment: 4 pages, 2 figure

Power-law velocity distributions in granular gases

We report a general class of steady and transient states of granular gases. We find that the kinetic theory of inelastic gases admits stationary solutions with a power-law velocity distribution, f(v) ~ v^(-sigma). The exponent sigma is found analytically and depends on the spatial dimension, the degree of inelasticity, and the homogeneity degree of the collision rate. Driven steady-states, with the same power-law tail and a cut-off can be maintained by injecting energy at a large velocity scale, which then cascades to smaller velocities where it is dissipated. Associated with these steady-states are freely cooling time-dependent states for which the cut-off decreases and the velocity distribution is self-similar.Comment: 11 pages, 9 figure

Kinetics of Heterogeneous Single-Species Annihilation

We investigate the kinetics of diffusion-controlled heterogeneous single-species annihilation, where the diffusivity of each particle may be different. The concentration of the species with the smallest diffusion coefficient has the same time dependence as in homogeneous single-species annihilation, A+A-->0. However, the concentrations of more mobile species decay as power laws in time, but with non-universal exponents that depend on the ratios of the corresponding diffusivities to that of the least mobile species. We determine these exponents both in a mean-field approximation, which should be valid for spatial dimension d>2, and in a phenomenological Smoluchowski theory which is applicable in d<2. Our theoretical predictions compare well with both Monte Carlo simulations and with time series expansions.Comment: TeX, 18 page

Random Geometric Series

Integer sequences where each element is determined by a previous randomly chosen element are investigated analytically. In particular, the random geometric series x_n=2x_p with 0<=p<=n-1 is studied. At large n, the moments grow algebraically, n^beta(s) with beta(s)=2^s-1, while the typical behavior is x_n n^ln 2. The probability distribution is obtained explicitly in terms of the Stirling numbers of the first kind and it approaches a log-normal distribution asymptotically.Comment: 6 pages, 2 figure

A lattice model of hydrophobic interactions

Hydrogen bonding is modeled in terms of virtual exchange of protons between water molecules. A simple lattice model is analyzed, using ideas and techniques from the theory of correlated electrons in metals. Reasonable parameters reproduce observed magnitudes and temperature dependence of the hydrophobic interaction between substitutional impurities and water within this lattice.Comment: 7 pages, 3 figures. To appear in Europhysics Letter

How to Choose a Champion

League competition is investigated using random processes and scaling techniques. In our model, a weak team can upset a strong team with a fixed probability. Teams play an equal number of head-to-head matches and the team with the largest number of wins is declared to be the champion. The total number of games needed for the best team to win the championship with high certainty, T, grows as the cube of the number of teams, N, i.e., T ~ N^3. This number can be substantially reduced using preliminary rounds where teams play a small number of games and subsequently, only the top teams advance to the next round. When there are k rounds, the total number of games needed for the best team to emerge as champion, T_k, scales as follows, T_k ~N^(\gamma_k) with gamma_k=1/[1-(2/3)^(k+1)]. For example, gamma_k=9/5,27/19,81/65 for k=1,2,3. These results suggest an algorithm for how to infer the best team using a schedule that is linear in N. We conclude that league format is an ineffective method of determining the best team, and that sequential elimination from the bottom up is fair and efficient.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figure

Nonlinear Integral-Equation Formulation of Orthogonal Polynomials

The nonlinear integral equation P(x)=\int_alpha^beta dy w(y) P(y) P(x+y) is investigated. It is shown that for a given function w(x) the equation admits an infinite set of polynomial solutions P(x). For polynomial solutions, this nonlinear integral equation reduces to a finite set of coupled linear algebraic equations for the coefficients of the polynomials. Interestingly, the set of polynomial solutions is orthogonal with respect to the measure x w(x). The nonlinear integral equation can be used to specify all orthogonal polynomials in a simple and compact way. This integral equation provides a natural vehicle for extending the theory of orthogonal polynomials into the complex domain. Generalizations of the integral equation are discussed.Comment: 7 pages, result generalized to include integration in the complex domai