15 GHz Monitoring of the Gravitational Lens MG 0414+0534

We report the results of monitoring the four images of the gravitational lens MG 0414+0534 at 15 GHz. In 35 VLA maps spanning 180 days, we measure root-mean-square variations in the image light curves of ~3.5% mostly due to variations in the flux density calibration. The flux ratios, which are independent of flux density calibration variations, show root-mean-square variability of 1-3%. Extensive simulations of the data analysis process show that the observed variations in the flux ratios are likely to be due entirely to errors in the deconvolution process. It is possible that some of the observed variation is due to the source; however, the signal-to-noise ratio is too small to make a time delay determination using a data set of this size

The Sensitivity of First Generation Epoch of Reionization Observatories and Their Potential for Differentiating Theoretical Power Spectra

Statistical observations of the epoch of reionization (EOR) power spectrum provide a rich data set for understanding the transition from the cosmic "dark ages" to the ionized universe we see today. EOR observations have become an active area of experimental cosmology, and three first generation observatories--MWA, PAST, and LOFAR--are currently under development. In this paper we provide the first quantitative calculation of the three dimensional power spectrum sensitivity, incorporating the design parameters of a planned array. This calculation is then used to explore the constraints these first generation observations can place on the EOR power spectrum. The results demonstrate the potential of upcoming power spectrum observations to constrain theories of structure formation and reionization.Comment: 7 pages with 5 figures. Submitted to Ap

Resource acquisition, distribution and end-use efficiencies and the growth of industrial society

A key feature of the growth of industrial society is the acquisition of increasing quantities of resources from the environment and their distribution for end use. With respect to energy, growth has been near exponential for the last 160 years. We attempt to show that the global distribution of resources that underpins this growth may be facilitated by the continual development and expansion of near optimal directed networks. If so, the distribution efficiencies of these networks must decline as they expand due to path lengths becoming longer and more tortuous. To maintain long-term exponential growth the physical limits placed on the distribution networks appear to be counteracted by innovations deployed elsewhere in the system: namely at the points of acquisition and end use. We postulate that the maintenance of growth at the specific rate of ~2.4% yr−1 stems from an implicit desire to optimise patterns of energy use over human working lifetimes