Empirical Ground-Motion Prediction Equations for Northern Italy Using Weak- and Strong-Motion Amplitudes, Frequency Content, and Duration Parameters

The goals of this work are to review the Northern-Italy ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for amplitude parameters and to propose new GMPEs for frequency content and duration parameters. Approximately 10,000 weak and strong waveforms have been collected merging information from different neighboring regional seismic networks operating in the last 30 yr throughout Northern Italy. New ground-motion models, calibrated for epicentral distances ≤100 km and for both local (ML) and moment magnitude (Mw), have been developed starting from a high quality dataset (624 waveforms) that consists of 82 selected earthquakes with ML and Mw up to 6.3 and 6.5, respectively. The vertical component and the maximum of the two horizontal components of motion have been considered, for both acceleration (peak ground horizontal acceleration [PGHA] and peak ground vertical acceleration [PGVA]) and velocity (peak ground horizontal velocity [PGHV] and peak ground vertical velocity [PGVV]) data. In order to make comparisons with the most commonly used prediction equations for the Italian territory (Sabetta and Pugliese, 1996 [hereafter, SP96] and Ambraseys et al. 2005a,b [hereafter, AM05]) the coefficients for acceleration response spectra (spectral horizontal acceleration [SHA] and spectral vertical acceleration [SVA]) and for pseudovelocity response spectra (pseudospectral horizontal velocity [PSHV] and pseudospectral vertical velocity [PSVV]) have been calculated for 12 periods ranging between 0.04 and 2 sec and for 14 periods ranging between 0.04 and 4 sec, respectively. Finally, empirical relations for Arias intensities (IA), Housner intensities (IH), and strong motion duration (DV) have also been calibrated. The site classification based on Eurocode (hereafter, EC8) classes has been used (ENV, 1998, 2002). The coefficients of the models have been determined using functional forms with an independent magnitude decay rate and applying the random effects model (Abrahamson and Youngs, 1992; Joyner and Boore, 1993) that allow the determination of the interevent, interstation, and record-to-record components of variance. The goodness of fit between observed and predicted values has been evaluated using the maximum likelihood approach as in Spudich et al. (1999). Comparing the proposed GMPEs with SP96 and AM05, it is possible to observe a faster decay of predicted ground motion, in particular for distances greater than 25 km and magnitudes higher than 5.0. The result is an improvement in fit of about one order of size for magnitudes spanning from 3.5 to 4.5

Empirical ground motion prediction equations for northern italy using weak and strong motion amplitudes, frequency content and duration parameters

The aims of this work are to review the Northern-Italy ground motion prediction equations (hereinafter GMPEs) for amplitude parameters and to propose new GMPEs for frequency content and duration parameters. Approximately 10.000 weak and strong waveforms have been collected merging information from different neighbouring regional seismic networks operating in the last 30 years throughout Northern Italy. New ground motion models, calibrated for epicentral distances ≤ 100 km and for both local (Ml) and moment magnitude (Mw), have been developed starting from a high quality dataset (624 waveforms) which consists of 82 selected earthquakes with Ml and Mw up to 6.3 and 6.5 respectively. The vertical component and the maximum of the two horizontal components of motion have been considered, for both acceleration (PGHA and PGVA) and velocity (PGHV and PGVV) data. In order to make comparisons with the most commonly used prediction equations for the Italian territory (Sabetta and Pugliese, 1996 and Ambraseys et al. 2005a,b hereinafter named SP96 and AM05) the coefficients for acceleration response spectra (SHA and SVA) and for pseudo velocity response spectra (PSHV and PSVV) have been calculated for 12 periods ranging between 0.04 s and 2 s and for 14 periods ranging between 0.04 s and 4 s respectively. Finally, empirical relations for Arias and Housner Intensities (IA, IH) and strong motion duration (DV) have also been calibrated. The site classification based on Eurocode (hereinafter EC8) classes has been used (ENV, 1998). The coefficients of the models have been determined using functional forms with an independent magnitude decay rate and applying the random effects model (Abrahamson and Youngs, 1992; Joyner and Boore, 1993) that allow the determination of the inter-event, inter-station and record-to-record components of variance. The goodness of fit between observed and predicted values has been evaluated using the maximum likelihood approach as in Spudich et al. (1999). Comparing the proposed GMPEs both with SP96 and AM05 it is possible to observe a faster decay of predicted ground motion, in particular for distances greater than 25 km and magnitudes higher than 5.0. The result is a fit improvement of about one order of size for magnitudes spanning from 3.5 to 4.5

Ground motion models for Molise region (Southern Italy)

On October 31st and November 1st, 2002 two moderate earthquakes of moment magnitude Mw=5.7 (INGV-Harvard European-Mediterranean Regional Centroid-Moment tensor project) occurred in southern Italy. After the mainshocks, felt in many municipalities of the Molise and Puglia region, a strong motion and a seismic temporary network were installed in the epicentral area and surrounding regions. The strong motion network was composed by 9 stations, integrating the accelerometers of the permanent Rete Accelerometrica Nazionale (RAN network), and operated until December 2003. The strong motion data set is composed by 195 recordings from 51 earthquakes (2.5<Ml<5.4) recorded by 29 accelerometers (Dipartimento della Protezione Civile et al., 2004). In addition to the strong motion network, several Italian research institutions (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, INGV; Istituto Nazionale di Oceanografia e Geofisica, INOGS; Dipartimento per lo studio del Territorio e delle sue Risorse, University of Genoa, Dip.Te.Ris) installed a temporary regional network, composed by 35 seismic stations. This network aimed at monitoring and studying the evolution in time and space of the seismic sequence. More than 1900 aftershocks were recorded in the period November 1st - December 5th, 2002 (Chiarabba et al., 2005). The unified velocity-acceleration data set has been considered to derive ground motion models for peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity for both maximum horizontal and vertical components. The results obtained for the Molise area have been compared with the attenuation pattern of the Umbria-Marche region (central Italy), that was recently investigated by Bindi et al. (2006). The remarkable differences observed indicate the need of a regional attenuation relation for the area and the need of further investigations, to better identify the role of source characteristics, anelastic and geometric attenuation and site effects in the evaluation of peak ground motion values

Task 3 - Molise - Deliverable D7: Validation shaking scenarios.

The main goal of this report is the computation of the bedrock seismic motion at 5 municipalities located in the Molise area (Bonefro, S.Giuliano, Colletorto, S.Croce di Magliano, Ripabottoni, hereafter referred to as sites BNF, SGI, CLT, SCM and RPB, respectively). This area represents one of the validation case studies, planned in the framework of Project S3 which aim is the production of ground shaking scenarios for moderate magnitude earthquakes. Indeed, the recently occurred Molise earthquake represents a proper opportunity to compare synthetic simulations with real data. Acceleration time series were recorded during the October 31, 2002 and November 1, 2002 main shocks by analog and digital instruments managed by the Italian Civil Protection Department [DPC-SSN, 2004] while acceleration and velocity records were collected during the first month of seismic activity by DPC, INGV, INOGS, Dip.Te.Ris.(Genoa) (see §2.1 and Deliverable D6). Both strong and weak motion data were employed to infer regional ground motion prediction equations and spectral attenuation models (§2.3 and §2.4) while acceleration time series recorded during the first main shock by nearby stations were used to constrain the seismogenic sources of the October 31 and November 1, 2002 twin earthquakes (§4.1). Bedrock shaking scenarios at different level of complexity were produced by ground motion prediction equations (scenarios of level 0, §4.2), high frequency (f>1Hz) simulations (scenarios of level I, §4.3) and broad band (0-12 Hz) simulations (scenarios of level II, §4.4). Comparison of results obtained with different simulations methods confirms the complexity of the Molise area as regard to both seismogenic and attenuation properties of the crust. Especially for this area the ground motion prediction is constrained by the demand of simulations reproducing different features of the seismic wavefield. In particular, the input motion for site effect modelling, performed at sites located in the epicentral area, was computed with a broad band technique able to reproduce the complete wave field in the frequency band 0-10 Hz in terms of acceleration time series (scenarios of level II scenarios)

Reliability of the automatic procedures for locating earthquakes in southwestern Alps and northern Apennines (Italy)

International audienceReliable automatic procedure for locating earthquake in quasi-real time is strongly needed for seismic warning system, earthquake preparedness, and producing shaking maps. The reliability of an automatic location algorithm is influenced by several factors such as errors in picking seismic phases, network geometry, and velocity model uncertainties. The main purpose of this work is to investigate the performances of different automatic procedures to choose the most suitable one to be applied for the quasi-real-time earthquake locations in northwestern Italy. The reliability of two automatic-picking algorithms (one based on the Characteristic Function (CF) analysis, CF picker, and the other one based on the Akaike's information criterion (AIC), AIC picker) and two location methods (“Hypoellipse” and “NonLinLoc” codes) is analysed by comparing the automatically determined hypocentral coordinates with reference ones. Reference locations are computed by the “Hypoellipse” code considering manually revised data and tested using quarry blasts. The comparison is made on a dataset composed by 575 seismic events for the period 2000–2007 as recorded by the Regional Seismic network of Northwestern Italy. For P phases, similar results, in terms of both amount of detected picks and magnitude of travel time differences with respect to manual picks, are obtained applying the AIC and the CF picker; on the contrary, for S phases, the AIC picker seems to provide a significant greater number of readings than the CF picker. Furthermore, the “NonLinLoc” software (applied to a 3D velocity model) is proved to be more reliable than the “Hypoellipse” code (applied to layered 1D velocity models), leading to more reliable automatic locations also when outliers (wrong picks) are present

Estimating the Design Effort of Web Applications: a Case Study Centered on TRIO+ Specifications

Our study focuses on the effort needed for designing Web applications. The effort required for the design phase is an important part of the total development effort of a Web application, whose implementation can be (partially) automated by tools. We carried out an empirical study with the students of an advanced university class that used W2000, as the special purpose object-oriented design notation for the design of Web applications. We investigated the impact of a number of attributes (e.g., size, complexity) of the W2000 design artifacts built during the design phase on the total effort needed to design web applications and we identified a few attributes that may be related to the total design effort. In addition, we carried out a finer-grain analysis, by studying which of these attributes have an impact on the effort devoted to the steps of the design phase that are followed when using W2000

An Empirical Study on the Design Effort Of Web Applications

We study the effort needed for designing Web applica-tions from an empirical point of view. The design phase takes an important part of the overall effort needed to develop a Web application, since the use of tools can help automate the implementation phase. We carried out an empirical study with the students of an advanced university class that used W2000 as a Web application design technique. Our first goal was to compare the relative importance of each design activity. Second, we tried to assess the accuracy of a priori design effort predictions and the influence of some factors on the effort needed for each design activity. Third, we also studied the quality of the designs obtained