22,422 research outputs found

    Investigating Machine Learning Techniques for Gesture Recognition with Low-Cost Capacitive Sensing Arrays

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    Machine learning has proven to be an effective tool for forming models to make predictions based on sample data. Supervised learning, a subset of machine learning, can be used to map input data to output labels based on pre-existing paired data. Datasets for machine learning can be created from many different sources and vary in complexity, with popular datasets including the MNIST handwritten dataset and CIFAR10 image dataset. The focus of this thesis is to test and validate multiple machine learning models for accurately classifying gestures performed on a low-cost capacitive sensing array. Multiple neural networks are trained using gesture datasets obtained from the capacitance board. In this paper, I train and compare different machine learning models on recognizing gesture datasets. Learning hyperparameters are also adjusted for results. Two datasets are used for the training: one containing simple gestures and another containing more complicated gestures. Accuracy and loss for the models are calculated and compared to determine which models excel at recognizing performed gestures

    \u3cem\u3eWillson v. Black-Bird Creek Marsh Co.\u3c/em\u3e, 25 U.S. 245 (1829): An Early Test of the Dormant Commerce Clause

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    In 1822, Delaware authorized the Blackbird Creek Marsh Company to bank and drain the Blackbird Creek in New Castle County. Subsequently, Thompson Wilson and others destroyed the structure built by the marsh company. The marsh company subsequently sued Mr. Wilson for the damage to its property. The parties eventually appealed their dispute to the Supreme Court of the United States. The Court held that Delaware’s authorization to bank and dam the creek did not conflict with the federal government’s exclusive authority to regulate commerce between the several states. Ultimately, the Court decided Willson in a manner inconsistent with its earlier decision in Gibbons v. Ogden and subsequent decisions regarding navigation of U.S. waters. Additionally, Mr. Wilson likely chose not to bring a Fifth Amendment takings claim due to the lack of legal support for such a claim at the time

    Empirical Analysis and Trading Strategies for Defaulted Debt Securities with Models for Risk and Investment Management

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    This study empirically analyzes the historical performance of defaulted debt from Moody’s Ultimate Recovery Database (1987-2010). Motivated by a stylized structural model of credit risk with systematic recovery risk, we argue and find evidence that returns on defaulted debt co-vary with determinants of the market risk premium, firm specific and structural factors. Defaulted debt returns in our sample are observed to be increasing in collateral quality or debt cushion of the issue. Returns are also increasing for issuers having superior ratings at origination, more leverage at default, higher cumulative abnormal returns on equity prior to default, or greater market implied loss severity at default. Considering systematic factors, returns on defaulted debt are positively related to equity market indices and industry default rates. On the other hand, defaulted debt returns decrease with short-term interest rates. In a rolling out-of-time and out-of-sample resampling experiment we show that our leading model exhibits superior performance. We also document the economic significance of these results through excess abnormal returns, implementing a hypothetical trading strategy, of around 5-6% (2-3%) assuming zero (1bp per month) round-trip transaction costs. These results are of practical relevance to investors and risk managers in this segment of the fixed income market.Distressed Debt; Recoveries; Default; Credit Risk

    Empirical Implementation of a 2-Factor Structural Model for Loss-Given-Default

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    In this study we develop a theoretical model for ultimate loss-given default in the Merton (1974) structural credit risk model framework, deriving compound option formulae to model differential seniority of instruments, and incorporating an optimal foreclosure threshold. We consider an extension that allows for an independent recovery rate process, representing undiversifiable recovery risk, having a stochastic drift. The comparative statics of this model are analyzed and compared and in the empirical exercise, we calibrate the models to observed LGDs on bonds and loans having both trading prices at default and at resolution of default, utilizing an extensive sample of losses on defaulted firms (Moody’s Ultimate Recovery Database™), 800 defaults in the period 1987-2008 that are largely representative of the U.S. large corporate loss experience, for which we have the complete capital structures and can track the recoveries on all instruments from the time of default to the time of resolution. We find that parameter estimates vary significantly across recovery segments, that the estimated volatilities of recovery rates and of their drifts are increasing in seniority (bank loans versus bonds). We also find that the component of total recovery volatility attributable to the LGD-side (as opposed to the PD-side) systematic factor is greater for higher ranked instruments and that more senior instruments have lower default risk, higher recovery rate return and volatility, as well as greater correlation between PD and LGD. Analyzing the implications of our model for the quantification of downturn LGD, we find the ratio of the later to ELGD (the “LGD markup”) to be declining in expected LGD, but uniformly higher for lower ranked instruments or for higher PD-LGD correlation. Finally, we validate the model in an out-of-sample bootstrap exercise, comparing it to a high-dimensional regression model and to a non-parametric benchmark based upon the same data, where we find our model to compare favorably. We conclude that our model is worthy of consideration to risk managers, as well as supervisors concerned with advanced IRB under the Basel II capital accord.LGD; credit risk; default; structural model

    The Reconstruction of American Journalism

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    Explores the history and changing landscape of American journalism as well as the need to preserve independent, original, and credible print news reporting. Considers the roles of the Internet, collaborations among newspapers, and foundation support

    Raising the Bar: Law Clerks Pay Tribute to Judge Adkins

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