Using SVM-RSM and ELM-RSM Approaches for Optimizing the Production Process of Methyl and Ethyl Esters

The production of a desired product needs an effective use of the experimental model. The present study proposes an extreme learning machine (ELM) and a support vector machine (SVM) integrated with the response surface methodology (RSM) to solve the complexity in optimization and prediction of the ethyl ester and methyl ester production process. The novel hybrid models of ELM-RSM and ELM-SVM are further used as a case study to estimate the yield of methyl and ethyl esters through a trans-esterification process from waste cooking oil (WCO) based on American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) standards. The results of the prediction phase were also compared with artificial neural networks (ANNs) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), which were recently developed by the second author of this study. Based on the results, an ELM with a correlation coefficient of 0.9815 and 0.9863 for methyl and ethyl esters, respectively, had a high estimation capability compared with that for SVM, ANNs, and ANFIS. Accordingly, the maximum production yield was obtained in the case of using ELM-RSM of 96.86% for ethyl ester at a temperature of 68.48 °C, a catalyst value of 1.15 wt. %, mixing intensity of 650.07 rpm, and an alcohol to oil molar ratio (A/O) of 5.77; for methyl ester, the production yield was 98.46% at a temperature of 67.62 °C, a catalyst value of 1.1 wt. %, mixing intensity of 709.42 rpm, and an A/O of 6.09. Therefore, ELM-RSM increased the production yield by 3.6% for ethyl ester and 3.1% for methyl ester, compared with those for the experimental data

Predicting arsenic and heavy metals contamination in groundwater resources of Ghahavand plain based on an artificial neural network optimized by imperialist competitive algorithm

Background: The effects of trace elements on human health and the environment gives importance to the analysis of heavy metals contamination in environmental samples and, more particularly, human food sources. Therefore, the current study aimed to predict arsenic and heavy metals (Cu, Pb, and Zn) contamination in the groundwater resources of Ghahavand Plain based on an artificial neural network (ANN) optimized by imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA). Methods: This study presents a new method for predicting heavy metal concentrations in the groundwater resources of Ghahavand plain based on ANN and ICA. The developed approaches were trained using 75% of the data to obtain the optimum coefficients and then tested using 25% of the data. Two statistical indicators, the coefficient of determination (R2) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE), were employed to evaluate model performance. A comparison of the performances of the ICA-ANN and ANN models revealed the superiority of the new model. Results of this study demonstrate that heavy metal concentrations can be reliably predicted by applying the new approach. Results: Results from different statistical indicators during the training and validation periods indicate that the best performance can be obtained with the ANN-ICA model. Conclusion: This method can be employed effectively to predict heavy metal concentrations in the groundwater resources of Ghahavand plain

Modeling of Groundwater Resources Heavy Metals Concentration Using Soft Computing Methods: Application of Different Types of Artificial Neural Networks

Nowadays, groundwater resources play a vital role as a source of drinking water in arid and semiarid regions and forecasting of pollutants content in these resources is very important. Therefore, this study aimed to compare two soft computing methods for modeling Cd, Pb and Zn concentration in groundwater resources of Asadabad Plain, Western Iran. The relative accuracy of several soft computing models, namely multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) for forecasting of heavy metals concentration have been investigated. In addition, Levenberg-Marquardt, gradient descent and conjugate gradient training algorithms were utilized for the MLP models. The ANN models for this study were developed using MATLAB R 2014 Software program. The MLP performs better than the other models for heavy metals concentration estimation. The simulation results revealed that MLP model was able to model heavy metals concentration in groundwater resources favorably. It generally is effectively utilized in environmental applications and in the water quality estimations. In addition, out of three algorithms, Levenberg-Marquardt was better than the others were. This study proposed soft computing modeling techniques for the prediction and estimation of heavy metals concentration in groundwater resources of Asadabad Plain. Based on collected data from the plain, MLP and RBF models were developed for each heavy metal. MLP can be utilized effectively in applications of prediction of heavy metals concentration in groundwater resources of Asadabad Plain

Soil moisture simulation using individual versus ensemble soft computing models

Soil moisture plays an important role in water distribution among various components of hydrological cycle and energy exchanges between the atmosphere and the earth’s surface. Its accurate estimation is necessary for optimal water management in agriculture, environment, and other related fields. This study describes the development and applications of individual machine learning models including artificial neural networks, radial basis function, multi-layer perceptron, multivariate adaptive regression splines, and extreme learning machine as well as the ensemble Bayesian model averaging methodology for computing soil moisture modeling. Eight climatological inputs are used for constructing the models and two distinct scenarios of (i) predicting soil moisture (t) and (ii) forecasting soil moisture (t + 1) are designed based on different feature selection methods, such as the best subset selection and the historical correlation functions. The statistical evaluation shows that in predicting strategy, the Bayesian model averaging had the best (root mean square error = 0.0127 (m3/m3), mean absolute errors = 0.0092 (m3/m3)) and multivariate adaptive regression splines model had the weakest (root mean square error = 0.0227 (m3/m3), mean absolute errors = 0.0196 (m3/m3)) performance in the test stage. Also, in the forecasting strategy, the Bayesian model averaging had the best (root mean square error = 0.0023 (m3/m3), mean absolute errors = 0.00111 (m3/m3)) and radial basis function had the weakest (root mean square error = 0.0022 (m3/m3), mean absolute errors = 0.00062 (m3/m3) performance during the testing stage. Overall, the modeling efforts confirm that the Bayesian model averaging optimizes both the predicted and forecasted results.</div

Kernel Extreme Learning Machine: An Efficient Model for Estimating Daily Dew Point Temperature Using Weather Data

Accurate estimation of dew point temperature (Tdew) has a crucial role in sustainable water resource management. This study investigates kernel extreme learning machine (KELM), boosted regression tree (BRT), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), multilayer perceptron neural network (MLPNN), and multivariate adaptive regression spline (MARS) models for daily dew point temperature estimation at Durham and UC Riverside stations in the United States. Daily time scale measured hydrometeorological data, including wind speed (WS), maximum air temperature (TMAX), minimum air temperature (TMIN), maximum relative humidity (RHMAX), minimum relative humidity (RHMIN), vapor pressure (VP), soil temperature (ST), solar radiation (SR), and dew point temperature (Tdew) were utilized to investigate the applied predictive models. Results of the KELM model were compared with other models using eight different input combinations with respect to root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), and Nash&ndash;Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) statistical indices. Results showed that the KELM models, using three input parameters, VP, TMAX, and RHMIN, with RMSE = 0.419 &deg;C, NSE = 0.995, and R2 = 0.995 at Durham station, and seven input parameters, VP, ST, RHMAX, TMIN, RHMIN, TMAX, and WS, with RMSE = 0.485 &deg;C, NSE = 0.994, and R2 = 0.994 at UC Riverside station, exhibited better performance in the modeling of daily Tdew. Finally, it was concluded from a comparison of the results that out of the five models applied, the KELM model was found to be the most robust by improving the performance of BRT, RBFNN, MLPNN, and MARS models in the testing phase at both stations

Sugarcane growth prediction based on meteorological parameters using extreme learning machine and artificial neural network

Management strategies for sustainable sugarcane production need to deal with the increasing complexity and variability of the whole sugar system. Moreover, they need to accommodate the multiple goals of different industry sectors and the wider community. Traditional disciplinary approaches are unable to provide integrated management solutions, and an approach based on whole systems analysis is essential to bring about beneficial change to industry and the community. The application of this approach to water management, environmental management and cane supply management is outlined, where the literature indicates that the application of extreme learning machine (ELM) has never been explored in this realm. Consequently, the leading objective of the current research was set to filling this gap by applying ELM to launch swift and accurate model for crop production data-driven. The key learning has been the need for innovation both in the technical aspects of system function underpinned by modelling of sugarcane growth. Therefore, the current study is an attempt to establish an integrate model using ELM to predict the concluding growth amount of sugarcane. Prediction results were evaluated and further compared with artificial neural network (ANN) and genetic programming models. Accuracy of the ELM model is calculated using the statistics indicators of Root Means Square Error (RMSE), Pearson Coefficient (r), and Coefficient of Determination (R2) with promising results of 0.8, 0.47, and 0.89, respectively. The results also show better generalization ability in addition to faster learning curve. Thus, proficiency of the ELM for supplementary work on advancement of prediction model for sugarcane growth was approved with promising results

Advanced machine learning model for better prediction accuracy of soil temperature at different depths.

Soil temperature has a vital importance in biological, physical and chemical processes of terrestrial ecosystem and its modeling at different depths is very important for land-atmosphere interactions. The study compares four machine learning techniques, extreme learning machine (ELM), artificial neural networks (ANN), classification and regression trees (CART) and group method of data handling (GMDH) in estimating monthly soil temperatures at four different depths. Various combinations of climatic variables are utilized as input to the developed models. The models' outcomes are also compared with multi-linear regression based on Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination statistics. ELM is found to be generally performs better than the other four alternatives in estimating soil temperatures. A decrease in performance of the models is observed by an increase in soil depth. It is found that soil temperatures at three depths (5, 10 and 50 cm) could be mapped utilizing only air temperature data as input while solar radiation and wind speed information are also required for estimating soil temperature at the depth of 100 cm