Student''s t mixture models for stock indices. A comparative study

We perform a comparative study for multiple equity indices of different countries using different models to determine the best fit using the Kolmogorov–Smirnov statistic, the Anderson–Darling statistic, the Akaike information criterion and the Bayesian information criteria as goodness-of-fit measures. We fit models both to daily and to hourly log-returns. The main result is the excellent performance of a mixture of three Student''s t distributions with the numbers of degrees of freedom fixed a priori (3St). In addition, we find that the different components of the 3St mixture with small/moderate/high degree of freedom parameter describe the extreme/moderate/small log-returns of the studied equity indices. © 2021 Elsevier B.V

自転−公転ミキサーを用いた人工赤血球（ヘモグロビン ベシクル）の高いカプセル化効率のための調製法

Hemoglobin vesicles (Hb-V) are artificial red blood cells encapsulating highly concentrated hemoglobin (Hb) in liposomes comprising phospholipids, cholesterol, negatively charged lipids, and polyethylene glycol (PEG)-conjugated phospholipids. Safety and efficacy of Hb-V as a transfusion alternative have been extensively studied. For this study, we prepared Hb-V using the kneading method with a rotation-revolution mixer as an alternative to the conventional extrusion method. We optimized the kneading operation parameters to obtain Hb-V with a high yield. Results show that the Hb encapsulation efficiency was increased dramatically up to 74.2%, which is higher than that of the extrusion method (20%) because the kneading method enabled mixing of a highly concentrated carbonylhemoglobin (HbCO) solution (40 g/dL) and a considerably large amount of powdered lipids in only 10 min. The high viscosity of the Hb-lipid mixture paste (ca. 103-105 cP) favorably induces frictional heat by kneading and increases the paste temperature (ca. 60 °C), which facilitates lipid dispersion and liposome formation. During the kneading operation using a thermostable HbCO solution, Hb denaturation was prevented. Hb-V prepared using this method showed no marked changes in particle sizes, Hb denaturation, or Hb leakage from liposomes during two years of long-term storage-stability tests. Collectively, these results demonstrate that the kneading method using a rotation-revolution mixer shows good potential as a new method to produce Hb-V.博士（医学）・甲第797号・令和3年9月29日This document is the Accepted Manuscript version of a Published Work that appeared in final form in ACS biomaterials science and engineering, copyright © 2021 American Chemical Society after peer review and technical editing by the publisher. To access the final edited and published work see https://doi.org/10.1021/acsbiomaterials.1c00424発行元が定める登録猶予期間終了の後、本文を登録予定（2022.06

Dietary supplementation with n-3-fatty acids in patients with pancreatic cancer and cachexia: marine phospholipids versus fish oil - a randomized controlled double-blind trial

Background: Like many other cancer patients, most pancreatic carcinoma patients suffer from severe weight loss. As shown in numerous studies with fish oil (FO) supplementation, a minimum daily intake of 1.5 g n-3-fatty acids (n-3-FA) contributes to weight stabilization and improvement of quality of life (QoL) of cancer patients. Given n-3-FA not as triglycerides (FO), but mainly bound to marine phospholipids (MPL), weight stabilization and improvement of QoL has already been seen at much lower doses of n-3-FA (0,3 g), and MPL were much better tolerated. The objective of this double-blind randomized controlled trial was to compare low dose MPL and FO formulations, which had the same n-3-FA amount and composition, on weight and appetite stabilization, global health enhancement (QoL), and plasma FA-profiles in patients suffering from pancreatic cancer. Methods: Sixty pancreatic cancer patients were included into the study and randomized to take either FO- or MPL supplementation. Patients were treated with 0.3 g of n-3-fatty acids per day over six weeks. Since the n-3-FA content of FO is usually higher than that of MPL, FO was diluted with 40% of medium chain triglycerides (MCT) to achieve the same capsule size in both intervention groups and therefore assure blinding. Routine blood parameters, lipid profiles, body weight, and appetite were measured before and after intervention. Patient compliance was assessed through a patient diary. Quality of life and nutritional habits were assessed with validated questionnaires (EORTC-QLQ-C30, PAN26). Thirty one patients finalized the study protocol and were analyzed (per-protocol-analysis). Results: Intervention with low dose n-3-FAs, either as FO or MPL supplementation, resulted in similar and promising weight and appetite stabilization in pancreatic cancer patients. MPL capsules were slightly better tolerated and showed fewer side effects, when compared to FO supplementation. Conclusion: The similar effects between both interventions were unexpected but reliable, since the MPL and FO formulations caused identical increases of n-3-FAs in plasma lipids of included patients after supplementation. The effects of FO with very low n-3-FA content might be explained by the addition of MCT. The results of this study suggest the need for further investigations of marine phospholipids for the improvement of QoL of cancer patients, optionally in combination with MCT

Geographic and Racial Variation in Premature Mortality in the U.S.: Analyzing the Disparities

Life expectancy at birth, estimated from United States period life tables, has been shown to vary systematically and widely by region and race. We use the same tables to estimate the probability of survival from birth to age 70 (S70), a measure of mortality more sensitive to disparities and more reliably calculated for small populations, to describe the variation and identify its sources in greater detail to assess the patterns of this variation. Examination of the unadjusted probability of S70 for each US county with a sufficient population of whites and blacks reveals large geographic differences for each race-sex group. For example, white males born in the ten percent healthiest counties have a 77 percent probability of survival to age 70, but only a 61 percent chance if born in the ten percent least healthy counties. Similar geographical disparities face white women and blacks of each sex. Moreover, within each county, large differences in S70 prevail between blacks and whites, on average 17 percentage points for men and 12 percentage points for women. In linear regressions for each race-sex group, nearly all of the geographic variation is accounted for by a common set of 22 socio-economic and environmental variables, selected for previously suspected impact on mortality; R2 ranges from 0.86 for white males to 0.72 for black females. Analysis of black-white survival chances within each county reveals that the same variables account for most of the race gap in S70 as well. When actual white male values for each explanatory variable are substituted for black in the black male prediction equation to assess the role explanatory variables play in the black-white survival difference, residual black-white differences at the county level shrink markedly to a mean of −2.4% (+/−2.4); for women the mean difference is −3.7% (+/−2.3)

Association of temporal factors and suicides in the United States, 2000–2004

The purpose of the study was to examine the association of temporal factors, in particular days of the week and seasons of the year and death from suicide in the United States. Data were pooled from the Multiple Cause of Death Files. Hierarchical logistic regression models were fitted to all deaths occurring in 2000 through 2004 by suicide. The incidence of suicide was significantly higher on Wednesdays, compared to Sunday. Specifically, individuals were 99% more likely to kill themselves on Wednesday than on Sunday. Suicides were more prevalent in the summer months, and they were less likely to occur in winter. The state suicide rate significantly elevated individual suicide risk. The results held even after controlling for the potentially confounding effects of socio-economic and demographic variables at both the individual and state levels. It was concluded that the observed association between seasonality and suicide cannot be discounted as a mere coincidence. Future research ought to focus on integrating individual level data and contextual variables when testing for seasonality effects