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The impact of uncertainty in satellite data on the assessment of flood inundation models
The performance of flood inundation models is often assessed using satellite observed data; however these data have inherent uncertainty. In this study we assess the impact of this uncertainty when calibrating a flood inundation model (LISFLOOD-FP) for a flood event in December 2006 on the River Dee, North Wales, UK. The flood extent is delineated from an ERS-2 SAR image of the event using an active contour model (snake), and water levels at the flood margin calculated through intersection of the shoreline vector with LiDAR topographic data. Gauged water levels are used to create a reference water surface slope for comparison with the satellite-derived water levels. Residuals between the satellite observed data points and those from the reference line are spatially clustered into groups of similar values. We show that model calibration achieved using pattern matching of observed and predicted flood extent is negatively influenced by this spatial dependency in the data. By contrast, model calibration using water elevations produces realistic calibrated optimum friction parameters even when spatial dependency is present.
To test the impact of removing spatial dependency a new method of evaluating flood inundation model performance is developed by using multiple random subsamples of the water surface elevation data points. By testing for spatial dependency using Moran’s I, multiple subsamples of water elevations that have no significant spatial dependency are selected. The model is then calibrated against these data and the results averaged. This gives a near identical result to calibration using spatially dependent data, but has the advantage of being a statistically robust assessment of model performance in which we can have more confidence. Moreover, by using the variations found in the subsamples of the observed data it is possible to assess the effects of observational uncertainty on the assessment of flooding risk
Uniqueness of Petrov type D spatially inhomogeneous irrotational silent models
The consistency of the constraint with the evolution equations for spatially
inhomogeneous and irrotational silent (SIIS) models of Petrov type I, demands
that the former are preserved along the timelike congruence represented by the
velocity of the dust fluid, leading to \emph{new} non-trivial constraints. This
fact has been used to conjecture that the resulting models correspond to the
spatially homogeneous (SH) models of Bianchi type I, at least for the case
where the cosmological constant vanish. By exploiting the full set of the
constraint equations as expressed in the 1+3 covariant formalism and using
elements from the theory of the spacelike congruences, we provide a direct and
simple proof of this conjecture for vacuum and dust fluid models, which shows
that the Szekeres family of solutions represents the most general class of SIIS
models. The suggested procedure also shows that, the uniqueness of the SIIS of
the Petrov type D is not, in general, affected by the presence of a non-zero
pressure fluid. Therefore, in order to allow a broader class of Petrov type I
solutions apart from the SH models of Bianchi type I, one should consider more
general ``silent'' configurations by relaxing the vanishing of the vorticity
and the magnetic part of the Weyl tensor but maintaining their ``silence''
properties i.e. the vanishing of the curls of and the pressure
.Comment: Latex, 19 pages, no figures;(v2) some clarification remarks and an
appendix are added; (v3) minor changes to match published versio
Timelike and Spacelike Matter Inheritance Vectors in Specific Forms of Energy-Momentum Tensor
This paper is devoted to the investigation of the consequences of timelike
and spacelike matter inheritance vectors in specific forms of energy-momentum
tensor, i.e., for string cosmology (string cloud and string fluid) and perfect
fluid. Necessary and sufficient conditions are developed for a spacetime with
string cosmology and perfect fluid to admit a timelike matter inheritance
vector, parallel to and spacelike matter inheritance vector, parallel to
. We compare the outcome with the conditions of conformal Killing vectors.
This comparison provides us the conditions for the existence of matter
inheritance vector when it is also a conformal Killing vector. Finally, we
discuss these results for the existence of matter inheritance vector in the
special cases of the above mentioned spacetimes.Comment: 27 pages, accepted for publication in Int. J. of Mod. Phys.
Study of low frequency hydromagnetic waves using ATS-1 data
Low frequency oscillations of the magnetic field at ATS-1 were analyzed for the 25 month data interval, Dec., 1966 through 1968. Irregular oscillations and those associated with magnetic storms were excluded from the analysis. Of the 222 events identified, 170 were found to be oscillating predominantly transverse to the background magnetic field. The oscillations were observed to occur most frequently in the early afternoon hours. They also seemed to occur more frequently during Dec., Jan., and Feb. than at any other time of the year. During a given event, the frequency was fairly constant. The event duration varied between a minimum of 10 min. and a maximum of 14 hrs and 26 min. During a given event the amplitude varied
Modulated Amplitude Waves in Collisionally Inhomogeneous Bose-Einstein Condensates
We investigate the dynamics of an effectively one-dimensional Bose-Einstein
condensate (BEC) with scattering length subjected to a spatially periodic
modulation, . This "collisionally inhomogeneous" BEC is
described by a Gross-Pitaevskii (GP) equation whose nonlinearity coefficient is
a periodic function of . We transform this equation into a GP equation with
constant coefficient and an additional effective potential and study a
class of extended wave solutions of the transformed equation. For weak
underlying inhomogeneity, the effective potential takes a form resembling a
superlattice, and the amplitude dynamics of the solutions of the
constant-coefficient GP equation obey a nonlinear generalization of the Ince
equation. In the small-amplitude limit, we use averaging to construct
analytical solutions for modulated amplitude waves (MAWs), whose stability we
subsequently examine using both numerical simulations of the original GP
equation and fixed-point computations with the MAWs as numerically exact
solutions. We show that "on-site" solutions, whose maxima correspond to maxima
of , are significantly more stable than their "off-site" counterparts.Comment: 25 pages, 10 figures (many with several parts), to appear in Physica
D; higher resolution versions of some figures are available at
http://www.its.caltech.edu/~mason/paper
Arkansas Wheat Cultivar Performance Tests 2018-2019
Wheat cultivar performance tests are conducted each year in Ark- ansas by the University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture’s Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station, Department of Crop, Soil and Environmental Sciences. The tests provide information to companies developing cultivars and marketing seed within the state and aid the Arkansas Cooperative Extension Service in formulating cultivar recommendations for small-grain producers. The tests are conducted at the Northeast Research and Extension Center at Keiser, the Vegetable Substation near Kibler, the Lon Mann Cotton Research Station near Marianna, the Newport Extension Center near Newport, the Rohwer Research Station near Rohwer, the Pine Tree Research Station near Colt, and the Hope Research and Extension Center. In addition, entries are evaluated in a stripe rust (Puccinia striiformis f.sp. tritici) inoculated nursery in Fayetteville and a Fusarium head blight (FHB) inoculated nursery in Newport and Fayetteville. Specific location and cultural practice information accompany each table
Seed Yield Prediction Models of Four Common Moist-Soil Plant Species in Texas
Seed production by moist-soil plant species often varies within and among managed wetlands and on larger landscapes. Quantifying seed production of moist-soil plants can be used to evaluate wetland management strategies and estimate wetland energetic carrying capacity, specifically for waterfowl. In the past, direct estimation techniques were used, but due to excessive personnel and time costs, other indirect methods have been developed. Because indirect seed yield models do not exist for moist-soil plant species in east-central or coastal Texas, we developed direct and indirect methods to model seed production on regional managed wetlands. In September 2004 and 2005, we collected Echinochloa crusgalli (barnyard grass), E. walterii (wild millet), E. colona (jungle rice), and Oryza sativa (cultivated rice) for phytomorphological measurements and seed yield modeling. Initial simple linear and point of origin regression analyses demonstrate strong relationships (P \u3c 0.001) among phytomorphological and dot grid methods in predicting seed production for all four species. These models should help regional wetland managers evaluate moist-soil management success and create models for seed production for other moist-soil plants in this region
Dynamics and Manipulation of Matter-Wave Solitons in Optical Superlattices
We analyze the existence and stability of bright, dark, and gap matter-wave
solitons in optical superlattices. Then, using these properties, we show that
(time-dependent) ``dynamical superlattices'' can be used to controllably place,
guide, and manipulate these solitons. In particular, we use numerical
experiments to displace solitons by turning on a secondary lattice structure,
transfer solitons from one location to another by shifting one superlattice
substructure relative to the other, and implement solitonic ``path-following'',
in which a matter wave follows the time-dependent lattice substructure into
oscillatory motion.Comment: 6 pages, revtex, 6 figures, to appear in Physics Letters A; minor
modifications from last versio
Arkansas Wheat Cultivar Performance Tests 2016-2017
Wheat cultivar performance tests are conducted each year in Arkansas by the University of Arkansas System Division of Agriculture’s Arkansas Agricultural Experiment Station, Department of Crop, Soil and Environmental Sciences. The tests provide information to companies developing cultivars and marketing seed within the state and aid the Arkansas Cooperative Extension Service in formulating cultivar recommendations for small-grain producers
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