Copeptin in acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis: relationship with acute-on-chronic liver failure and short-term survival

BACKGROUND: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is characterized by the presence of acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis, organ failure, and high short-term mortality rates. Hemodynamic dysfunction and activation of endogenous vasoconstrictor systems are thought to contribute to the pathogenesis of ACLF. We explored whether copeptin, a surrogate marker of arginine vasopressin, is a potential marker of outcome in patients admitted for AD or ACLF and whether it might be of additional value to conventional prognostic scoring systems in these patients. METHODS: All 779 patients hospitalized for AD of cirrhosis from the CANONIC database with at least one serum sample available for copeptin measurement were included. Presence of ACLF was defined according to the CLIF-consortium organ failure (CLIF-C OF) score. Serum copeptin was measured in samples collected at days 0-2, 3-7, 8-14, 15-21, and 22-28 when available. Competing-risk regression analysis was applied to evaluate the impact of serum copeptin and laboratory and clinical data on short-term survival. RESULTS: Serum copeptin concentration was found to be significantly higher in patients with ACLF compared with those without ACLF at days 0-2 (33 (14-64) vs. 11 (4-26) pmol/L; p < 0.001). Serum copeptin at admission was shown to be a predictor of mortality independently of MELD and CLIF-C OF scores. Moreover, baseline serum copeptin was found to be predictive of ACLF development within 28 days of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: ACLF is associated with significantly higher serum copeptin concentrations at hospital admission compared with those with traditional AD. Copeptin is independently associated with short-term survival and ACLF development in patients admitted for AD or ACLF

Addressing Profiles of Systemic Inflammation Across the Different Clinical Phenotypes of Acutely Decompensated Cirrhosis

Background: Patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) may or may not develop acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). ACLF is characterized by high-grade systemic inflammation, organ failures (OF) and high short-term mortality. Although patients with AD cirrhosis exhibit distinct clinical phenotypes at baseline, they have low short-term mortality, unless ACLF develops during follow-up. Because little is known about the association of profile of systemic inflammation with clinical phenotypes of patients with AD cirrhosis, we aimed to investigate a battery of markers of systemic inflammation in these patients. Methods: Upon hospital admission baseline plasma levels of 15 markers (cytokines, chemokines, and oxidized albumin) were measured in 40 healthy controls, 39 compensated cirrhosis, 342 AD cirrhosis, and 161 ACLF. According to EASL-CLIF criteria, AD cirrhosis was divided into three distinct clinical phenotypes (AD-1: Creatinine<1.5, no HE, no OF; AD-2: creatinine 1.5–2, and or HE grade I/II, no OF; AD-3: Creatinine<1.5, no HE, non-renal OF). Results: Most markers were slightly abnormal in compensated cirrhosis, but markedly increased in AD. Patients with ACLF exhibited the largest number of abnormal markers, indicating “full-blown” systemic inflammation (all markers). AD-patients exhibited distinct systemic inflammation profiles across three different clinical phenotypes. In each phenotype, activation of systemic inflammation was only partial (30% of the markers). Mortality related to each clinical AD-phenotype was significantly lower than mortality associated with ACLF (p < 0.0001 by gray test). Among AD-patients baseline systemic inflammation (especially IL-8, IL-6, IL-1ra, HNA2 independently associated) was more intense in those who had poor 28-day outcomes (ACLF, death) than those who did not experience these outcomes. Conclusions: Although AD-patients exhibit distinct profiles of systemic inflammation depending on their clinical phenotypes, all these patients have only partial activation of systemic inflammation. However, those with the most extended baseline systemic inflammation had the highest the risk of ACLF development and death

Development and validation of a prognostic score to predict mortality in patients with acute on chronic liver failure.

Background & Aims. Acute-on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is a frequent syndrome (30% prevalence) characterized by acute decompensation of cirrhosis, organ failure(s) and high short-term mortality. This study develops and validates a specific prognostic score for ACLF patients. Methods. Data from 1,349 patients included in the CANONIC study were used. First, a simplified organ function scoring system (CLIF-Consortium Organ Failure score, CLIF-C OFs) to diagnose ACLF was developed using data from all patients. Subsequently, in 275 patients with ACLF, CLIF-C OFs and two other independent predictors of mortality (age and white-cell count) were combined to develop a specific prognostic score for ACLF (CLIF CONSORTIUM score for ACLF, CLIF-C ACLFs). Concordance index (C-index) was used to compare the discrimination abilities of CLIF-C ACLFs, MELD (MELDs), MELD-Sodium (MELD-Nas) and Child-Pugh (CPs) scores. CLIF-C ACLFs was validated in an external cohort and assessed for sequential use. Results. CLIF-C ACLFs showed a significantly higher predictive accuracy than MELDs, MELD-Nas and CPs, reducing (19-28%) the corresponding prediction error rates at all the main time-points after ACLF diagnosis (28, 90, 180 and 365 days) in both the CANONIC and the external validation cohort. CLIF-C ACLFs computed at 48 hours, 3-7 days and 8-15 days after ACLF diagnosis predicted 28-day mortality significantly better than at diagnosis. Conclusions. CLIF-C ACLFs at ACLF diagnosis is superior to MELDs and MELD-Nas in predicting mortality. CLIF-C ACLFs is a clinically relevant, validated scoring system that can be used sequentially to stratify the risk of mortality in ACLF patients