Influence of Cost Overruns on Risk Perception

Cost overruns are a common problem in project management and can significantly impact project outcomes. While previous research has focused on accurately estimating project risks, less attention has been paid to understanding the relationship between cost overruns and risk perception. This study aims to improve risk management practices by modeling the dynamic relationship between cost overruns and risk perception. Specifically, a project system is represented as a causal loop diagram that incorporates short- and long-term cost variances, work performed, and risk perception. The model shows that unmitigated short-term cost overruns can lead to long-term cost overruns and demonstrates how responses in the project monitoring system can mitigate this effect. By providing a basis for simulating the impact of responses to cost overruns, this study offers insights into how to improve risk management practices. The findings contribute to a better understanding of how risk perception influences decision-making in response to cost overruns and highlight the importance of proactive risk management strategies in project management

The Gasotransmitter Hydrogen Sulfide (H₂S) Prevents Pathologic Calcification (PC) in Cartilage.

Pathologic calcification (PC) is a painful and disabling condition whereby calcium-containing crystals deposit in tissues that do not physiologically calcify: cartilage, tendons, muscle, vessels and skin. In cartilage, compression and inflammation triggered by PC leads to cartilage degradation typical of osteoarthritis (OA). The PC process is poorly understood and treatments able to target the underlying mechanisms of the disease are lacking. Here we show a crucial role of the gasotransmitter hydrogen sulfide (H <sub>2</sub> S) and, in particular, of the H <sub>2</sub> S-producing enzyme cystathionine γ-lyase (CSE), in regulating PC in cartilage. Cse deficiency (Cse KO mice) exacerbated calcification in both surgically-induced (menisectomy) and spontaneous (aging) murine models of cartilage PC, and augmented PC was closely associated with cartilage degradation (OA). On the contrary, Cse overexpression (Cse tg mice) protected from these features. In vitro, Cse KO chondrocytes showed increased calcification, potentially via enhanced alkaline phosphatase (Alpl) expression and activity and increased IL-6 production. The opposite results were obtained in Cse tg chondrocytes. In cartilage samples from patients with OA, CSE expression inversely correlated with the degree of tissue calcification and disease severity. Increased cartilage degradation in murine and human tissues lacking or expressing low CSE levels may be accounted for by dysregulated catabolism. We found higher levels of matrix-degrading metalloproteases Mmp-3 and -13 in Cse KO chondrocytes, whereas the opposite results were obtained in Cse tg cells. Finally, by high-throughput screening, we identified a novel small molecule CSE positive allosteric modulator (PAM), and demonstrated that it was able to increase cellular H <sub>2</sub> S production, and decrease murine and human chondrocyte calcification and IL-6 secretion. Together, these data implicate impaired CSE-dependent H <sub>2</sub> S production by chondrocytes in the etiology of cartilage PC and worsening of secondary outcomes (OA). In this context, enhancing CSE expression and/or activity in chondrocytes could represent a potential strategy to inhibit PC

Genetics: Is LADA just late onset type 1 diabetes?

Background: There is a controversy regarding Latent Autoimmune Diabetes in Adults (LADA) classification and whether it should be considered a slowly progressing form of type 1 (T1) diabetes (DM) or a distinct type of DM altogether. Methods: This cross-sectional study assessed major genes associated with T1DM (class II Results: A total of 578 participants were included: 248 with T1DM (70 diagnosed after the age of 30), 256 with T2DM and 74 with LADA. High risk HLA alleles were significantly more frequent in LADA than in T2DM, whereas the opposite was true for protective alleles. We found a lower frequency of the high-risk DRB1*04-DQB1*03:02-DQA1*03:01 haplotype in LADA (21.1%) than in the overall T1DM (34.7%) (p\u3c0.05), whereas no differences were found between these groups for DRB1*03-DQB1*02:01-DQA1*05:01 or for protective alleles. Only 12% the overall T1DM group had no risk alleles vs 30% of LADA (p\u3c0.0005). However, HLA allele distribution was similar in LADA and T1DM diagnosed after the age of 30. A total of 506 individuals (195 with T1DM [21 diagnosed after age 30] 253 with T2DM and 58 with LADA) were genotyped for the Conclusion: In this relatively small cross-sectional study, the genetic profile of subjects with LADA showed a similar T1DM-related risk allele distribution as in participants with T1DM diagnosed after the age of 30, but fewer risk alleles than those diagnosed before 30. Differences were present for HLA, as well a

Prevalence of pre-diabetes and undiagnosed diabetes in the Mollerussa prospective observational cohort study in a semi-rural area of Catalonia

Objectives: To assess the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes and pre-diabetes in the healthy population in the Mollerussa cohort. As a secondary objective, to identify the variables associated with these conditions and to describe the changes in glycaemic status after 1 year of follow-up in subjects with pre-diabetes. Design: Prospective observational cohort study. Setting: General population from a semi-rural area. Participants: The study included 583 participants without a diagnosis of diabetes recruited between March 2011 and July 2014. Results: The prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was 20, 3.4% (95% CI 2.6 to 4.2) and that of pre-diabetes was 229, 39.3% (37.3 to 41.3). Among those with pre-diabetes, 18.3% had isolated impaired fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (FPG: 100 to <126 mg/dL), 58.1% had isolated impaired glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) (HbA1c 5.7 to <6.5) and 23.6% fulfilled both criteria. Follow-up data were available for 166 subjects; 41.6%(37.8 to 45.4) returned to normoglycaemia, 57.6% (57.8 to 61.4) persisted in pre-diabetes and 0.6% (0 to 1.2) progressed to diabetes. Individuals with pre-diabetes had worse cardiometabolic risk profiles and sociodemographic features than normoglycaemic subjects. In the logistic regression model, variables significantly associated with pre-diabetes were older age (OR; 95% CI) (1.033; 1.011 to 1.056), higher physical activity (0.546; 0.360 to 0.827), body mass index (1.121; 1.029 to 1.222) and a family history of diabetes (1.543; 1.025 to 2.323). The variables significantly associated with glycaemic normalisation were older age (0.948; 0.916 to 0.982) and body mass index (0.779; 0.651 to 0.931). Conclusions: Among adults in our region, the estimated prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes was 3.4% and that of pre-diabetes was 39.3%. After a 1-year follow-up, a small proportion of subjects (0.6%) with pre-diabetes progressed to diabetes, while a high proportion (41.6%) returned to normoglycaemia. Individuals with pre-diabetes who returned to normoglycaemia were younger and had a lower body mass inde

CD11b Signaling Prevents Chondrocyte Mineralization and Attenuates the Severity of Osteoarthritis.

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a progressive joint disease that is strongly associated with calcium-containing crystal formation (mineralization) by chondrocytes leading ultimately to cartilage calcification. However, this calcification process is poorly understood and treatments targeting the underlying disease mechanisms are lacking. The CD11b/CD18 integrin (Mac-1 or αMβ2), a member of the beta 2 integrin family of adhesion receptors, is critically involved in the development of several inflammatory diseases, including rheumatoid arthritis and systemic lupus erythematosus. We found that in a collagen-induced arthritis, CD11b-deficient mice exhibited increased cartilage degradation compared to WT control animals. However, the functional significance of CD11b integrin signaling in the pathophysiology of chondrocytes remains unknown. CD11b expression was found in the extracellular matrix and in chondrocytes in both healthy and damaged human and murine articular cartilage. Primary murine CD11b KO chondrocytes showed increased mineralization when induced in vitro by secondary calciprotein particles (CPP) and quantified by Alizarin Red staining. This increased propensity to mineralize was associated with an increased alkaline phosphatase (Alp) expression (measured by qRT-PCR and activity assay) and an enhanced secretion of the pro-mineralizing IL-6 cytokine compared to control wild-type cells (measured by ELISA). Accordingly, addition of an anti-IL-6 receptor antibody to CD11b KO chondrocytes reduced significantly the calcification and identified IL-6 as a pro-mineralizing factor in these cells. In the same conditions, the ratio of qRT-PCR expression of collagen X over collagen II, and that of Runx2 over Sox9 (both ratio being indexes of chondrocyte hypertrophy) were increased in CD11b-deficient cells. Conversely, the CD11b activator LA1 reduced chondrocyte mineralization, Alp expression, IL-6 production and collagen X expression. In the meniscectomy (MNX) model of murine knee osteoarthritis, deficiency of CD11b led to more severe OA (OARSI scoring of medial cartilage damage in CD11b: 5.6 ± 1.8, in WT: 1.2 ± 0.5, p &lt; 0.05, inflammation in CD11b: 2.8 ± 0.2, in WT: 1.4 ± 0.5). In conclusion, these data demonstrate that CD11b signaling prevents chondrocyte hypertrophy and chondrocyte mineralization in vitro and has a protective role in models of OA in vivo

Targeted knock-in mice expressing the oxidase-fixed form of xanthine oxidoreductase favor tumor growth.

Xanthine oxidoreductase has been implicated in cancer. Nonetheless, the role played by its two convertible forms, xanthine dehydrogenase (XDH) and oxidase (XO) during tumorigenesis is not understood. Here we produce XDH-stable and XO-locked knock-in (ki) mice to address this question. After tumor transfer, XO ki mice show strongly increased tumor growth compared to wild type (WT) and XDH ki mice. Hematopoietic XO expression is responsible for this effect. After macrophage depletion, tumor growth is reduced. Adoptive transfer of XO-ki macrophages in WT mice increases tumor growth. In vitro, XO ki macrophages produce higher levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS) responsible for the increased Tregs observed in the tumors. Blocking ROS in vivo slows down tumor growth. Collectively, these results indicate that the balance of XO/XDH plays an important role in immune surveillance of tumor development. Strategies that inhibit the XO form specifically may be valuable in controlling cancer growth

Mediterranean diet and healthy eating in subjects with prediabetes from the mollerussa prospective observational cohort study

Altres ajuts: Institut Universitari d'Investigació en Atenció Primària Jordi Gol (IDIAP Jordi Gol) i Instituto de Salud Carlos III (Plan Nacional de I+D+I i Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional).We aimed to assess differences in dietary patterns (i.e., Mediterranean diet and healthy eating indexes) between participants with prediabetes and those with normal glucose tolerance. Secondarily, we analyzed factors related to prediabetes and dietary patterns. This was a cross-sec-tional study design. From a sample of 594 participants recruited in the Mollerussa study cohort, a total of 535 participants (216 with prediabetes and 319 with normal glucose tolerance) were in-cluded. The alternate Mediterranean Diet score (aMED) and the alternate Healthy Eating Index (aHEI) were calculated. Bivariable and multivariable analyses were performed. There was no dif-ference in the mean aMED and aHEI scores between groups (3.2 (1.8) in the normoglycemic group and 3.4 (1.8) in the prediabetes group, p = 0.164 for the aMED and 38.6 (7.3) in the normoglycemic group and 38.7 (6.7) in the prediabetes group, p = 0.877 for the aHEI, respectively). Nevertheless, women had a higher mean of aMED and aHEI scores in the prediabetes group (3.7 (1.9), p = 0.001 and 40.5 (6.9), p < 0.001, respectively); moreover, they had a higher mean of aHEI in the group with normoglycemia (39.8 (6.6); p = 0.001). No differences were observed in daily food intake between both study groups; consistent with this finding, we did not find major differences in nutrient intake between groups. In the multivariable analyses, the aMED and aHEI were not associated with pre-diabetes (odds ratio (OR): 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75-1.87; p = 0.460 and OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 0.83-2.10; p = 0.246, respectively); however, age (OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02-1.05; p < 0.001), dyslipidemia (OR: 2.02, 95% CI: 1.27-3.22; p = 0.003) and body mass index (BMI) (OR: 1.09, 95% CI: 1.05-1.14; p < 0.001) were positively associated with prediabetes. Physical activity was associated with a lower frequency of prediabetes (OR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.31-0.72; p = 0.001). In conclusion, subjects with prediabetes did not show a different dietary pattern compared with a normal glucose tolerance group. However, further research is needed on this issue

Prediabetes is independently associated with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis : An observational study in a non-urban mediterranean population

This was a prospective, observational study to compare the burden of subclinical atherosclerosis as measured by carotid ultrasonography in a cohort of subjects with prediabetes vs. subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) from a non-urban Mediterranean population. Atherosclerosis was assessed through carotid intima-media thickness (c-IMT), the presence/absence of carotid plaques, and plaque number. Among 550 subjects included, 224 (40.7%) had prediabetes. The mean c-IMT and the prevalence of carotid plaque were significantly higher in the prediabetes group compared to the NGT group (0.72 vs. 0.67 mm, p < 0.001; and 37.9% vs. 19.6%; p < 0.001, respectively). Older age, male gender, and increased systolic blood pressure were positively correlated with c-IMT and were independent predictors of the presence of plaques. In contrast, prediabetes and low-density lipoprotein (LDL)-c were predictors of the presence of plaque (odds ratio [OR] = 1.64; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.05-2.57; p = 0.03 and OR = 1.01; 95% CI = 1.00-1.02; p = 0.006, respectively) together with tobacco exposure and the leukocyte count (OR = 1.77; 95% CI = 1.08-2.89; p = 0.023 and OR = 1.20; 95% CI = 1.05-1.38; p = 0.008, respectively). In a non-urban Mediterranean population, prediabetes was associated with established subclinical carotid atherosclerosis. These findings could have implications for the prevention and treatment of CV risk in these subjects before the first symptoms of cardiovascular disease appear

Circulating CD5L is associated with cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality in individuals with chronic kidney disease

This study assessed the association of CD5L and soluble CD36 (sCD36) with the risk of a cardiovascular event (CVE), including CV death and all-cause mortality in CKD. We evaluated the association of CD5L and sCD36 with a predefined composite CV endpoint (unstable angina, myocardial infarction, transient ischemic attack, cerebrovascular accident, congestive heart failure, arrhythmia, peripheral arterial disease [PAD] or amputation by PAD, aortic aneurysm, or death from CV causes) and all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards regression, adjusted for CV risk factors. The analysis included 1,516 participants free from pre-existing CV disease followed up for 4 years. The median age was 62 years, 38.8% were female, and 26.8% had diabetes. There were 98 (6.5%) CVEs and 72 (4.8%) deaths, of which 26 (36.1%) were of CV origin. Higher baseline CD5L concentration was associated with increased risk of CVE (HR, 95% CI, 1.17, 1.0-1.36), and all-cause mortality (1.22, 1.01-1.48) after adjusting for age, sex, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, dyslipidemia, waist circumference, smoking, and CKD stage. sCD36 showed no association with adverse CV outcomes or mortality. Our study showed for the first time that higher concentrations of CD5L are associated with future CVE and all-cause mortality in individuals with CKD