Shock Index Values and Trends in Pediatric Sepsis: Predictors or Therapeutic Targets? A retrospective observational study

BACKGROUND: Shock index (SI) (heart rate/systolic blood pressure) has been used to predict outcome in both adult and pediatric sepsis within the intensive care unit (ICU). We aimed to evaluate the utility of SI prior to pediatric ICU (PICU) admission. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study of children referred to a pediatric intensive care transport service (PICTS) between 2005 and 2011. The predictive value of SI, heart rate and blood pressure at three pre-specified time points (at referral to PICTS, at PICTS arrival at the referring hospital, and at PICU admission), and changes in SI between the time points, were evaluated. Death within the first 48 hours of ICU admission (early death) was the primary outcome variable. RESULTS: Over the seven-year period, 572 children with sepsis were referred to the PICTS. Thirty-nine children died prior to transport to a PICU, while 474 were transported alive. Adjusting for age, time-points and time duration in a multi-level regression analysis, SI was significantly higher in those who died early. There was a significant improvement in SI with the transport team in survivors but not in non-survivors. However, the predictive value of a change in SI for mortality was no better than either a change in heart rate or blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: The absolute or change in SI does not predict early death any more than heart rate and systolic blood pressure individually in children with sepsis

Environmental and Demographic Determinants of Avian Influenza Viruses in Waterfowl across the Contiguous United States

Outbreaks of avian influenza in North American poultry have been linked to wild waterfowl. A first step towards understanding where and when avian influenza viruses might emerge from North American waterfowl is to identify environmental and demographic determinants of infection in their populations. Laboratory studies indicate water temperature as one determinant of environmental viral persistence and we explored this hypothesis at the landscape scale. We also hypothesized that the interval apparent prevalence in ducks within a local watershed during the overwintering season would influence infection probabilities during the following breeding season within the same local watershed. Using avian influenza virus surveillance data collected from 19,965 wild waterfowl across the contiguous United States between October 2006 and September 2009 We fit Logistic regression models relating the infection status of individual birds sampled on their breeding grounds to demographic characteristics, temperature, and interval apparent prevalence during the preceding overwintering season at the local watershed scale. We found strong support for sex, age, and species differences in the probability an individual duck tested positive for avian influenza virus. In addition, we found that for every seven days the local minimum temperature fell below zero, the chance an individual would test positive for avian influenza virus increased by 5.9 percent. We also found a twelve percent increase in the chance an individual would test positive during the breeding season for every ten percent increase in the interval apparent prevalence during the prior overwintering season. These results suggest that viral deposition in water and sub-freezing temperatures during the overwintering season may act as determinants of individual level infection risk during the subsequent breeding season. Our findings have implications for future surveillance activities in waterfowl and domestic poultry populations. Further study is needed to identify how these drivers might interact with other host-specific infection determinants, such as species phylogeny, immunological status, and behavioral characteristics

Management of Diseases Caused by Pectobacterium and Dickeya Species

Management of soft rot Pectobacteriaceae (SRP) is a challenge as there are no control agents available and no effective resistance present in commercial cultivars. In addition, many species of SRP have a broad host range and spread via rotten plant material takes place readily. In this chapter, the possibilities for disease management are outlined. Management is mainly based on seed certification to limit the risks of using infected planting material, and on hygiene and cultivation practices that reduce cross-contamination within and between seed lots. Balanced nutrition also supports the suppressiveness of crops against SRP. Experimental data show that inoculum in seed tubers can be reduced by thermotherapy and the use of biocides. Under controlled conditions, application of seed potatoes with biocontrol agents has showed promising results but few data are present on the efficacy of biocontrol in the field. Resistance in wild Solanum species against SRP has been found but to date no genes have been transferred to cultivars. However, new breeding technologies, such as CRISPR/CAS 9 and the use of true potato seed (TPS), will give us new perspectives on the generation of resistant cultivars