A predictive fitness model for influenza

The seasonal human influenza A/H3N2 virus undergoes rapid evolution, which produces significant year-to-year sequence turnover in the population of circulating strains. Adaptive mutations respond to human immune challenge and occur primarily in antigenic epitopes, the antibody-binding domains of the viral surface protein haemagglutinin. Here we develop a fitness model for haemagglutinin that predicts the evolution of the viral population from one year to the next. Two factors are shown to determine the fitness of a strain: adaptive epitope changes and deleterious mutations outside the epitopes. We infer both fitness components for the strains circulating in a given year, using population-genetic data of all previous strains. From fitness and frequency of each strain, we predict the frequency of its descendent strains in the following year. This fitness model maps the adaptive history of influenza A and suggests a principled method for vaccine selection. Our results call for a more comprehensive epidemiology of influenza and other fast-evolving pathogens that integrates antigenic phenotypes with other viral functions coupled by genetic linkage

Clinical and Genomic Characterization of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) Infections in mRNA Vaccinated Health Care Personnel in New York City

Background Vaccine-induced clinical protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS CoV-2) variants is an evolving target. There are limited genomic level data on SARS CoV-2 breakthrough infections and vaccine effectiveness (VE) since the global spread of the B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant. Methods In a retrospective study from 1 November 2020 to 31 August 2021, divided as pre-Delta and Delta-dominant periods, laboratory-confirmed SARS CoV-2 infections among healthcare personnel (HCP) at a large tertiary cancer center in New York City were examined to compare the weekly infection rate-ratio in vaccinated, partially vaccinated, and unvaccinated HCP. We describe the clinical and genomic epidemiologic features of post-vaccine infections to assess for selection of variants of concern (VOC)/variants of interest (VOI) in the early post-vaccine period and impact of B.1.617.2 (Delta) variant domination on VE. Results Among 13658 HCP in our cohort, 12379 received at least 1 dose of a messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine. In the pre-Delta period overall VE was 94.5%. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) of 369 isolates in the pre-Delta period did not reveal a clade bias for VOC/VOI specific to post-vaccine infections. VE in the Delta dominant phase was 75.6%. No hospitalizations occurred among vaccinated HCP in the entire study period, compared to 17 hospitalizations and 1 death among unvaccinated HCP. Conclusions Findings show high VE among HCP in New York City in the pre-Delta phase, with moderate decline in VE post-Delta emergence. SARS CoV-2 clades were similarly distributed among vaccinated and unvaccinated infected HCP without apparent clustering during the pre-Delta period of diverse clade circulation. Strong vaccine protection against hospitalization was maintained through the entire study period. study of >13000 healthcare personnel (HCP) showed that messenger RNA (mRNA) vaccine effectiveness (VE) against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was 94% through initial 5 months of follow-up, with moderate VE reduction to 75% during subsequent Delta-dominant period. No hospitalizations occurred among vaccinated HCP throughout the study period

Discovery of ultrapotent broadly neutralizing antibodies from SARS-CoV-2 elite neutralizers

A fraction of COVID-19 convalescent individuals mount a potent antibody response to SARS-CoV-2 with cross-reactivity to SARS-CoV-1. To uncover their humoral response in detail, we performed single B cell analysis from 10 SARS-CoV-2 elite neutralizers. We isolated and analyzed 126 monoclonal antibodies, many of which were sarbecovirus cross-reactive, with some displaying merbecovirus-and embecovirus-reactivity. Several isolated broadly neutralizing antibodies were effective against B.1.1.7, B.1.351, B.1.429, B.1.617, and B.1.617.2 variants and 19 prominent potential escape sites. Furthermore, assembly of 716,806 SARSCoV-2 sequences predicted emerging escape variants, which were also effectively neutralized. One of these broadly neutralizing potent antibodies, R40-1G8, is a IGHV3-53 RBD-class-1 antibody. Remarkably, cryo-EM analysis revealed that R40-1G8 has a flexible binding mode, targeting both upand downconformations of the RBD. Given the threat of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants, we demonstrate that elite neutralizers are a valuable source for isolating ultrapotent antibody candidates to prevent and treat SARS-CoV-2 infection

Clinical and molecular features of acquired resistance to immunotherapy in non-small cell lung cancer

Although cancer immunotherapy with PD-(L)1 blockade is now routine treatment for patients with lung cancer, remarkably little is known about acquired resistance. We examined 1,201 patients with NSCLC treated with PD-(L)1 blockade to clinically characterize acquired resistance, finding it to be common (occurring in more than 60% of initial responders), with persistent but diminishing risk over time, and with distinct metastatic and survival patterns compared to primary resistance. To examine the molecular phenotype and potential mechanisms of acquired resistance, we performed whole transcriptome and exome tumor profiling in a subset of NSCLC patients (n=29) with acquired resistance. Systematic immunogenomic analysis revealed that tumors with acquired resistance generally had enriched signals of inflammation (including IFNγ signaling and inferred CD8+ T cells) and could be separated into IFNγ upregulated and stable subsets. IFNγ upregulated tumors had putative routes of resistance with signatures of dysfunctional interferon signaling and mutations in antigen presentation genes. Transcriptomic profiling of cancer cells from a murine model of acquired resistance to PD-(L)1 blockade also showed evidence of dysfunctional interferon signaling and acquired insensitivity to in vitro interferon gamma treatment. In summary, we characterized clinical and molecular features of acquired resistance to PD-(L)1 blockade in NSCLC and found evidence of ongoing but dysfunctional IFN response. The persistently inflamed, rather than excluded or deserted, tumor microenvironment of acquired resistance informs therapeutic strategies to effectively reprogram and reverse acquired resistance

Molecular evidence of SARS-CoV-2 in New York before the first pandemic wave

Matthew M. Hernandez and Ana S. Gonzalez-Reiche and colleagues report evidence of SARSCoV-2 infections in respiratory pathogen-negative nasopharyngeal specimens collected in New York, which date back to over one month before the first officially documented case in the state. The findings provide insights in to the origins of the virus in New York

Identification of unique neoantigen qualities in long-term survivors of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is a lethal cancer with fewer than 7% of patients surviving past 5 years. T-cell immunity has been linked to the exceptional outcome of the few long-term survivors1,2 , yet the relevant antigens remain unknown. Here we use genetic, immunohistochemical and transcriptional immunoprofiling, computational biophysics, and functional assays to identify T-cell antigens in long-term survivors of pancreatic cancer. Using wholeexome sequencing and in silico neoantigen prediction, we found that tumours with both the highest neoantigen number and the most abundant CD8+ T-cell infiltrates, but neither alone, stratified patients with the longest survival. Investigating the specific neoantigen qualities promoting T-cell activation in long-term survivors, we discovered that these individuals were enriched in neoantigen qualities defined by a fitness model, and neoantigens in the tumour antigen MUC16 (also known as CA125). A neoantigen quality fitness model conferring greater immunogenicity to neoantigens with differential presentation and homology to infectious disease-derived peptides identified long-term survivors in two independent datasets, whereas a neoantigen quantity model ascribing greater immunogenicity to increasing neoantigen number alone did not. We detected intratumoural and lasting circulating T-cell reactivity to both high-quality and MUC16 neoantigens in long-term survivors of pancreatic cancer, including clones with specificity to both high-quality neoantigens and predicted cross-reactive microbial epitopes, consistent with neoantigen molecular mimicry. Notably, we observed selective loss of high-quality and MUC16 neoantigenic clones on metastatic progression, suggesting neoantigen immunoediting. Our results identify neoantigens with unique qualities as T-cell targets in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. More broadly, we identify neoantigen quality as a biomarker for immunogenic tumours that may guide the application of immunotherapies