Prediction of functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke : comparison of the CT-DRAGON score and a reduced features set

Background and Purpose:The CT-DRAGON score was developed to predict long-term functional outcome after acute stroke in the anterior circulation treated by thrombolysis. Its implementation in clinical practice may be hampered by its plethora of variables. The current study was designed to develop and evaluate an alternative score, as a reduced set of features, derived from the original CT-DRAGON score. Methods:This single-center retrospective study included 564 patients treated for stroke, in the anterior and the posterior circulation. At 90 days, favorable [modified Rankin Scale score (mRS) of 0-2] and miserable outcome (mRS of 5-6) were predicted by the CT-DRAGON in 427 patients. Bootstrap forests selected the most relevant parameters of the CT-DRAGON, in order to develop a reduced set of features. Discrimination, calibration and misclassification of both models were tested. Results:The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the CT-DRAGON was 0.78 (95% CI 0.74-0.81) for favorable and 0.78 (95% CI 0.72-0.83) for miserable outcome. Misclassification was 29% for favorable and 13.5% for miserable outcome, with a 100% specificity for the latter. National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), pre-stroke mRS and age were identified as the strongest contributors to favorable and miserable outcome and named the reduced features set. While CT-DRAGON was only available in 323 patients (57%), the reduced features set could be calculated in 515 patients (91%) (p < 0.001). Misclassification was 25.8% for favorable and 14.4% for miserable outcome, with a 97% specificity for miserable outcome. The reduced features set had better discriminative power than CT-DRAGON for both outcomes (both p < 0.005), with an AUROC of 0.82 (95% CI 0.79-0.86) and 0.83 (95% CI 0.77-0.87) for favorable and miserable outcome, respectively. Conclusions:The CT-DRAGON score revealed acceptable discrimination in our cohort of both anterior and posterior circulation strokes, receiving all treatment modalities. The reduced features set could be measured in a larger cohort and with better discrimination. However, the reduced features set needs further validation in a prospective, multicentre study

Interaction between stroke severity and quality indicators of acute stroke care : a single-center retrospective analysis

Ischemic stroke leads to substantial mortality and morbidity worldwide. Door-to-CT time, door-to-needle time (DNT), and door-to-groin time (DGT) are important quality indicators of stroke care. However, patient characteristics remain important determinants of outcome as well. In this single-center study, we investigated the interaction between these quality indicators and stroke severity regarding long-term functional outcome. All consecutive stroke patients treated at the ZOL stroke center, Genk, Belgium, between 2017 and 2020 were included in this retrospective observational study. Stroke severity was graded as "mild" if National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) was equal to or lower than 8, "moderate" if NIHSS was between 9 and 15, and "severe" if NIHSS was higher than 16. Modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores were collected before and 3 months after stroke. Ordinal regression analysis with correction for patient characteristics of functional outcome was done. A total of 1255 patients were included, of which 84% suffered an ischemic CVA (n = 1052) and 16% a TIA (n = 203). The proportion of patients treated conservatively or with thrombolysis, thrombectomy, or the combination of both differed according to stroke severity (p < 0.0001). Door-to-CT time was longer in mild and moderate stroke (p < 0.0001). Median DNT also differed between stroke categories: 46 (IQR 31-70) min for mild vs. 36 (25-56) min for moderate vs. 30 (21-45) min for severe stroke (p = 0.0002). Median DGT did not differ between stroke severity categories (p = 0.15). NIHSS on admission and pre-stroke mRS were independently associated with mRS at 90 days. Operational performance, reflected in door-to-CT time and DNT, was worse in patients with mild and moderate stroke severity. DNT was also associated with functional outcome in our center, along with pre-stroke mRS, NIHSS on admission and age

The Prognostic Value of Simplified EEG in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients

BACKGROUND: We previously validated simplified electroencephalogram (EEG) tracings obtained by a bispectral index (BIS) device against standard EEG. This retrospective study now investigated whether BIS EEG tracings can predict neurological outcome after cardiac arrest (CA). METHODS: Bilateral BIS monitoring (BIS VISTA™, Aspect Medical Systems, Inc. Norwood, USA) was started following intensive care unit admission. Six, 12, 18, 24, 36 and 48 h after targeted temperature management (TTM) at 33 °C was started, BIS EEG tracings were extracted and reviewed by two neurophysiologists for the presence of slow diffuse rhythm, burst suppression, cerebral inactivity and epileptic activity (defined as continuous, monomorphic, > 2 Hz generalized sharp activity or continuous, monomorphic, < 2 Hz generalized blunt activity). At 180 days post-CA, neurological outcome was determined using cerebral performance category (CPC) classification (CPC1-2: good and CPC3-5: poor neurological outcome). RESULTS: Sixty-three out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients were enrolled for data analysis of whom 32 had a good and 31 a poor neurological outcome. Epileptic activity within 6-12 h predicted CPC3-5 with a positive predictive value (PPV) of 100%. Epileptic activity within time frames 18-24 and 36-48 h showed a PPV for CPC3-5 of 90 and 93%, respectively. Cerebral inactivity within 6-12 h predicted CPC3-5 with a PPV of 57%. In contrast, cerebral inactivity between 36 and 48 h predicted CPC3-5 with a PPV of 100%. The pattern with the worst predictive power at any time point was burst suppression with PPV of 44, 57 and 40% at 6-12 h, at 18-24 h and at 36-48 h, respectively. Slow diffuse rhythms at 6-12 h, at 18-24 h and at 36-48 h predicted CPC1-2 with PPV of 74, 76 and 80%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Based on simplified BIS EEG, the presence of epileptic activity at any time and cerebral inactivity after the end of TTM may assist poor outcome prognostication in successfully resuscitated CA patients. A slow diffuse rhythm at any time after CA was indicative for a good neurological outcome.status: publishe