A participatory methodology for future scenario analysis of sub-national water and sanitation access: case study of Kisumu, Kenya

This study pilots a participatory methodology for sub-national spatial planning of urban and peri-urban water and sanitation services. Three groups of key informants were presented with evidence on national historic and future service provision trajectories and asked to map water and sanitation access in the city of Kisumu, Kenya, by 2030, assuming current trends continue. Comparison of the groups’ outputs suggests greater certainty among participants regarding service access in Kisumu’s urban core compared to peri-urban areas. We discuss extensions to this preliminary methodology, including the potential benefits of its application to Kenya’s rapidly expanding small towns as suggested by participants

Disposable diaper consumption in sub-Saharan Africa: Estimating the risks of associated unsafe waste

Disposable diaper use is widespread in many low- and middle-income countries whilst waste collection services are scarce. Despite the potential environmental and public health impacts of disposable diaper consumption by households lacking waste services, an international system for monitoring such consumption is lacking. This study therefore aims to develop and evaluate a method for estimating disposable diaper use based on secondary data, specifically nationally representative household expenditure surveys. Disposable diaper expenditure reported via household expenditure surveys for Nigeria (from 2018–19), Kenya (2015–16) and Ghana (2016–17) was used to estimate national disposable diaper consumption among households lacking waste collection services. To assess plausibility of reported expenditure, consumption-smoothing was examined, and Receiver Operating Curve analysis was used to infer mean toilet-training age. In Ghana, Kenya and Nigeria, households lacking appropriately managed waste services consumed an estimated 19 million, 210 million and 285 million disposable diapers per year (292 child/year, 433 child/year and 59 child/year among nappy-consuming households), respectively. Mean toilet-training ages were 24 to 30 months. Disposable diaper purchasing patterns showed evidence of consumption-smoothing among poorer households. Where commodity coding allows, household expenditure surveys can be used to construct internationally comparable indicators depicting disposable diaper consumption among households lacking waste services. Such indicators could be used to advocate for accelerated diaper product innovation, and target areas with high disposable diaper consumption but low waste service coverage

On the use of household expenditure surveys to monitor mismanaged plastic waste from food packaging in low- and middle-income countries

Background: substantial increases in plastic production have resulted in plastics proliferating of in the environment, with subsequent seabed plastic deposition and ingestion by marine fauna. There is an urgent need to monitor mismanaged plastic waste from household consumption. Household expenditure survey analysis has quantified mismanaged plastic waste generated from household packaged (bottled or bagged) water consumption, but not from consumption of other products. Methods: to evaluate whether household expenditure surveys can quantify mismanaged waste from other widely consumed commodities, we quantify mismanaged plastic waste from the domestic consumption of cooking oil alongside packaged water in urban Greater Accra, Ghana, and all cities nationally in Kenya using two household expenditure surveys. Results: household survey-derived estimates indicate packaged water consumption generates considerably more plastic waste than oil packaging in Greater Accra, whereas oil packaging generates more plastic waste than packaged water in urban Kenya. Conclusion: by successfully transferring a survey analysis protocol from packaged water to cooking oil, we conclude that there is ample potential for expenditure surveys to be used internationally to quantify mismanaged plastic waste from households. However, uncertainties affecting mismanaged waste estimates need to be accounted for