Prediction models for hormone receptor status in female breast cancer do not extend to males : further evidence of sex-based disparity in breast cancer

© 2023. The Author(s).Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Deep learning trained on lymph node status predicts outcome from gastric cancer histopathology: a retrospective multicentric study

Aim Gastric cancer (GC) is a tumor entity with highly variant outcomes. Lymph node metastasis is a prognostically adverse biomarker. We hypothesized that GC primary tissue contains information that is predictive of lymph node status and patient prognosis and that this information can be extracted using Deep Learning (DL). Methods Using three patient cohorts comprising 1146 patients, we trained and validated a DL system to predict lymph node status directly from hematoxylin-and-eosin stained GC tissue sections. We investigated the concordance between the DL-based prediction from the primary tumor slides (aiN score) and the histopathological lymph node status (pN). Furthermore, we assessed the prognostic value of the aiN score alone and when combined with the pN status. Results The aiN score predicted the pN status reaching Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curves (AUROCs) of 0.71 in the training cohort and 0.69 and 0.65 in the two test cohorts. In a multivariate Cox analysis, the aiN score was an independent predictor of patient survival with Hazard Ratios (HR) of 1.5 in the training cohort and of 1.3 and 2.2 in the two test cohorts. A combination of the aiN score and the pN status prognostically stratified patients by survival with p-values <0.05 in log-rank tests. Conclusion GC primary tumor tissue contains additional prognostic information that is accessible using the aiN score. In combination with the pN status, this can be used for personalized management of gastric cancer patients after prospective validation

Benchmarking weakly-supervised deep learning pipelines for whole slide classification in computational pathology.

Artificial intelligence (AI) can extract visual information from histopathological slides and yield biological insight and clinical biomarkers. Whole slide images are cut into thousands of tiles and classification problems are often weakly-supervised: the ground truth is only known for the slide, not for every single tile. In classical weakly-supervised analysis pipelines, all tiles inherit the slide label while in multiple-instance learning (MIL), only bags of tiles inherit the label. However, it is still unclear how these widely used but markedly different approaches perform relative to each other. We implemented and systematically compared six methods in six clinically relevant end-to-end prediction tasks using data from N=2980 patients for training with rigorous external validation. We tested three classical weakly-supervised approaches with convolutional neural networks and vision transformers (ViT) and three MIL-based approaches with and without an additional attention module. Our results empirically demonstrate that histological tumor subtyping of renal cell carcinoma is an easy task in which all approaches achieve an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of above 0.9. In contrast, we report significant performance differences for clinically relevant tasks of mutation prediction in colorectal, gastric, and bladder cancer. In these mutation prediction tasks, classical weakly-supervised workflows outperformed MIL-based weakly-supervised methods for mutation prediction, which is surprising given their simplicity. This shows that new end-to-end image analysis pipelines in computational pathology should be compared to classical weakly-supervised methods. Also, these findings motivate the development of new methods which combine the elegant assumptions of MIL with the empirically observed higher performance of classical weakly-supervised approaches. We make all source codes publicly available at https://github.com/KatherLab/HIA, allowing easy application of all methods to any similar task

Predicting Mutational Status of Driver and Suppressor Genes Directly from Histopathology With Deep Learning:A Systematic Study Across 23 Solid Tumor Types

In the last four years, advances in Deep Learning technology have enabled the inference of selected mutational alterations directly from routine histopathology slides. In particular, recent studies have shown that genetic changes in clinically relevant driver genes are reflected in the histological phenotype of solid tumors and can be inferred by analysing routine Haematoxylin and Eosin (H&E) stained tissue sections with Deep Learning. However, these studies mostly focused on selected individual genes in selected tumor types. In addition, genetic changes in solid tumors primarily act by changing signaling pathways that regulate cell behaviour. In this study, we hypothesized that Deep Learning networks can be trained to directly predict alterations of genes and pathways across a spectrum of solid tumors. We manually outlined tumor tissue in H&E-stained tissue sections from 7,829 patients with 23 different tumor types from The Cancer Genome Atlas. We then trained convolutional neural networks in an end-to-end way to detect alterations in the most clinically relevant pathways or genes, directly from histology images. Using this automatic approach, we found that alterations in 12 out of 14 clinically relevant pathways and numerous single gene alterations appear to be detectable in tissue sections, many of which have not been reported before. Interestingly, we show that the prediction performance for single gene alterations is better than that for pathway alterations. Collectively, these data demonstrate the predictability of genetic alterations directly from routine cancer histology images and show that individual genes leave a stronger morphological signature than genetic pathways

Classical mathematical models for prediction of response to chemotherapy and immunotherapy

Classical mathematical models of tumor growth have shaped our understanding of cancer and have broad practical implications for treatment scheduling and dosage. However, even the simplest textbook models have been barely validated in real world-data of human patients. In this study, we fitted a range of differential equation models to tumor volume measurements of patients undergoing chemotherapy or cancer immunotherapy for solid tumors. We used a large dataset of 1472 patients with three or more measurements per target lesion, of which 652 patients had six or more data points. We show that the early treatment response shows only moderate correlation with the final treatment response, demonstrating the need for nuanced models. We then perform a head-to-head comparison of six classical models which are widely used in the field: The Exponential, Logistic, Classic Bertalanffy, General Bertalanffy, Classic Gompertz and General Gompertz model. Several models provide a good fit to tumor volume measurements, with the Gompertz model providing the best balance between goodness of fit and number of parameters. Similarly, when fitting to early treatment data, the general Bertalanffy and Gompertz models yield the lowest mean absolute error to forecasted data, indicating that these models could potentially be effective at predicting treatment outcome. In summary, we provide a quantitative benchmark for classical textbook models and state-of-the art models of human tumor growth. We publicly release an anonymized version of our original data, providing the first benchmark set of human tumor growth data for evaluation of mathematical models.Transport and LogisticsMathematical Physic