A dedicated tool for a full 3D Cn2 investigation

We present in this study a mapping of the optical turbulence (OT) above different astronomical sites. The mesoscale model Meso-NH was used together with the Astro-Meso-Nh package and a set of diagnostic tools allowing for a full 3D investigation of the Cn2. The diagnostics implemented in the Astro-Meso-Nh, allowing for a full 3D investigation of the OT structure in a volumetric space above different sites, are presented. To illustrate the different diagnostics and their potentialities, we investigated one night and looked at instantaneous fields of meteorologic and astroclimatic parameters. To show the potentialities of this tool for applications in an Observatory we ran the model above sites with very different OT distributions: the antarctic plateau (Dome C, Dome A, South Pole) and a mid-latitude site (Mt. Graham, Arizona). We put particular emphasis on the 2D maps of integrated astroclimatic parameters (seeing, isoplanatic angles) calculated in different slices at different heights in the troposhere. This is an useful tool of prediction and investigation of the turbulence structure. It can support the optimization of the AO, GLAO and MCAO systems running at the focus of the ground-based telescopes.From this studies it emerges that the astronomical sites clearly present different OT behaviors. Besides, our tool allowed us for discriminating these sites.Comment: 7 pages, 5 figures, SPIE 2010 conferenc

Forecast of surface layer meteorological parameters at Cerro Paranal with a mesoscale atmospherical model

This article aims at proving the feasibility of the forecast of all the most relevant classical atmospherical parameters for astronomical applications (wind speed and direction, temperature) above the ESO ground-base site of Cerro Paranal with a mesoscale atmospherical model called Meso-Nh. In a precedent paper we have preliminarily treated the model performances obtained in reconstructing some key atmospherical parameters in the surface layer 0-30~m studying the bias and the RMSE on a statistical sample of 20 nights. Results were very encouraging and it appeared therefore mandatory to confirm such a good result on a much richer statistical sample. In this paper, the study was extended to a total sample of 129 nights between 2007 and 2011 distributed in different parts of the solar year. This large sample made our analysis more robust and definitive in terms of the model performances and permitted us to confirm the excellent performances of the model. Besides, we present an independent analysis of the model performances using the method of the contingency tables. Such a method permitted us to provide complementary key informations with respect to the bias and the RMSE particularly useful for an operational implementation of a forecast system.Comment: 20 pages, 8 figures, 18 tables, published in MNRA

Meso-Nh simulations of the atmospheric flow above the Internal Antarctic Plateau

Mesoscale model such as Meso-Nh have proven to be highly reliable in reproducing 3D maps of optical turbulence (see Refs. 1, 2, 3, 4) above mid-latitude astronomical sites. These last years ground-based astronomy has been looking towards Antarctica. Especially its summits and the Internal Continental Plateau where the optical turbulence appears to be confined in a shallow layer close to the icy surface. Preliminary measurements have so far indicated pretty good value for the seeing above 30-35 m: 0.36" (see Ref. 5) and 0.27" (see Refs. 6, 7) at Dome C. Site testing campaigns are however extremely expensive, instruments provide only local measurements and atmospheric modelling might represent a step ahead towards the search and selection of astronomical sites thanks to the possibility to reconstruct 3D Cn2 maps over a surface of several kilometers. The Antarctic Plateau represents therefore an important benchmark test to evaluate the possibility to discriminate sites on the same plateau. Our group8 has proven that the analyses from the ECMWF global model do not describe with the required accuracy the antarctic boundary and surface layer in the plateau. A better description could be obtained with a mesoscale meteorological model. In this contribution we present the progress status report of numerical simulations (including the optical turbulence - Cn2) obtained with Meso-Nh above the internal Antarctic Plateau. Among the topic attacked: the influence of different configurations of the model (low and high horizontal resolution), use of the grid-nesting interactive technique, forecasting of the optical turbulence during some winter nights.Comment: 12 pages, 4 figures, SPIE 2008 conferenc

Dealing with the forecast of the optical turbulence as a tool to support astronomy assisted by AO facilities

In the context of the research activities related to the forecast of the optical turbulence and the atmospherical parameters being relevant for ground-based astronomy we focus here our attention on two specific topics: 1. pros and cons of different solutions to supply wind speed and direction stratification on the whole atmosphere all along a night to support AO facilities; 2. the necessity of instrumentation for optical turbulence monitoring (vertical profiles on the whole atmosphere) to be used operationally. In the last two decades the development and the use of different vertical profilers covering the whole atmosphere or part of it in application to the astronomy took place. Several instruments based on different principles (with associated pros and cons) have been applied in different contexts in astronomy with a main use in the site characterization and site selection. Time changed and the necessity of the astronomy supported by AO facilities is much more demanding with a diversification of applications. Recently, motivated by a precise necessity related to the identification of an absolute reference to carry out studies on optical turbulence forecasts (MOSE project), we carried out a verification of the reliability of a few instruments that lead us to put in evidence some limitations for a few of them. At the same time such a detailed analysis permitted us to clarify the nature of some astroclimatic parameters. The main conclusion at which we arrived is two-fold. From one side we could trace a list of warnings related to different uses of such instruments. On the other side we could identify open problems that indicate that there is still space for research in the field of turbulence monitoring in application to the astronomy. Some suggestions are proposed

Operational optical turbulence forecast for the service mode of top-class ground based telescopes

In this contribution we present the most relevant results obtained in the context of a feasibility study (MOSE) undertaken for ESO. The principal aim of the project was to quantify the performances of an atmospherical non-hydrostatical mesoscale model (Astro-Meso-NH code) in forecasting all the main atmospherical parameters relevant for the ground-based astronomical observations and the optical turbulence (CN2 and associated integrated astroclimatic parameters) above Cerro Paranal (site of the VLT) and Cerro Armazones (site of the E-ELT). A detailed analysis on the score of success of the predictive capacities of the system have been carried out for all the astroclimatic as well as for the atmospherical parameters. Considering the excellent results that we obtained, this study proved the opportunity to implement on these two sites an automatic system to be run nightly in an operational configuration to support the scheduling of scientific programs as well as of astronomical facilities (particularly those supported by AO systems) of the VLT and the E-ELT. At the end of 2016 a new project for the implementation of a demonstrator of an operational system to be run on the two ESO's sites will start. The fact that the system can be run simultaneously on the two sites is an ancillary appealing feature of the system. Our team is also responsible for the implementation of a similar automatic system at Mt.Graham, site of the LBT (ALTA Project). Our system/method will permit therefore to make a step ahead in the framework of the Service Mode for new generation telescopes. Among the most exciting achieved results we cite the fact that we proved to be able to forecast CN2 profiles with a vertical resolution as high as 150 m. Such a feature is particularly crucial for all WFAO systems that require such detailed information on the OT vertical stratification on the whole 20 km above the ground. This important achievement tells us that all the WFAO systems can rely on automatic systems that are able to support their optimized use. <P /

SIMULATIONS NUMERIQUES D'EPISODES DE PRECIPITATIONS INTENSES DOCUMENTES LORS DE LA CAMPAGNE DE MESURES MAP (MESOSCALE ALPINE PROGRAMME)

Heavy rainfalls frequently occur on the southern side of the Alps,resulting in casualties and millions of US dollars worth of damage.Improving the understanding and forecasting of these events is one ofthe central objectives of current operational meteorology.In 1999, the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP) provided detaileddocumentation on several major rain events.In this study, some of these events are simulated using the Frenchnon-hydrostatic model, Meso-NH.We first focus on the sensitivity of the forecasting of a strongconvective event to the microphysical scheme used in the model, and tothe initial conditions.The study is then broadened to two other MAP events.It appears clearly that different flow regimes generatedifferent microphysical behaviour of the clouds.Des épisodes de précipitations intenses se produisent fréquemment sur les Alpes durant la saison automnale, occasionnant régulièrement de nombreux dégâts matériels et humains.L'amélioration de leur prévision est un enjeu majeur de la météorologie opérationnelle actuelle.En 1999, le programme MAP (Mesoscale Alpine Programme) a été mis en place afin de recueillir une base de données importante décrivant plusieurs de ces épisodes.Certains de ces épisodes ont été simulés à l'aide du modèle non-hydrostatique Meso-NH.L'attention est d'abord portée sur la sensibilité de la prévision d'un épisode fortement convectif au schéma microphysique utilisé, ainsi qu'aux conditions initiales. Ensuite l'étude est élargie à deux autres évènements et il est mis en évidence des comportements microphysiques différents en fonction des caractéristiques du flux incident