Dynamic asset trees and Black Monday

The minimum spanning tree, based on the concept of ultrametricity, is constructed from the correlation matrix of stock returns. The dynamics of this asset tree can be characterised by its normalised length and the mean occupation layer, as measured from an appropriately chosen centre called the `central node'. We show how the tree length shrinks during a stock market crisis, Black Monday in this case, and how a strong reconfiguration takes place, resulting in topological shrinking of the tree.Comment: 6 pages, 3 eps figues. Elsevier style. Will appear in Physica A as part of the Bali conference proceedings, in pres

Genetic neurological channelopathies: molecular genetics and clinical phenotypes

Evidence accumulated over recent years has shown that genetic neurological channelopathies can cause many different neurological diseases. Presentations relating to the brain, spinal cord, peripheral nerve or muscle mean that channelopathies can impact on almost any area of neurological practice. Typically, neurological channelopathies are inherited in an autosomal dominant fashion and cause paroxysmal disturbances of neurological function, although the impairment of function can become fixed with time. These disorders are individually rare, but an accurate diagnosis is important as it has genetic counselling and often treatment implications. Furthermore, the study of less common ion channel mutation-related diseases has increased our understanding of pathomechanisms that is relevant to common neurological diseases such as migraine and epilepsy. Here, we review the molecular genetic and clinical features of inherited neurological channelopathies

Identification of clusters of companies in stock indices via Potts super-paramagnetic transitions

The clustering of companies within a specific stock market index is studied by means of super-paramagnetic transitions of an appropriate q-state Potts model where the spins correspond to companies and the interactions are functions of the correlation coefficients determined from the time dependence of the companies' individual stock prices. The method is a generalization of the clustering algorithm by Domany et. al. to the case of anti-ferromagnetic interactions corresponding to anti-correlations. For the Dow Jones Industrial Average where no anti-correlations were observed in the investigated time period, the previous results obtained by different tools were well reproduced. For the Standard & Poor's 500, where anti-correlations occur, repulsion between stocks modify the cluster structure.Comment: 4 pages; changed conten

Multifractal model of asset returns with leverage effect

Multifractal processes are a relatively new tool of stock market analysis. Their power lies in the ability to take multiple orders of autocorrelations into account explicitly. In the first part of the paper we discuss the framework of the Lux model and refine the underlying phenomenological picture. We also give a procedure of fitting all parameters to empirical data. We present a new approach to account for the effective length of power-law memory in volatility. The second part of the paper deals with the consequences of asymmetry in returns. We incorporate two related stylized facts, skewness and leverage autocorrelations into the model. Then from Monte Carlo measurements we show, that this asymmetry significantly increases the mean squared error of volatility forecasts. Based on a filtering method we give evidence on similar behavior in empirical data.Comment: 23 pages, 8 figures, updated some figures and references, fixed two typos, accepted to Physica

CURRENT STATUS OF THE BENCHMARK DATABASE BEMEDA

Open science is an important attribute for developing new approaches. Especially, the data component plays a significant role. The FAIR principle provides a good orientation towards open data. One part of FAIR is findability. Thus, domain specific dataset search platforms were developed: the Earth Observation Database and our Benchmark Metadata Database (BeMeDa). In addition to the search itself, the datasets found by this platforms can be compared with each other with regard to their interoperability. We compare these two platforms and present an update of our platform BeMeDa. This update includes additional location information about the datasets and a new frontend design with improved usability. We rely on user feedback for further improvements and enhancements

Time scales involved in market emergence

In addressing the question of the time scales characteristic for the market formation, we analyze high frequency tick-by-tick data from the NYSE and from the German market. By using returns on various time scales ranging from seconds or minutes up to two days, we compare magnitude of the largest eigenvalue of the correlation matrix for the same set of securities but for different time scales. For various sets of stocks of different capitalization (and the average trading frequency), we observe a significant elevation of the largest eigenvalue with increasing time scale. Our results from the correlation matrix study go in parallel with the so-called Epps effect. There is no unique explanation of this effect and it seems that many different factors play a role here. One of such factors is randomness in transaction moments for different stocks. Another interesting conclusion to be drawn from our results is that in the contemporary markets the emergence of significant correlations occurs on time scales much smaller than in the more distant history.Comment: 13 page

Quantifying dynamics of the financial correlations

A novel application of the correlation matrix formalism to study dynamics of the financial evolution is presented. This formalism allows to quantify the memory effects as well as some potential repeatable intradaily structures in the financial time-series. The present study is based on the high-frequency Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) data over the time-period between November 1997 and December 1999 and demonstrates a power of the method. In this way two significant new aspects of the DAX evolution are identified: (i) the memory effects turn out to be sizably shorter than what the standard autocorrelation function analysis seems to indicate and (ii) there exist short term repeatable structures in fluctuations that are governed by a distinct dynamics. The former of these results may provide an argument in favour of the market efficiency while the later one may indicate origin of the difficulty in reaching a Gaussian limit, expected from the central limit theorem, in the distribution of returns on longer time-horizons.Comment: 10 pages, 7 PostScript figures, talk presented by the first Author at the NATO ARW on Econophysics, Prague, February 8-10, 2001; to be published in proceedings (Physica A

Learning to live with Dale's principle: ANNs with separate excitatory and inhibitory units

The units in artificial neural networks (ANNs) can be thought of as abstractions of biological neurons, and ANNs are increasingly used in neuroscience research. However, there are many important differences between ANN units and real neurons. One of the most notable is the absence of Dale's principle, which ensures that biological neurons are either exclusively excitatory or inhibitory. Dale's principle is typically left out of ANNs because its inclusion impairs learning. This is problematic, because one of the great advantages of ANNs for neuroscience research is their ability to learn complicated, realistic tasks. Here, by taking inspiration from feedforward inhibitory interneurons in the brain we show that we can develop ANNs with separate populations of excitatory and inhibitory units that learn just as well as standard ANNs. We call these networks Dale's ANNs (DANNs). We present two insights that enable DANNs to learn well: (1) DANNs are related to normalization schemes, and can be initialized such that the inhibition centres and standardizes the excitatory activity, (2) updates to inhibitory neuron parameters should be scaled using corrections based on the Fisher Information matrix. These results demonstrate how ANNs that respect Dale's principle can be built without sacrificing learning performance, which is important for future work using ANNs as models of the brain. The results may also have interesting implications for how inhibitory plasticity in the real brain operates

Data clustering and noise undressing for correlation matrices

We discuss a new approach to data clustering. We find that maximum likelihood leads naturally to an Hamiltonian of Potts variables which depends on the correlation matrix and whose low temperature behavior describes the correlation structure of the data. For random, uncorrelated data sets no correlation structure emerges. On the other hand for data sets with a built-in cluster structure, the method is able to detect and recover efficiently that structure. Finally we apply the method to financial time series, where the low temperature behavior reveals a non trivial clustering.Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures, completely rewritten and enlarged version of cond-mat/0003241. Submitted to Phys. Rev.

Preferencial growth: exact solution of the time dependent distributions

We consider a preferential growth model where particles are added one by one to the system consisting of clusters of particles. A new particle can either form a new cluster (with probability q) or join an already existing cluster with a probability proportional to the size thereof. We calculate exactly the probability \Pm_i(k,t) that the size of the i-th cluster at time t is k. We analyze the asymptotics, the scaling properties of the size distribution and of the mean size as well as the relation of our system to recent network models.Comment: 8 pages, 4 figure