HINT: Hierarchical Invertible Neural Transport for Density Estimation and Bayesian Inference

A large proportion of recent invertible neural architectures is based on a coupling block design. It operates by dividing incoming variables into two sub-spaces, one of which parameterizes an easily invertible (usually affine) transformation that is applied to the other. While the Jacobian of such a transformation is triangular, it is very sparse and thus may lack expressiveness. This work presents a simple remedy by noting that (affine) coupling can be repeated recursively within the resulting sub-spaces, leading to an efficiently invertible block with dense triangular Jacobian. By formulating our recursive coupling scheme via a hierarchical architecture, HINT allows sampling from a joint distribution p(y,x) and the corresponding posterior p(x|y) using a single invertible network. We demonstrate the power of our method for density estimation and Bayesian inference on a novel data set of 2D shapes in Fourier parameterization, which enables consistent visualization of samples for different dimensionalities

Implications of the 2002 U.S. Farm Act for World Agriculture

This paper discusses the implications of the Farm Security and Rural Investment Act of 2002 for U.S. agriculture and its subsequent impact on world agricultural prices and world trade

Trend Yield Analysis and Yield Growth Assumptions

Discusses the formulation of assumptions pertaining to yield growth in the crop sector used in developing market projections

Doctor Anderson!

Fiction by John Keane and Robert Krus

Evolution of an equatorial coronal hole structure and the released coronal hole wind stream: Carrington rotations 2039 to 2050

The Sun is a highly dynamic environment that exhibits dynamic behavior on many different timescales. In particular, coronal holes exhibit temporal and spatial variability. Signatures of these coronal dynamics are inherited by the coronal hole wind streams that originate in these regions and can effect the Earth's magnetosphere. Both the cause of the observed variabilities and how these translate to fluctuations in the in situ observed solar wind is not yet fully understood. During solar activity minimum the structure of the magnetic field typically remains stable over several Carrington rotations (CRs). But how stable is the solar magnetic field? Here, we address this question by analyzing the evolution of a coronal hole structure and the corresponding coronal hole wind stream emitted from this source region over 12 consecutive CRs in 2006. To this end, we link in situ observations of Solar Wind Ion Composition Spectrometer (SWICS) onboard the Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) with synoptic maps of Michelson Doppler imager (MDI) on the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) at the photospheric level through a combination of ballistic back-mapping and a potential field source surface (PFSS) approach. Together, these track the evolution of the open field line region that is identified as the source region of a recurring coronal hole wind stream. We find that the shape of the open field line region and to some extent also the solar wind properties are influenced by surrounding more dynamic closed loop regions. We show that the freeze-in order can change within a coronal hole wind stream on small timescales and illustrate a mechanism that can cause changes in the freeze-in order. The inferred minimal temperature profile is variable even within coronal hole wind and is in particular most variable in the outer corona

Mississippi River Research Conclusions Executive Summary

Briefing paper requested by Senator Bond detailing the conclusions from the Mississippi River research to date

Implications of Alternative Missouri River Flows for Power Plants

The purpose of this paper is to discuss the potential impacts of low Missouri River flows on the power plants operating along the Missouri River and using the Missouri River for cooling water