3,900 research outputs found
Long-term impacts of tropical storms and earthquakes on human population growth in Haiti and the Dominican Republic
Since the 18th century, Haiti and the Dominican Republic have experienced similar natural forces, including earthquakes and tropical storms. These countries are two of the most prone of all Latin American and Caribbean countries to natural hazards events, while Haiti seems to be more vulnerable to natural forces. This article discusses to what extent geohazards have shaped both nation's demographic developments. The data show that neither atmospheric nor seismic forces that directly hit the territory of Haiti have significantly affected the country's population growth rates and spatial population densities. Conversely, since the 1950s more people were exposed to atmospheric hazards, in particular, in regions which historically experienced higher storm frequencies
Can Self-Organizing Maps accurately predict photometric redshifts?
We present an unsupervised machine learning approach that can be employed for
estimating photometric redshifts. The proposed method is based on a vector
quantization approach called Self--Organizing Mapping (SOM). A variety of
photometrically derived input values were utilized from the Sloan Digital Sky
Survey's Main Galaxy Sample, Luminous Red Galaxy, and Quasar samples along with
the PHAT0 data set from the PHoto-z Accuracy Testing project. Regression
results obtained with this new approach were evaluated in terms of root mean
square error (RMSE) to estimate the accuracy of the photometric redshift
estimates. The results demonstrate competitive RMSE and outlier percentages
when compared with several other popular approaches such as Artificial Neural
Networks and Gaussian Process Regression. SOM RMSE--results (using
z=z--z) for the Main Galaxy Sample are 0.023, for the
Luminous Red Galaxy sample 0.027, Quasars are 0.418, and PHAT0 synthetic data
are 0.022. The results demonstrate that there are non--unique solutions for
estimating SOM RMSEs. Further research is needed in order to find more robust
estimation techniques using SOMs, but the results herein are a positive
indication of their capabilities when compared with other well-known methods.Comment: 5 pages, 3 figures, submitted to PAS
The prompt optical/near-infrared flare of GRB 050904: the most luminous transient ever detected
With a redshift of z=6.295, GRB 050904 is the most distant gamma-ray burst
ever discovered. It was an energetic event at all wavelengths and the afterglow
was observed in detail in the near-infrared bands. We gathered all available
optical and NIR afterglow photometry of this GRB to construct a composite NIR
light curve spanning several decades in time and flux density. Transforming the
NIR light curve into the optical, we find that the afterglow of GRB 050904 was
more luminous at early times than any other GRB afterglow in the
pre-\emph{Swift} era, making it at these wavelengths the most luminous
transient ever detected. Given the intrinsic properties of GRB 050904 and its
afterglow, we discuss if this burst is markedly different from other GRBs at
lower redshifts.Comment: The Astronomical Journal, in press; revised version, including the
comments of the referee (one figure added, text restructured, all conclusions
unchanged), 7 pages, 3 figure
A Systematic Analysis of Supernova Light in Gamma-Ray Burst Afterglows
We systematically reanalyzed all Gamma-Ray Burst (GRB) afterglow data
published through the end of 2002, in an attempt to detect the predicted
supernova light component and to gain statistical insight on its
phenomenological properties. We fit the observed photometric light curves as
the sum of an afterglow, an underlying host galaxy, and a supernova component.
The latter is modeled using published multi-color light curves of SN 1998bw as
a template. The total sample of afterglows with established redshifts contains
21 bursts (GRB 970228 - GRB 021211). For nine of these GRBs a weak supernova
excess (scaled to SN 1998bw) was found, what makes this to one of the first
samples of high-z core collapse supernovae. Among this sample are all bursts
with redshifts less than ~0.7. These results strongly support the notion that
in fact all afterglows of long-duration GRBs contain light from an associated
supernova. A statistics of the physical parameters of these GRB-supernovae
shows that SN 1998bw was at the bright end of its class, while it was not
special with respect to its light curve shape. Finally, we have searched for a
potential correlation of the supernova luminosities with the properties of the
corresponding bursts and optical afterglows, but we have not found such a
relation.Comment: 25 pages, 7 figures, accepted by ApJ; revised, shortened and updated
compared to version 1; Title slightly changed; all figures showing individual
afterglow light curves removed, as advised by the referee; conclusions
unchange
On Dust Extinction of Gamma-ray Burst Host Galaxies
Although it is well recognized that gamma-ray burst (GRB) afterglows are
obscured and reddened by dust in their host galaxies, the wavelength-dependence
and quantity of dust extinction are still poorly known. Current studies on this
mostly rely on fitting the afterglow spectral energy distributions (SEDs) with
template extinction models. The inferred extinction (both quantity and
wavelength-dependence) and dust-to-gas ratios are often in disagreement with
that obtained from dust depletion and X-ray spectroscopy studies. We argue that
this discrepancy could result from the prior assumption of a template
extinction law. We propose an analytical formula to approximate the GRB host
extinction law. With the template extinction laws self-contained, and the
capability of revealing extinction laws differing from the conventional ones,
it is shown that this is a powerful approach in modeling the afterglow SEDs to
derive GRB host extinction.Comment: 9 pages, 4 figures; The Astrophysical Journal, in press (2008 Oct 1
issue
GRB afterglow light curves in the pre-Swift era - a statistical study
We present the results of a systematic analysis of the world sample of
optical/near-infrared afterglow light curves observed in the pre-Swift era by
the end of 2004. After selecting the best observed 16 afterglows with
well-sampled light curves that can be described by a Beuermann equation, we
explore the parameter space of the light curve parameters and physical
quantities related to them. In addition, we search for correlations between
these parameters and the corresponding gamma-ray data, and we use our data set
to look for a fine structure in the light curves.Comment: accepted for publication in ApJ; Version 2: minor changes, one figure
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Mid-infrared observations of the SGR 1900+14 error box
We report on mid-infrared observations of the compact stellar cluster located
in the proximity of SGR 1900+14, and the radio/X-ray position of this
soft-gamma repeater. Observations were performed in May and June of 2001 when
the bursting source was in an active state. At the known radio and X-ray
position of the SGR we did not detect transient mid-IR activity, although the
observations were performed only hours before and after an outburst in the
high-energy band.Comment: 4 pages, 3 figures, to appear in "Gamma-Ray Burst and Afterglow
Astronomy 2001", Woods Hole; 5-9 Nov, 200
World-sheet scattering in AdS_5 x S^5 at two loops
We study the AdS_5 x S^5 sigma-model truncated to the near-flat-space limit
to two-loops in perturbation theory. In addition to extending previously known
one-loop results to the full SU(2|2)^2 S-matrix we calculate the two-loop
correction to the dispersion relation and then compute the complete two-loop
S-matrix. The result of the perturbative calculation can be compared with the
appropriate limit of the conjectured S-matrix for the full theory and complete
agreement is found.Comment: 26pages, 3 figure
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