The urokinase system of plasminogen activation and prognosis in 2780 breast cancer patients

The antigen levels of components of the urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA) system of plasminogen activation are correlated with prognosis in several types of cancers, including breast cancer. In the present study involving 2780 patients with primary invasive breast cancer, we have evaluated the prognostic importance of the four major components of the uPA system [uPA, the receptor uPAR (CD87), and the inhibitors PAI-1 and PAI-2]. The antigen levels were determined by ELISA in cytosols prepared from primary breast tumors. The levels of the four factors significantly correlated with each other; the Spearman rank correlation coefficients (r(s)) ranged from 0.32 (between PAI-2 and PAI-1 or uPAR) to 0.59 (between uPA and PAI-1). The median duration of follow-up of patients still alive was 88 months. In the multivariate analyses for relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), we defined a basic model including age, menopausal status, tumor size and grade, lymph node status, adjuvant therapy, and steroid hormone receptor status. uPA, uPAR, PAI-1, and PAI-2 were considered as categorical variables, each with two cut points that were established by isotonic regression analysis. Compared with tumors with low levels, those with intermediate and high levels showed a relative hazard rate (RHR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) of 1.22 (1.02-1.45) and 1.69 (1.39-2.05) for uPA, and 1.32 (1.14-1.54) and 2.17 (1.74-2.70) for PAI-1, respectively, in multivariate analysis for RFS in all patients. Compared with tumors with high PAI-2 levels, those with intermediate and low levels showed a poor RFS with a RHR (95% CI) of 1.30 (1.14-1.48) and 1.76 (1.38-2.24), respectively. Similar results were obtained in the multivariate analysis for OS in all patients. Furthermore, uPA and PAI-1 were independent predictive factors of a poor RFS and OS in node-negative and node-positive patients. PAI-2 also added to the multivariate models for RFS in node-negative and node-positive patients, and in the analysis for OS in node-negative patients. uPAR did not further contribute to any of the multivariate models. A prognostic score was calculated based on the estimates from the final multivariate model for RFS. Using this score, the difference between the highest and lowest 10% risk groups was 66% in the analysis for RFS at 10 years and 61% in the analysis for OS. Moreover, separate prognostic scores were calculated for node-negative and node-positive patients. In the 10% highest risk groups, the proportion of disease-free patients was only 27 +/- 6% and 9 +/- 3% at 10 years for node-negative and node-positive patients, respectively. These proportions were 86 +/- 4% and 61 +/- 6% for the corresponding 10% lowest risk groups of relapse. We conclude that several components of the uPA system are potential predictors of RFS and OS in patients with primary invasive breast cancer. Knowledge of these factors could be helpful to assess the individual risk of patients, to select various types of adjuvant treatment and to identify patients who may benefit from targeted therapies that are currently being developed

Evolutionary leap in large-scale flood risk assessment needed

Current approaches for assessing large-scale flood risks contravene the fundamental principles of the flood risk system functioning because they largely ignore basic interactions and feedbacks between atmosphere, catchments, river-floodplain systems and socio-economic processes. As a consequence, risk analyses are uncertain and might be biased. However, reliable risk estimates are required for prioritizing national investments in flood risk mitigation or for appraisal and management of insurance portfolios. We review several examples of process interactions and highlight their importance in shaping spatio-temporal risk patterns. We call for a fundamental redesign of the approaches used for large-scale flood risk assessment. They need to be capable to form a basis for large-scale flood risk management and insurance policies worldwide facing the challenge of increasing risks due to climate and global change. In particular, implementation of the European Flood Directive needs to be adjusted for the next round of flood risk mapping and development of flood risk management plans focussing on methods accounting for more process interactions in flood risk systems

Elevated expression of polymorphonuclear leukocyte elastase in breast cancer tissue is associated with tamoxifen failure in patients with advanced disease

Besides a variety of other proteases, polymorphonuclear leukocyte elastase (PMN-E) is also suggested to play a role in the processes of tumour cell invasion and metastasis. Yet, there is only limited data available on the relation between the tumour level of PMN-E and prognosis in patients with primary breast cancer, and no published information exists on its relation with the efficacy of response to systemic therapy in patients with advanced breast cancer. In the present study, we have measured with enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay the levels of total PMN-E in cytosolic extracts of 463 primary breast tumours, and have correlated their levels with the rate and duration of response on first-line tamoxifen therapy (387 patients) or chemotherapy (76 patients) in patients with locally advanced and/or distant metastatic breast cancer. Furthermore, the probabilities of progression-free survival and postrelapse survival were studied in relation to the tumour levels of PMN-E. Our results show that in logistic regression analysis for response to tamoxifen treatment in patients with advanced disease, high PMN-E tumour levels were associated with a poor rate of response compared with those with low PMN-E levels (odds ratio: OR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22-0.73; P = 0.003). After correction for the contribution of the traditional predictive factors in multivariate analysis, the tumour PMN-E status was an independent predictor of response (P = 0.01). Furthermore, a high tumour PMN-E level was related with a poor progression-free survival (P<0.001) and postrelapse survival (P = 0.002) in a time-dependent analysis. In contrast, the tumour level of PMN-E was not significantly related with the efficacy of response to first-line chemotherapy in patients with advanced breast cancer. Our present results suggest that PMN-E is an independent predictive marker for the efficacy of tamoxifen treatment in patients with advanced breast cancer

Prognostic impact of urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA) and its inhibitor (PAI-1) in cytosols and pellet extracts derived from 892 breast cancer patients

To evaluate the clinical relevance of urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA) and its type-1 inhibitor (PAI-1) measured by a recently developed enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), we analysed both components in samples derived from 892 patients with primary breast cancer (median follow-up 99 months). The assays were performed in cytosolic extracts as well as in corresponding detergent extracts of pellets obtained after ultracentrifugation, which was carried out when preparing the cytosolic fractions for routine steroid hormone receptor determination. Statistically significant correlations were found between the cytosolic levels and those determined in the pellet extracts (Spearman correlation coefficient rs = 0.60, P < 0.0001 for uPA and rs = 0.65, P < 0.0001 for PAI-1). Furthermore, strong correlations were found between the levels of both uPA (rs = 0.85, P < 0.0001) and PAI-1 (rs = 0.90, P < 0.0001) in the cytosols and their levels previously measured with ELISAs based on commercial reagents. In both Cox univariate and multivariate analysis, high cytosolic levels of uPA or PAI-1 were significantly associated with increased rates of relapse and death. The levels of uPA and PAI-1 in the pellet extracts also provided prognostic information, although to a lesser extent compared with the cytosolic extracts. The prediction of prognosis on the basis of uPA and PAI-1 assessed by an alternative ELISA once again emphasizes the established prognostic role and usefulness of these parameters in selection of breast cancer patients at high or low risk of recurrence. © 1999 Cancer Research Campaig

Variants in CHEK2 other than 1100delC do not make a major contribution to breast cancer susceptibility

We recently reported that a sequence variant in the cell-cycle-checkpoint kinase CHEK2 (CHEK2 1100delC) is a low-penetrance breast cancer-susceptibility allele in noncarriers of BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations. To investigate whether other CHEK2 variants confer susceptibility to breast cancer, we screened the full CHEK2 coding sequence in BRCA1/2-negative breast cancer cases from 89 pedigrees with three or more cases of breast cancer. We identified one novel germline variant, R117G, in two separate families. To evaluate the possible association of R117G and two germline variants repo

Is home-based monitoring of ovulution to time frozen embryo transfer a cost-effective alternative for hospital-based monitoring of ovulation? Study protocol of the multicentre, non-inferiority Antarctica-2 randomised controlled trial

STUDY QUESTION: The objective of this trial is to compare the effectiveness and costs of true natural cycle (true NC-) frozen embryo transfer (FET) using urinary LH tests to modified NC-FET using repeated ultrasound monitoring and ovulation trigger to time FET in the NC. Secondary outcomes are the cancellation rates of FET (ovulation before hCG or no dominant follicle, no ovulation by LH urine test, poor embryo survival), pregnancy outcomes (miscarriage rate, clinical pregnancy rates, multiple ongoing pregnancy rates, live birth rates, costs) and neonatal outcomes (including gestational age, birthweight and sex, congenital abnormalities or diseases of babies born). WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: FET is at the heart of modern IVF. To allow implantation of the thawed embryo, the endometrium must be prepared either by exogenous oestrogen and progesterone supplementation (artificial cycle (AC)-FET) or by using the NC to produce endogenous oestradiol before and progesterone after ovulation to time the transfer of the thawed embryo (NC-FET). During an NC-FET, women visit the hospital repeatedly and receive an ovulation trigger to time FET (i.e. modified (m)NC-FET or hospital-based monitoring). From the woman’s point of view, a more natural approach using home-based monitoring of the ovulation with LH urine tests to allow a natural ovulation to time FET may be desired (true NC-FET or home-based monitoring). STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This is a multicentre, non-inferiority prospective randomised controlled trial design. Consenting women will undergo one FET cycle using either true NC-FET or mNC-FET based on randomisation. PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Based on our sample size calculation, the study group will consist of 1464 women between 18 and 45 years old who are scheduled for FET. Women with anovulatory cycles, women who need ovulation induction and women with a contra indication for pregnancy will be excluded. The primary outcome is ongoing pregnancy. Secondary outcomes are cancellation rates of FET, pregnancy outcomes (including miscarriage rate, clinical pregnancy, multiple pregnancy rate and live birth rate). Costs will be estimated by counting resource use and calculating unit prices. STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S): The study received a grant from the Dutch Organisation for Health Research and Development (ZonMw 843002807; www.zonmw.nl). ZonMw has no role in the design of the study, collection, analysis, and interpretation of data or writing of the manuscript. F.B. reports personal fees from member of the external advisory board for Merck Serono, grants from Research support grant Merck Serono, outside the submitted work. A.E.P.C. reports and Unrestricted grant of Ferring B.V. to the Center for Reproductive medicine, no personal fee. Author up-to-date on Hyperthecosis. Congress meetings 2019 with Ferring B.V. and Theramex B.V. M.G. reports Department research and educational grants from Guerbet, Merck and Ferring (location VUMC) outside the submitted work. E.R.G. reports personal fees from Titus Health Care, outside the submitted work. C.B.L. reports grants from Ferring, grants from Merck, from Guerbet, outside the submitted work. The other authors have none to declare. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Dutch Trial Register (Trial NL6414 (NTR6590), https://www.trialregister.nl/). TRIAL REGISTRATION DATE: 23 July 2017 DATE OF FIRST PATIENT’S ENROLMENT: 10 April 201