Real-time simulation and control systems design by the Response Surface Methodology and designed experiments

This paper examines two cases where the fitting of a model to experimental data makes possible the solution of extremely difficult design and simulation problems. In the first (aerospace) case, designed experiments were conducted on a permanent magnet AC motor which provided the motive power for a flight surface actuator in a more electric aircraft application. The Response Surface Methodology is applied to the measured data to achieve inclusion of the component in a real-time distributed aircraft simulation. In the second (automotive) case, oscillatory acceleration responses are controlled via an electronically actuated (drive by wire) throttle. Designed experiments were conducted on the test vehicle to achieve a systematic excitation of the vehicle driveline. An approximation to the measured data is achieved by the Response Surface Methodology allowing a controller to be designed extremely rapidly

The Use of Decision–Analytic Models in Atopic Eczema: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

Objective: The objective of this systematic review was to identify and assess the quality of published economic decision–analytic models within atopic eczema against best practice guidelines, with the intention of informing future decision–analytic models within this condition. Methods: A systematic search of the following online databases was performed: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, NHS Economic Evaluation Database, EconLit, Scopus, Health Technology Assessment, Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry and Web of Science. Papers were eligible for inclusion if they described a decision–analytic model evaluating both the costs and benefits associated with an intervention or prevention for atopic eczema. Data were extracted using a standardised form by two independent reviewers, whilst quality was assessed using the model-specific Philips criteria. Results: Twenty-four models were identified, evaluating either preventions (n = 12) or interventions (n = 12): 14 reported using a Markov modelling approach, four utilised decision trees and one a discrete event simulation, whilst five did not specify the approach. The majority, 22 studies, reported that the intervention was dominant or cost effective, given the assumptions and analytical perspective taken. Notably, the models tended to be short-term (16 used a time horizon of ≤1 year), often providing little justification for the limited time horizon chosen. The methodological and reporting quality of the studies was generally weak, with only seven studies fulfilling more than 50% of their applicable Philips criteria. Conclusions: This is the first systematic review of decision models in eczema. Whilst the majority of models reported favourable outcomes in terms of the cost effectiveness of the new intervention, the usefulness of these findings for decision-making is questionable. In particular, there is considerable scope for increasing the range of interventions evaluated, for improving modelling structures and reporting quality

Evidence supportive of impaired myocardial blood flow reserve at high altitude in subjects developing high-altitude pulmonary edema

An exaggerated increase in pulmonary arterial pressure is the hallmark of high-altitude pulmonary edema (HAPE) and is associated with endothelial dysfunction of the pulmonary vasculature. Whether the myocardial circulation is affected as well is not known. The aim of this study was, therefore, to investigate whether myocardial blood flow reserve (MBFr) is altered in mountaineers developing HAPE. Healthy mountaineers taking part in a trial of prophylactic treatment of HAPE were examined at low (490 m) and high altitude (4,559 m). MBFr was derived from low mechanical index contrast echocardiography, performed at rest and during submaximal exercise. Among 24 subjects evaluated for MBFr, 9 were HAPE-susceptible individuals on prophylactic treatment with dexamethasone or tadalafil, 6 were HAPE-susceptible individuals on placebo, and 9 persons without HAPE susceptibility served as controls. At low altitude, MBFr did not differ between groups. At high altitude, MBFr increased significantly in HAPE-susceptible individuals on treatment (from 2.2 +/- 0.8 at low to 2.9 +/- 1.0 at high altitude, P = 0.04) and in control persons (from 1.9 +/- 0.8 to 2.8 +/- 1.0, P = 0.02), but not in HAPE-susceptible individuals on placebo (2.5 +/- 0.3 and 2.0 +/- 1.3 at low and high altitude, respectively, P < 0.1). The response to high altitude was significantly different between the two groups (P = 0.01). There was a significant inverse relation between the increase in the pressure gradient across the tricuspid valve and the change in myocardial blood flow reserve. HAPE-susceptible individuals not taking prophylactic treatment exhibit a reduced MBFr compared with either treated HAPE-susceptible individuals or healthy controls at high altitude