514 research outputs found

    A modular agent-based environment for studying stock markets

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    Artificial stock markets are built with diffuse priors in mind regarding trading strategies and price formation mechanisms. Diffuse priors are a natural consequence of the unknown relation between the various elements that drive market dynamics and the large variety of market organizations, findings, however, might hold only within the specific market settings. In this paper we propose a framework for building agent-based artificial stock markets. We present the mechanism of the framework based on a previously identified list of organizational and behavioural aspects. Within the framework experiments with arbitrary many trading strategies, acting in various market organizations can be conducted in a flexible way, without changing its architecture. In this way experiments of other artificial stock markets, as well as theoretical models can be replicated and their findings compared. Comparisons of the different experimental results might indicate whether findings are due to tradersā€™ behaviour or to the chosen market structure and could suggest how to improve market quality

    Mid-term report for the CORE Organic II funded project. ā€œInnovative cropping Practices to increase soil health of organic fruit tree orchardsā€ BIO-INCROP

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    Activities performed in the first part of BIO-INCROP project concern five of the eight main objectives fixed in the project proposal. They are: Evaluation of soil borne pest and pathogens involved in replant disease Role of rhizospheric bacterial and fungal communities in plant health Selection of naturally available resources to increase microbial diversity and biomass Compost and organic amendments Evaluation of biologically active formulates The document reports main research results and shows main items of dissemination activity performed in the first part of the project

    AUK: a simple alternative to the AUC

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    The area under Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve, also known as the AUC-index, is commonly used for ranking the performance of data mining models. The AUC has many merits, such as objectivity and ease of interpretation. However, since it is class indifferent, its usefulness while dealing with hig

    Financial news analysis using a semantic web approach

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    In this paper we present StockWatcher, an OWL-based web application that enables the extraction of relevant news items from RSS feeds concerning the NASDAQ-100 listed companies. The application's goal is to present a customized, aggregated view of the news categorized by different topics. We distinguish between four relevant news categories: i) news regarding the company itself, ii) news regarding direct competitors of the company, iii) news regarding important people of the company, and iv) news regarding the industry in which the company is active. At the same time, the system presented in this chapter is able to rate these news items based on their relevance. We identify three possible effects that a news message can have on the company, and thus on the stock price of that company: i) positive, ii) negative, and iii) neutral. Currently, StockWatcher provides support for the NASDAQ-100 companies. The selection of the relevant news items is based on a customizable user portfolio that may consist of one or more of these companies

    On the Design of Artificial Stock Markets

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    Artificial stock markets are designed with the aim to study and understand market dynamics by representing (part of) real stock markets. Since there is a large variety of real stock markets with several partially observable elements and hidden processes, artificial markets differ regarding their structure and implementation. In this paper we analyze to what degree current artificial stock markets reflect the workings of real stock markets. In order to conduct this analysis we set up a list of factors which influence market dynamics and are as a consequence important to consider for designing market models. We differentiate two categories of factors: general, well-defined aspects that characterize the organization of a market and hidden aspects that characterize the functioning of the markets and the behaviour of the traders

    A Modular Agent-Based Environment for Studying Stock Markets

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    Artificial stock markets are built with diffuse priors in mind regarding trading strategies and price formation mechanisms. Diffuse priors are a natural consequence of the unknown relation between the various elements that drive market dynamics and the large variety of market organizations, findings, however, might hold only within the specific market settings. In this paper we propose a framework for building agent-based artificial stock markets. We present the mechanism of the framework based on a previously identified list of organizational and behavioural aspects. Within the framework experiments with arbitrary many trading strategies, acting in various market organizations can be conducted in a flexible way, without changing its architecture. In this way experiments of other artificial stock markets, as well as theoretical models can be replicated and their findings compared. Comparisons of the different experimental results might indicate whether findings are due to tradersā€™ behaviour or to the chosen market structure and could suggest how to improve market quality
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