Environmental changes and violent conflict

This letter reviews the scientific literature on whether and how environmental changes affect the risk of violent conflict. The available evidence from qualitative case studies indicates that environmental stress can contribute to violent conflict in some specific cases. Results from quantitative large-N studies, however, strongly suggest that we should be careful in drawing general conclusions. Those large-N studies that we regard as the most sophisticated ones obtain results that are not robust to alternative model specifications and, thus, have been debated. This suggests that environmental changes may, under specific circumstances, increase the risk of violent conflict, but not necessarily in a systematic way and unconditionally. Hence there is, to date, no scientific consensus on the impact of environmental changes on violent conflict. This letter also highlights the most important challenges for further research on the subject. One of the key issues is that the effects of environmental changes on violent conflict are likely to be contingent on a set of economic and political conditions that determine adaptation capacity. In the authors' view, the most important indirect effects are likely to lead from environmental changes via economic performance and migration to violent conflict. © 2012 IOP Publishing Ltd

The genomic landscape across 474 surgically accessible epileptogenic human brain lesions

Understanding the exact molecular mechanisms involved in the etiology of epileptogenic pathologies with or without tumor activity is essential for improving treatment of drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Here, we characterize the landscape of somatic genetic variants in resected brain specimens from 474 individuals with drug-resistant focal epilepsy using deep whole-exome sequencing (>350×) and whole-genome genotyping. Across the exome, we observe a greater number of somatic single-nucleotide variants (SNV) in low-grade epilepsy-associated tumors (LEAT; 7.92 ± 5.65 SNV) than in brain tissue from malformations of cortical development (MCD; 6.11 ± 4 SNV) or hippocampal sclerosis (HS; 5.1 ± 3.04 SNV). Tumor tissues also had the largest number of likely pathogenic variant carrying cells. LEAT had the highest proportion of samples with one or more somatic copy number variants (CNV; 24.7%), followed by MCD (5.4%) and HS (4.1%). Recurring somatic whole chromosome duplications affecting Chromosome 7 (16.8%), chromosome 5 (10.9%), and chromosome 20 (9.9%) were observed among LEAT. For germline variant-associated MCD genes such as TSC2, DEPDC5, and PTEN, germline SNV were frequently identified within large loss of heterozygosity regions, supporting the recently proposed 'second hit' disease mechanism in these genes. We detect somatic variants in twelve established lesional epilepsy genes and demonstrate exome-wide statistical support for three of these in the etiology of LEAT (e.g., BRAF) and MCD (e.g., SLC35A2 and MTOR). We also identify novel significant associations for PTPN11 with LEAT and NRAS Q61 mutated protein with a complex MCD characterized by polymicrogyria and nodular heterotopia. The variants identified in NRAS are known from cancer studies to lead to hyperactivation of NRAS, which can be targeted pharmacologically. We identify large recurrent 1q21-q44 duplication including AKT3 in association with focal cortical dysplasia type 2a with hyaline astrocytic inclusions, another rare and possibly under-recognized brain lesion. The clinical genetic analyses showed that the numbers of somatic SNV across the exome and the fraction of affected cells were positively correlated with the age at seizure onset and surgery in individuals with LEAT. In summary, our comprehensive genetic screen sheds light on the genome-scale landscape of genetic variants in epileptic brain lesions, informs the design of gene panels for clinical diagnostic screening, and guides future directions for clinical implementation of epilepsy surgery genetics

Water-Related Intrastate Conflict and Cooperation (WARICC): A New Event Dataset

Water scarcity is widely regarded as a key factor linking climate variability and change with conflict. However, existing research on the water-conflict nexus is hampered by poor data that inhibits drawing firm conclusions on the role of water in shaping societal stability and security. This article reports on the construction of a new dataset on subnational and georeferenced events over domestic water-related cooperation and conflict for 35 countries in the Mediterranean, the Middle East, and the Sahel for 1997-2009. The main value of this dataset is in its precision. Its key component, the Water Events Scale (WES), records the exact time, location, and intensity of water-related conflictive and cooperative events, as well as the actors involved. A few descriptive statistics and illustrations serve to demonstrate the usefulness of the new dataset for quantitative analyses of intrastate conflict and cooperation over water resources. © 2012 Copyright Taylor and Francis Group, LLC