Factors associated with in-hospital mortality of patients admitted to an intensive care unit in a tertiary hospital in Malawi.

OBJECTIVE: To determine factors associated with in-hospital death among patients admitted to ICU and to evaluate the predictive values of single severely deranged vital signs and several severity scoring systems. METHODS: A combined retrospective and prospective cohort study of patients admitted to the adult ICU in a tertiary hospital in Malawi was conducted between January 2017 and July 2019. Predefined potential risk factors for in-hospital death were studied with univariable and multivariable logistic regression models, and the performance of severity scores was assessed. RESULTS: The median age of the 822 participants was 31 years (IQR 21-43), and 50% were female. Several factors at admission were associated with in-hospital mortality: the presence of one or more severely deranged vital signs, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.9 (1.4-2.6); treatment with vasopressor aOR 2.3 (1.6-3.4); received cardiopulmonary resuscitation aOR 1.7 (1.2-2.6) and treatment with mechanical ventilation aOR 1.5 (1.1-2.1). Having had surgery had a negative association with in-hospital mortality aOR 0.5 (0.4-0.7). The predictive accuracy of the severity scoring systems had varying sensitivities and specificities, but none were sufficiently accurate to be clinically useful. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the presence of one or more severely deranged vital sign in patients admitted to ICU may be useful as a simple marker of an increased risk of in-hospital death

The use of antibiotics in the intensive care unit of a tertiary hospital in Malawi

Background Antibiotic resistance is on the rise. A contributing factor to antibiotic resistance is the misuse of antibiotics in hospitals. The current use of antibiotics in ICUs in Malawi is not well documented and there are no national guidelines for the use of antibiotics in ICUs. The aim of the study was to describe the use of antibiotics in a Malawian ICU. Methods A retrospective review of medical records of all admissions to the main ICU in Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital in Blantyre, Malawi, between January 2017 and April 2019. Data were extracted from the ICU patient register on clinical parameters on admission, diagnoses, demographics and antibiotics both prescribed and given for all patients admitted to the ICU. Usage of antibiotics in the ICU and bacterial culture results from samples taken in the ICU and in the peri-ICU period, (from 5 days before ICU admission to 5 days after ICU discharge), were described. Results Six hundred-and-forty patients had data available on prescribed and received medications and were included in the analyses. Of these, 577 (90.2%) were prescribed, and 522 (81.6%) received an antibiotic in ICU. The most commonly used antibiotics were ceftriaxone, given to 470 (73.4%) of the patients and metronidazole to 354 (55.3%). Three-hundred-and-thirty-three (52.0%) of the patients received more than one type of antibiotic concurrently – ceftriaxone and metronidazole was the most common combination, given to 317 patients. Forty five patients (7.0%) were given different antibiotics sequentially. One-hundred-and-thirty-seven patients (21.4%) had a blood culture done in the peri-ICU period, of which 70 (11.0% of the patients) were done in the ICU. Twenty-five (18.3%) of the peri-ICU cultures were positive and eleven different types of bacteria were grown in the cultures, of which 17.2% were sensitive to ceftriaxone. Conclusion We have found a substantial usage of antibiotics in an ICU in Malawi. Ceftriaxone, the last-line antibiotic in the national treatment guidelines, is commonly used, and bacteria appear to show high levels of resistance to it, although blood culture testing is infrequently used. Structured antibiotic stewardship programs may be useful in all ICUs

First case report of a successfully managed severe COVID-19 infection in Malawi

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is now established on the African continent, with cases rapidly increasing in Malawi (1742 confirmed cases and 19 deaths as of 5 July 20201). Clinicians require guidelines, deliverable in the Malawi context, to effectively and safely treat patients for the best possible outcome. In Malawi, key public messages around social distancing, hand washing and shielding for at-risk individuals have been widely distributed by the Ministry of Health. However, it has not been possible to implement strict lockdown measures in Malawi due to the risk of widespread economic disruption, hunger, worsened food insecurity, risk of violence and mass political rallies. Testing rates are low such that the number of confirmed cases in Malawi is likely to significantly under-represent the actual number of cases. As the epidemic unfolds, it is vital that doctors implement standardised case management guidelines to improve survival for patients who require hospital admission. The majority of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 require medical-ward level care, including provision of adequate oxygen3. Increased oxygen provision has been a major focus of COVID-19 preparedness activities in Malawi

Predictive values of severity score models for patients over 16 years using cases with complete data only.

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Predictive values of severity score models for surgical patients over 16 years.

Predictive values of severity score models for surgical patients over 16 years.</p

Patient characteristics.

Patient characteristics.</p

Predictive values of severity score models for medical patients over 16 years.

Predictive values of severity score models for medical patients over 16 years.</p

Sensitivity analyses of the factors associated with in-hospital mortality when missing data are handled by i) only including patients with complete data and ii) imputed as deranged.

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