Toward evaluating the effect of climate change on investments in the water resources sector: insights from the forecast and analysis of hydrological indicators in developing countries

The World Bank has recently developed a method to evaluate the effects of climate change on six hydrological indicators across 8951 basins of the world. The indicators are designed for decision-makers and stakeholders to consider climate risk when planning water resources and related infrastructure investments. Analysis of these hydrological indicators shows that, on average, mean annual runoff will decline in southern Europe; most of Africa; and in southern North America and most of Central and South America. Mean reference crop water deficit, on the other hand, combines temperature and precipitation and is anticipated to increase in nearly all locations globally due to rising global temperatures, with the most dramatic increases projected to occur in southern Europe, southeastern Asia, and parts of South America. These results suggest overall guidance on which regions to focus water infrastructure solutions that could address future runoff flow uncertainty. Most important, we find that uncertainty in projections of mean annual runoff and high runoff events is higher in poorer countries, and increases over time. Uncertainty increases over time for all income categories, but basins in the lower and lower-middle income categories are forecast to experience dramatically higher increases in uncertainty relative to those in the upper-middle and upper income categories. The enhanced understanding of the uncertainty of climate projections for the water sector that this work provides strongly support the adoption of rigorous approaches to infrastructure design under uncertainty, as well as design that incorporates a high degree of flexibility, in response to both risk of damage and opportunity to exploit water supply 'windfalls' that might result, but would require smart infrastructure investments to manage to the greatest benefit

Segmented YSO scintillation detectors as a new β-implant detection tool for decay spectroscopy in fragmentation facilities

A newly developed segmented YSO scintillator detector was implemented for the first time at the RI-beam Factory at RIKEN Nishina Center as an implantation-decay counter. The results from the experiment demonstrate that the detector is a viable alternative to conventional silicon-strip detectors with its good timing resolution and high detection efficiency for β particles. A Position-Sensitive Photo-Multiplier Tube (PSPMT) is coupled with a 48 × 48 segmented YSO crystal. To demonstrate its capabilities, a known short-lived isomer in Ni and the β decay of Co were measured by implanting those ions into the YSO detector. The half-lives and γ-rays observed in this work are consistent with the known values. The β-ray detection efficiency is more than 80 % for the decay of Co.The present experiment was carried out at the RI Beam Factory operated by RIKEN Nishina Center, RIKEN and CNS, University of Tokyo. This research was supported in part by the Offce of Nuclear Physics, U.S. Department of Energy under Award No. DE-FG02-96ER40983 (UTK)

Evaluating stream water quality through land use analysis in two grassland catchments: impact of wetlands on stream nitrogen concentration.

We evaluated the impacts of natural wetlands and various land uses on stream nitrogen concentration in two grassland-dominated catchments in eastern Hokkaido, Japan. Analyzing land use types in drainage basins, measuring denitrification potential of its soil, and water sampling in all seasons of 2003 were performed. Results showed a highly significant positive correlation between the concentration of stream NO3–N and the proportion of upland area in drainage basins in both catchments. The regression slope, which we assumed to reflect the impact on water quality, was 24% lower for the Akkeshi catchment (0.012 ± 0.001) than for the Shibetsu catchment (0.016 ± 0.001). In the Akkeshi catchment, there was a significant negative correlation between the proportion of wetlands in the drainage basins and stream NO3–N concentration. Stream dissolved organic nitrogen (DON) and carbon (DOC) concentrations were significantly higher in the Akkeshi catchment. Upland and urban land uses were strongly linked to increases in in-stream N concentrations in both catchments, whereas wetlands and forests tended to mitigate water quality degradation. The denitrification potential of the soils was highest in wetlands, medium in riparian forests, and lowest in grasslands; and was significant in wetlands and riparian forests in the Akkeshi catchment. The solubility of soil organic carbon (SOC) and soil moisture tended to determine the denitrification potential. These results indicate that the water environment within the catchments, which influences denitrification potential and soil organic matter content, could have caused the difference in stream water quality between the two catchments

Modeling the Water Balance Processes for Understanding the Components of River Discharge in a Non-conservative Watershed

The study was conducted in the Shibetsu watershed, eastern Hokkaido, Japan, to examine the possibility of using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model in a non-conservative watershed (the surface watersheds are lying on a discontinuous impervious horizon) with external contribution (EXT). After confirming the capability of model simulation, the EXT was estimated to understand the components of river discharge. The EXT is difficult to measure directly and simulate by SWAT due to its subsurface circulation. In this study, the EXT was roughly estimated from the water balance equation using measured data. The average daily flux of EXT (1.38 mm d^[-1]) was assumed as a point-source discharge in SWAT. The simulation of daily streamflow during the calibration and validation periods produced satisfactory results, with R2 values of 0.65 and 0.66, respectively. In addition, the simulated daily baseflow, monthly streamflow, surface runoff, and evapotranspiration (ET) all showed good agreement with the corresponding observations. Our simulation suggested that the EXT assigned as the assumed discharge in SWAT can help us to reasonably simulate the streamflow in the Shibetsu watershed. The EXT was then investigated indirectly by considering the difference between the observed streamflow and simulated streamflow using calibrated SWAT without adding the assumed EXT. The result indicated that the EXT was an important water source in the Shibetsu watershed, accounting for 47% of streamflow during the study period

Polarimetric Optical Fiber Sensors for Dynamic Strain Measurement in Composite Materials

Polarimetric optical ber sensors possess possibility of temperature compensation, dynamic and integral system of strain monitoring, as well as low cost of photo-detecting elements. In the paper we present results of the sensor analysis with dierent kinds of birefringent optical bers leading to an optimal setup for dynamic strain monitoring in composite materials. A great attention is put on parameters of the light sources like coherence and width of spectrum and their inuence on dynamics of the strain sensor

Photonic Liquid Crystal Fibers with Polymers

Photonic liquid crystal bers with polymers constitute a new solution based on liquid crystals and microstructured polymer optical bers opening up new areas in innovative sensing and photonic devices applications. Compared with their silica-based microstructured bers, it is easier to fabricate exotic microstructured polymer optical bers by extrusion or drilling at low temperature; their nonlinearity is potentially stronger, the range of available polymers that may be drawn is more diverse and the biocompatibility of polymers is often better. Liquid crystals due to their attractive properties i.e., the high birefringence, high electro-optic and thermo-optic eects are a very good candidate for microstructured polymer optical ber inltration to obtain tunable all-in-ber innovative photonic devices. The paper will discuss basic properties and possible applications of the polymer photonic liquid crystal bers that will arise from their high optical tunability with external and internal factors. Current research eort is directed towards two main solutions: photonic crystal bers and microstructured polymer optical ber--based structures, both inltrated with liquid crystals of tailored optical properties