Exploring the impact of varying definitions of exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in routinely collected electronic medical records

Background: Validity of exposure and outcome measures in electronic medical records is vital to ensure robust, comparable study findings however, despite validation studies, definitions of variables used often differ. Using exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) as an example, we investigated the impact of potential misclassification of different definitions commonly used in publications on study findings. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was performed. English primary care data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink Aurum database with linked secondary care data were used to define a population of COPD patients ≥40 years old registered at a general practice. Index date was the date eligibility criteria were met and end of follow-up was 30/12/19, death or end of data collection. Exacerbations were defined using 6 algorithms based on definitions commonly used in the literature, including one validated definition. For each algorithm, the proportion of frequent exacerbators (≥2 exacerbations/year) and exacerbation rates were described. Cox proportional hazard regression was used to investigate each algorithm on the association between heart failure and risk of COPD exacerbation. Findings: A total of 315,184 patients were included. Baseline proportion of frequent exacerbators varied from 2.7% to 15.3% depending on the algorithm. Rates of exacerbations over follow-up varied from 19.3 to 66.6 events/100 person-years. The adjusted hazard ratio for the association between heart failure and exacerbation varied from 1.45, 95% confidence intervals 1.42–1.49, to 1.01, 0.98–1.04. Interpretation: The use of high validity definitions and standardisation of definitions in electronic medical records is crucial to generating high quality, robust evidence

Validity and interpretation of spirometric recordings to diagnose COPD in UK primary care.

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of COPD is dependent upon clinical judgment and confirmation of the presence of airflow obstruction using spirometry. Spirometry is now routinely available; however, spirometry incorrectly performed or interpreted can lead to misdiagnosis. We aimed to determine whether spirometry undertaken in primary care for patients suspected to have COPD was of sufficient quality and whether their spirometry was correctly interpreted. METHODS: Two chest physicians re-read all spirometric readings for both quality of the procedure and interpretation, received as a part of COPD validation studies using data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD). We then used logistic regression to investigate predictors of correct interpretation. RESULTS: Spirometry traces were obtained for 306 patients, of which 221 (72.2%) were conducted in primary care. Of those conducted in primary care, 98.6% (n=218) of spirometry traces were of adequate quality. Of those traces that were of adequate quality and conducted in primary care, and in whom a general practitioner (GP) diagnosis of COPD had been made, 72.5% (n=218) were consistent with obstruction. Historical records for asthma diagnosis significantly decreased odds of correct interpretation. CONCLUSION: The quality of the spirometry procedure undertaken in primary care is high. However, this was not reflected in the quality of interpretation, suggesting an unmet training in primary care. The quality of the spirometry procedure as demonstrated by spirometric tracings provides a re-assurance for the use of spirometric values available in the electronic health care record databases for research purposes

Recording of hospitalizations for acute exacerbations of COPD in UK electronic health care records.

BACKGROUND: Accurate identification of hospitalizations for acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) within electronic health care records is important for research, public health, and to inform health care utilization and service provision. We aimed to develop a strategy to identify hospitalizations for AECOPD in secondary care data and to investigate the validity of strategies to identify hospitalizations for AECOPD in primary care data. METHODS: We identified patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) with linked Hospital Episodes Statistics (HES) data. We used discharge summaries for recent hospitalizations for AECOPD to develop a strategy to identify the recording of hospitalizations for AECOPD in HES. We then used the HES strategy as a reference standard to investigate the positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity of strategies for identifying AECOPD using general practice CPRD data. We tested two strategies: 1) codes for hospitalization for AECOPD and 2) a code for AECOPD other than hospitalization on the same day as a code for hospitalization due to unspecified reason. RESULTS: In total, 27,182 patients with COPD were included. Our strategy to identify hospitalizations for AECOPD in HES had a sensitivity of 87.5%. When compared with HES, using a code suggesting hospitalization for AECOPD in CPRD resulted in a PPV of 50.2% (95% confidence interval [CI] 48.5%-51.8%) and a sensitivity of 4.1% (95% CI 3.9%-4.3%). Using a code for AECOPD and a code for hospitalization due to unspecified reason resulted in a PPV of 43.3% (95% CI 42.3%-44.2%) and a sensitivity of 5.4% (95% CI 5.1%-5.7%). CONCLUSION: Hospitalization for AECOPD can be identified with high sensitivity in the HES database. The PPV and sensitivity of strategies to identify hospitalizations for AECOPD in primary care data alone are very poor. Primary care data alone should not be used to identify hospitalizations for AECOPD. Instead, researchers should use data that are linked to data from secondary care

Psychosocial morbidity in women with abnormal cervical cytology managed by cytological surveillance or initial colposcopy:longitudinal analysis from the TOMBOLA randomised trial

Objective To compare psychosocial outcomes (follow-up related worries, and satisfaction with follow-up related information and support) over 30 months of two alternative management policies for women with low-grade abnormal cervical cytology.Methods Women aged 20-59 years with low grade cytological abnormalities detected in the NHS Cervical Screening Programme were randomised to cytological surveillance or initial colposcopy. 3399 women who completed psychosocial questionnaires at recruitment, were invited to complete questionnaires at 12, 18, 24 and 30 months. Linear mixed models were used to investigate differences between arms in the two psychosocial outcomes. Each outcome had a maximum score of 100 and higher scores represented higher psychosocial morbidity.Results On average, over 30 months women randomised to colposcopy scored 2.5 points (95%CI -3.6 to -1.3) lower for follow-up related worries than women randomised to cytological surveillance. Women in the colposcopy arm also scored significantly lower for follow-up related satisfaction with information and support (-2.4; -3.3 to -1.4) over 30 months. For both outcomes, the average difference between arms was greatest at 12 and 18 month time-points. These differences remained when the analysis was stratified by post-school education.Conclusions Women with low-grade cytology, irrespective of their management, have substantial initial psychosocial morbidity that reduces over time. Implementation of newer screening strategies which include surveillance, such as primary HPV screening, need to consider the information and support provided to women

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and the risk of 12 cardiovascular diseases: a population-based study using UK primary care data.

Risks for cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) other than myocardial infarction and stroke in the general COPD population are not well quantified. We used a matched cohort study design and Cox regression to estimate relative risks for 12 separate CVDs in a large population-based cohort of patients with COPD over a 12-year period. Associations between COPD and individual CVDs were heterogeneous, with the highest relative risks observed for heart failure and diseases of the arterial circulation (in excess of 2.5 for those aged 64-75 years). Relative risks declined with increasing age but for most CVD outcomes remained unchanged over the study period

Ablative therapy for people with localised prostate cancer: a systematic review and economic evaluation

© Queen’s Printer and Controller of HMSO 2015.Background People diagnosed with cancer of the prostate, a sex gland in the pelvis, have a choice of treatment options depending on the severity of disease. For people whose cancer is at medium and low risk of spread, the main options are surgical removal of the prostate, radical prostatectomy (RP), use of external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) to destroy the cancer or delaying treatment until there are signs that the cancer is getting worse [active surveillance (AS)]. RP and radiotherapy are effective at curing the cancer but may also cause long-term urinary incontinence and sexual problems. AS, on the other hand, may be quite difficult for people to cope with as they know that the cancer is still present. Newer treatments aim to target the disease more precisely so that surrounding normal tissues can be preserved, reducing the risk of side effects but still effectively destroying the cancer. These more targeted ablative therapies include cryotherapy, high-intensity focused ultrasound (HIFU), brachytherapy, photodynamic therapy (PDT), radiofrequency interstitial tumour ablation (RITA) and laser therapy, among others. Aims This study aimed to develop clinical care pathways relevant to a UK NHS context review systematically the evidence of the clinical effectiveness and safety of each newer ablative therapy concerning primary and salvage treatment of localised prostate cancer• determine which therapies are most likely to be cost-effective for implementation in the UK NHS identify and prioritise future research needs. Methods Clinical effectiveness review We conducted two discrete systematic reviews: (a) primary ablative treatment of localised prostate cancer compared with AS, RP or EBRT (b) salvage ablative treatment for local prostate cancer relapse after primary EBRT compared with salvage RP. MEDLINE, MEDLINE In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, EMBASE, Bioscience Information Service (BIOSIS), Science Citation Index, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR), Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE) and the Health Technology Assessment (HTA) databases were searched to the end of March 2013. Reference lists of all included studies were scanned and experts on our advisory panel were contacted for details of additional reports. Evidence came from randomised controlled trials (RCTs), non-randomised comparative studies (NRCSs) (if no RCT evidence was identified) and single-arm cohort studies (case series) with greater than 10 participants for the ablative procedures only. Conference abstracts or non-English-language reports were excluded. For the primary therapy systematic review, the ablative therapies considered were cryotherapy, HIFU, PDT, RITA, laser ablation and brachytherapy. The comparators were AS, RP and EBRT. For the salvage therapy systematic review, the ablative therapies considered were cryotherapy and HIFU. The comparator was RP. Outcomes were cancer related, adverse effects (functional and procedural) and quality of life. Two reviewers extracted data and carried out quality assessment. For meta-analysis, a Bayesian indirect mixed-treatment comparison was used. Cost-effectiveness The cost-effectiveness of the different treatments and their subsequent care pathways was assessed using a modified Markov individual simulation model, applied to a UK NHS setting. The perspective for the model was a health services perspective. Parameter estimates were derived from the systematic review of clinical effectiveness, a micro-costing exercise, other literature, the expert advisory group and other UK sources. The outputs of the model were costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for each procedure, incremental costs and QALYs and incremental cost per QALY over the remaining lifetime. Both costs and QALYs were discounted at 3.5%. An elasticity analysis, together with probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses, were performed to explore the uncertainty surrounding parameter estimates. Results Clinical effectiveness Cryotherapy Data from 3995 patients who received cryotherapy across 19 studies (1 RCT, 4 NRCSs and 14 case series) were included, with most studies considered to be at high risk of bias. In the short term, there was conflicting evidence relating to cancer-specific outcomes when cryotherapy was compared with either EBRT or surgery. The only finding that reached statistical significance was 1-year disease-free survival, which was worse for cryotherapy than for either EBRT or RP. However, none of the other cancer-specific outcomes, such as biochemical failure or overall survival, showed any significant differences between them. The findings in relation to cancer-specific outcomes are best regarded as inconclusive. There was evidence that the rate of urinary incontinence at 1 year was lower for people undergoing cryotherapy than for those undergoing RP [3% vs. 66%; odds ratio (OR) 0.02, 95% credible interval (CrI) < 0.01 to 0.34], but the size of the difference decreased with longer follow-up. There was a general trend for cryotherapy to have fewer procedural complications, apart from urinary retention. The only difference that reached statistical significance was for urethral stricture, which was less frequent after cryotherapy than after RP (1% vs. 8%; OR 0.24, 95% CrI 0.09 to 0.54). High-intensity focused ultrasound Data from 4000 patients who received HIFU across 21 studies (1 NRCS and 20 case series) were included, with all studies considered to be at high risk of bias. There was some evidence that biochemical failure rates were higher at 1 year when using HIFU than when using EBRT, and this was statistically significant. However, the difference was no longer statistically significant at 5 years. Similar findings were observed with regard to disease-free survival at 1 year, with worse outcomes for HIFU than for EBRT, which were statistically significant. The differences were no longer significant at 3 years. The biochemical result was in contrast to overall survival at 4 years, which was higher when using HIFU. There were insufficient data on any urinary incontinence, erectile dysfunction or bowel problems to draw any robust conclusions, although at 1 year HIFU had lower incontinence rates than RP (10% vs. 66%; OR 0.06, 95% CrI 0.01 to 0.48). The safety profile for HIFU was generally good, apart from a potential numerical increase in rates of urinary retention and dysuria. However, HIFU appeared to have a slightly higher incidence of urethral stricture than EBRT, and the difference was statistically significant (8% vs. 1%; OR 5.8, 95% CrI 1.2 to 24.5). Brachytherapy This review considered data from 26,129 patients who received brachytherapy across 40 studies (2 RCTs and 38 NRCSs), with most studies considered to be at high risk of bias. The data for brachytherapy were generally more robust than for other ablative therapies. In the short term, there was some evidence at 5-year follow-up that the rate of biochemical failure was lower for brachytherapy (7%) than for EBRT (13%; OR 0.46, 95% CrI 0.32 to 0.67) or RP (11%; OR 0.35, 95% CrI 0.21 to 0.56). There was also some evidence that disease-free survival was better for brachytherapy at 3-year follow-up. There was evidence that the rate of urinary incontinence up to 5 years after treatment was lower for people undergoing brachytherapy than for RP, but the size of the difference decreased with longer follow-up. There was also a trend towards lower erectile dysfunction rates for brachytherapy than for EBRT or RP and this reached statistical significance at 3 years after treatment (60% vs. 81% for EBRT and 88% for RP). There were insufficient data to draw any conclusions on bowel problems. The findings regarding procedural complications were mixed. Dysuria rates were higher for brachytherapy and this reached statistical significance when compared with RP. Urinary retention was also statistically significantly higher for brachytherapy than for EBRT. Stricture rates for brachytherapy were higher than those for EBRT, but lower than those for RP. The differences for stricture reached statistical significance when compared with RP. For rectal pain, there was evidence that rates were significantly lower for brachytherapy than for EBRT. Acute genitourinary toxicity, though rare, had statistically higher rates for brachytherapy than for EBRT, but acute gastrointestinal toxicity was lower for brachytherapy. Other ablative therapies Only two other ablative therapies were identified in the review: focal laser ablative therapy and PDT. Data were too scarce (a total of 35 participants for these two procedures) for any conclusions. Salvage therapy Data from 400 participants who were treated with salvage therapy following primary EBRT across nine case series were included. Six studies involved salvage RP, two involved salvage cryotherapy and one involved salvage HIFU. In six studies, data were not collected prospectively, and only short-term outcomes were reported. As such, all of the studies were considered as having a high risk of bias. There was no robust evidence that mortality or other cancer-specific outcomes differed between salvage cryotherapy and salvage RP in the short term. There were no data on cancer-specific outcomes for salvage HIFU. In regard to functional and quality of life outcomes, lack of data prevented any conclusions. In terms of adverse event outcomes, salvage cryotherapy had numerically fewer periprocedural complications (especially for bladder neck stenosis) than salvage HIFU or salvage RP, but there was a high level of uncertainty with this observation. Focal ablation Descriptive subgroup assessment within studies reporting the use of focal ablation was limited, but suggested that cancer-specific outcomes were at least comparable with those seen in full-gland therapy studies. Urinary incontinence rates may be lower following focal ablation, but the evidence is weak in light of the poor quality and quantity of the data. Active surveillance Lack of outcome data prevented comparison of the efficacy of ablative therapies with a programme of AS, apart from the rate of erectile dysfunction at 12 months, where there was no statistically significant difference. Cost-effectiveness Assuming equal recurrence in line with the lack of statistical differences from the effectiveness review, EBRT was the least costly (£19,363 per patient) and least effective (3.63 QALYs), whereas HIFU was more costly (£19,860 per patient) and more effective (3.86 QALYs). HIFU was more effective and less costly than the other newer ablative interventions. The lifetime incremental cost per QALY for HIFU compared with EBRT was £2915. There was a 75% chance that HIFU would be considered cost-effective at a £30,000-per-QALY threshold. In a plausible best-and-worst-case analysis, the probability that HIFU would be considered cost-effective varied between 60% and 70%. Strengths and limitations The main strength of the study was the systematic approach taken to review the literature and the inclusion of a relatively large quantity of studies, giving a high total number of participants. The main limitations were the low quantity and poor quality of the data available on cancer-related outcomes and long-term adverse events of urinary incontinence, sexual and bowel dysfunction, and the changing technology over the review period. Many published studies were poorly reported or lacked sufficient detail. Inconsistency in outcome definition, measurement and reporting was also a significant problem, and much of the information available was unsuitable for meta-analysis. Another major limitation resulted from the majority of comparisons being made using case series, with few head-to-head comparisons of ablative therapies against current practice. The estimates were therefore generated using indirect comparisons. Like all analyses, they require assumptions to be made that may or may not be reasonable. Accordingly, the results should be interpreted with a large degree of caution. Despite the considerable efforts to construct a model and seek the best data available, the lack of effectiveness data had implications for the economic evaluation. The limited data meant that there was insufficient evidence to assume that there was any difference between interventions for a number of parameters, a particular issue for biochemical recurrence, which was a key parameter in the evaluation. The impact of these assumptions was explored in sensitivity analyses. Conclusions Implications for health care For primary ablative therapy, neither cryotherapy nor HIFU had sufficiently robust data to enable any definitive conclusions to be made. The effectiveness data on brachytherapy were more robust and there was some evidence that cancer-specific outcomes in the short term were either better or equivalent to either EBRT or RP, with comparable adverse effect profiles apart from a possible increased risk of dysuria and urinary retention. The findings on focal ablative therapy were mostly derived from data on focal cryotherapy, which suggested that cancer-specific outcomes were at least comparable with those of full-gland cryotherapy, and there was a suggestion that the urinary incontinence outcome may be better following focal cryotherapy than whole-gland cryotherapy. The cost-effectiveness analysis confirmed the uncertainty from the clinical review and that there is no technology which appears superior, on the basis of current evidence, in terms of average cost-effectiveness. The probabilistic sensitivity analyses suggest that a number of ablative techniques are worthy of further research. For salvage ablative therapy following primary EBRT, a lack of reliable and robust data prevented any meaningful conclusions from being made, in comparison with salvage RP. The findings from the review indicate that there is insufficient evidence to help inform recommendations on the use of ablative therapies in the UK NHS. Need for further research The main gaps in the evidence base are the lack of direct comparative studies of ablative therapies; the consequent lack of robust data to inform calculations of cost-effectiveness and the role of focal ablative therapies; and the lack of longer-term data on cancer control, such as overall and cancer-specific mortality. The key research recommendations, in order of importance, are as follows: 1. HIFU and brachytherapy seem the most promising newer interventions but they lack high-quality evaluation. Such evaluation should ideally be by multicentre RCT with long-term follow-up, and would include predefined assessment of cancer-specific, dysfunction and health-related quality-of-life measures. Such studies should incorporate economic evaluations and also inform economic modelling

Examining the stability of membrane proteins within SMALPs

Amphipathic co-polymers such as styrene-maleic acid (SMA) have gained popularity over the last few years due to their ability and ease of use in solubilising and purifying membrane proteins in comparison to conventional methods of extraction such as detergents. SMA2000 is widely used for membrane protein studies and is considered as the optimal polymer for this technique. In this study a side-by-side comparison of SMA2000 with the polymer SZ30010 was carried out as both these polymers have similar styrene:maleic acid ratios and average molecular weights. Ability to solubilise, purify and stabilise membrane proteins was tested using three structurally different membrane proteins. Our results show that both polymers can be used to extract membrane proteins at a comparable efficiency to conventional detergent dodecylmaltoside (DDM). SZ30010 was found to give a similar protein yield and, SMALP disc size as SMA2000, and both polymers offered an increased purity and increased thermostability compared to DDM. Further investigation was conducted to investigate SMALP sensitivity to divalent cations. It was found that the sensitivity is polymer specific and not dependent on the protein encapsulated. Neither is it affected by the concentration of SMALPs. Larger divalent cations such as Co2+ and Zn2+ resulted in an increased sensitivity

Validation of U.S. mortality prediction models for hospitalised heart failure in the United Kingdom and Japan

Aims Prognostic models for hospitalized heart failure (HHF) were developed predominantly for patients of European origin in the United States of America; it is unclear whether they perform similarly in other health care systems or for different ethnicities. We sought to validate published prediction models for HHF in the United Kingdom (UK) and Japan. Methods and results Patients in the UK (n =894) and Japan (n =3158) were prospectively enrolled and were similar in terms of sex (∼60% men) and median age (∼77 years). Models predicted that British patients would have a higher mortality than Japanese, which was indeed true both for in‐hospital (4.8% vs. 2.5%) and 180‐day (20.7% vs. 9.5%) mortality. The model c‐statistics for the published/derivation (range 0.70–0.76) and Japanese (range 0.75–0.77) cohorts were similar and higher than for the UK (0.62–0.75) but models consistently overestimated mortality in Japan. For in‐hospital mortality, the OPTIMIZE‐HF model performed best, providing similar discrimination in published/derivation, UK and Japanese cohorts [c‐indices: 0.75 (0.74–0.77); 0.75 (0.68–0.81); and 0.77 (0.70–0.83), respectively], and least overestimated mortality in Japan. For 180‐day mortality, the c‐statistics for the ASCEND‐HF model were similar in published/derivation (0.70) and UK [0.69 (0.64–0.74)] cohorts but higher in Japan [0.75 (0.71–0.79)]; calibration was good in the UK but again overestimated mortality in Japan. Conclusion Calibration of published prediction models appears moderately accurate and unbiased when applied to British patients but consistently overestimates mortality in Japan. Identifying the reason why patients in Japan have a better than predicted prognosis is of great interest

Assessing the healthcare resource use associated with inappropriate prescribing of inhaled corticosteroids for people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in GOLD groups A or B:an observational study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)

Abstract Background Recent recommendations from the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) position inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) for use in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients experiencing exacerbations (≥ 2 or ≥ 1 requiring hospitalisation); i.e. GOLD groups C and D. However, it is known that ICS is frequently prescribed for patients with less severe COPD. Potential drivers of inappropriate ICS use may be historical clinical guidance or a belief among physicians that intervening early with ICS would improve outcomes and reduce resource use. The objective of this study was to compare healthcare resource use in the UK for COPD patients in GOLD groups A and B (0 or 1 exacerbation not resulting in hospitalisation) who have either been prescribed an ICS-containing regimen or a non-ICS-containing regimen. Methods Linked data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) and Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) database were used. For the study period (1 July 2005 to 30 June 2015) a total 4009 patients met the inclusion criteria; 1745 receiving ICS-containing therapy and 2264 receiving non-ICS therapy. Treatment groups were propensity score-matched to account for potential confounders in the decision to prescribe ICS, leaving 1739 patients in both treatment arms. Resource use was assessed in terms of frequency of healthcare practitioner (HCP) interactions and rescue therapy prescribing. Treatment acquisition costs were not assessed. Results Results showed no benefit associated with the addition of ICS, with numerically higher all-cause HCP interactions (72,802 versus 69,136; adjusted relative rate: 1.07 [p = 0.061]) and rescue therapy prescriptions (24,063 versus 21,163; adjusted relative rate: 1.05 [p = 0.212]) for the ICS-containing group compared to the non-ICS group. Rate ratios favoured the non-ICS group for eight of nine outcomes assessed. Outcomes were similar for subgroup analyses surrounding potential influential parameters, including patients with poorer lung function (FEV1 <  50% predicted), one prior exacerbation or elevated blood eosinophils. Conclusions These data suggest that ICS use in GOLD A and B COPD patients is not associated with a benefit in terms of healthcare resource use compared to non-ICS bronchodilator-based therapy; using ICS according to GOLD recommendations may offer an opportunity for improving patient care and reducing resource use