Documenting and explaining the HIV decline in east Zimbabwe: the Manicaland general population cohort

Purpose The Manicaland cohort was established to provide robust scientific data on HIV prevalence and incidence, patterns of sexual risk behaviour and the demographic impact of HIV in a sub-Saharan African population subject to a generalised HIV epidemic. The aims were later broadened to include provision of data on the coverage and effectiveness of national HIV control programmes including antiretroviral therapy (ART). Participants General population open cohort located in 12 sites in Manicaland, east Zimbabwe, representing 4 major socioeconomic strata (small towns, agricultural estates, roadside settlements and subsistence farming areas). 9,109 of 11,453 (79.5%) eligible adults (men 17-54 years; women 15–44 years) were recruited in a phased household census between July 1998 and January 2000. Five rounds of follow-up of the prospective household census and the open cohort were conducted at 2-year or 3-year intervals between July 2001 and November 2013. Follow-up rates among surviving residents ranged between 77.0% (over 3 years) and 96.4% (2 years). Findings to date HIV prevalence was 25.1% at baseline and had a substantial demographic impact with 10-fold higher mortality in HIV-infected adults than in uninfected adults and a reduction in the growth rate in the worst affected areas (towns) from 2.9% to 1.0%pa. HIV infection rates have been highest in young adults with earlier commencement of sexual activity and in those with older sexual partners and larger numbers of lifetime partners. HIV prevalence has since fallen to 15.8% and HIV incidence has also declined from 2.1% (1998-2003) to 0.63% (2009-2013) largely due to reduced sexual risk behaviour. HIV-associated mortality fell substantially after 2009 with increased availability of ART. Future plans We plan to extend the cohort to measure the effects on the epidemic of current and future HIV prevention and treatment programmes. Proposals for access to these data and for collaboration are welcom

Comprehensive investigation of sources of misclassification errors in routine HIV testing in Zimbabwe.

INTRODUCTION: Misclassification errors have been reported in rapid diagnostic HIV tests (RDTs) in sub-Saharan African countries. These errors can lead to missed opportunities for prevention-of-mother-to-child-transmission (PMTCT), early infant diagnosis and adult HIV-prevention, unnecessary lifelong antiretroviral treatment (ART) and wasted resources. Few national estimates or systematic quantifications of sources of errors have been produced. We conducted a comprehensive assessment of possible sources of misclassification errors in routine HIV testing in Zimbabwe. METHODS: RDT-based HIV test results were extracted from routine PMTCT programme records at 62 sites during national antenatal HIV surveillance in 2017. Positive- (PPA) and negative-percent agreement (NPA) for HIV RDT results and the false-HIV-positivity rate for people with previous HIV-positive results ("known-positives") were calculated using results from external quality assurance testing done for HIV surveillance purposes. Data on indicators of quality management systems, RDT kit performance under local climatic conditions and user/clerical errors were collected using HIV surveillance forms, data-loggers and a Smartphone camera application (7 sites). Proportions of cases with errors were compared for tests done in the presence/absence of potential sources of errors. RESULTS: NPA was 99.9% for both pregnant women (N = 17224) and male partners (N = 2173). PPA was 90.0% (N = 1187) and 93.4% (N = 136) for women and men respectively. 3.5% (N = 1921) of known-positive individuals on ART were HIV negative. Humidity and temperature exceeding manufacturers' recommendations, particularly in storerooms (88.6% and 97.3% respectively), and premature readings of RDT output (56.0%) were common. False-HIV-negative cases, including interpretation errors, occurred despite staff training and good algorithm compliance, and were not reduced by existing external or internal quality assurance procedures. PPA was lower when testing room humidity exceeded 60% (88.0% vs. 93.3%; p = 0.007). CONCLUSIONS: False-HIV-negative results were still common in Zimbabwe in 2017 and could be reduced with HIV testing algorithms that use RDTs with higher sensitivity under real-world conditions and greater practicality under busy clinic conditions, and by strengthening proficiency testing procedures in external quality assurance systems. New false-HIV-positive RDT results were infrequent but earlier errors in testing may have resulted in large numbers of uninfected individuals being on ART

"The effect of 48-weeks azithromycin therapy on levels of soluble biomarkers associated with HIV-associated chronic lung disease".

OBJECTIVES: HIV-associated immune activation contributes to chronic lung disease (CLD) in children and adolescents living with HIV. Azithromycin has immunomodulatory and anti-microbial properties that may be useful for treating HIV-associated CLD (HCLD). This study describes the effect of azithromycin on expression of plasma soluble biomarkers in children and adolescents with HCLD. METHODS: This study was nested within a multi-site double-blind, placebo controlled, randomised controlled trial (RCT) of azithromycin in individuals aged 6-19 years with HCLD (defined as FEV1 z-score < -1) in Malawi and Zimbabwe (BREATHE (NCT02426112)). Participants were randomized 1:1 to once-weekly oral azithromycin with weight-based dosing, for 48 weeks, or placebo. Twenty-six plasma soluble biomarkers were measured on a MagPix Luminex instrument at enrolment, after 48-weeks of treatment and 24-weeks after treatment cessation. Mixed effects models were constructed to compare biomarker expression across treatment and placebo groups. RESULTS: Weekly azithromycin was associated with reduced levels of C-Reactive Protein (CRP), E-Selectin, Matrix metalloproteinase 10 (MMP-10). Treatment effects for all soluble biomarkers were not sustained 24-weeks after treatment cessation with biomarker expression returning to pre-treatment levels. CONCLUSIONS: We observed real-world effects of azithromycin on acute inflammation, neutrophil accumulation, and extracellular matrix degradation, that were not sustained after treatment cessation. These results are pertinent when using azithromycin for its immunomodulatory properties, or targeting pathways represented by the soluble biomarkers in this study

Proinflammatory and cardiovascular biomarkers are associated with echocardiographic abnormalities in children with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy.

OBJECTIVES: Children with perinatally-acquired HIV (PHIV) and taking antiretroviral therapy (ART) have a high prevalence of subclinical cardiac disease. We hypothesised that cardiac disease may be a consequence of dysregulated systemic immune activation driven by HIV infection. We examined cardiovascular and proinflammatory biomarkers and their association with echocardiographic abnormalities in children with PHIV. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of soluble biomarkers from a prospective cohort of children aged 6-16 years with PHIV and age-matched HIV-uninfected comparison group. METHODS: Cryopreserved plasma samples were used to measure seven soluble biomarkers using multiplex bead assay (Luminex). Multivariable logistic regression assessed how biomarker levels related to cardiac abnormalities. RESULTS: A total of 406 children participated in this study (195 PHIV and 211 HIV-uninfected). Mean (standard deviation (SD)) ages of PHIV and HIV-uninfected participants were 10.7 (2.6) and 10.8 (2.8) years, respectively. Plasma levels of CRP, TNF-α, ST2, VCAM-1 and GDF-15 were significantly higher in the PHIV group compared to uninfected control (p < 0.001). Among children with PHIV, with one-unit representing one SD in biomarker level, a one-unit increase in CRP and GDF-15, was associated with increased odds of having left ventricular (LV) diastolic dysfunction [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.49 (1.02-2.18; P < 0.040)] and [aOR 1.71 (1.18-2.53; P = 0.006)] respectively. Each one unit increase in GDF-15 was associated with increased odds of LV hypertrophy [aOR 1.84 (95% CI 1.10-3.10; p < 0.021)]. CONCLUSION: Children with PHIV had higher levels of proinflammatory and cardiovascular biomarkers compared to HIV-uninfected children. Increased CRP and GDF-15 were associated with cardiac abnormalities in children with PHIV

Prevalence and antimicrobial resistance profiles of respiratory microbial flora in African children with HIV-associated chronic lung disease

BACKGROUND: HIV-associated chronic lung disease (CLD) is common among children living with HIV (CLWH) in sub- Saharan Africa, including those on antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, the pathogenesis of CLD and its possible association with microbial determinants remain poorly understood. We investigated the prevalence, and antibiotic susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), and Moraxella catarrhalis (MC) among CLWH (established on ART) who had CLD (CLD+), or not (CLD-) in Zimbabwe and Malawi. METHODS: Nasopharyngeal swabs (NP) and sputa were collected from CLD+ CLWH (defined as forced-expiratory volume per second z-score < − 1 without reversibility post-bronchodilation with salbutamol), at enrolment as part of a randomised, placebo-controlled trial of azithromycin (BREATHE trial - NCT02426112), and from age- and sexmatched CLD- CLWH. Samples were cultured, and antibiotic susceptibility testing was conducted using disk diffusion. Risk factors for bacterial carriage were identified using questionnaires and analysed using multivariate logistic regression. RESULTS: A total of 410 participants (336 CLD+, 74 CLD-) were enrolled (median age, 15 years [IQR = 13–18]). SP and MC carriage in NP were higher in CLD+ than in CLD- children: 46% (154/336) vs. 26% (19/74), p = 0.008; and 14% (49/336) vs. 3% (2/74), p = 0.012, respectively. SP isolates from the NP of CLD+ children were more likely to be nonsusceptible to penicillin than those from CLD- children (36% [53/144] vs 11% [2/18], p = 0.036). Methicillin-resistant SA was uncommon [4% (7/195)]. In multivariate analysis, key factors associated with NP bacterial carriage included having CLD (SP: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2 [95% CI 1.1–3.9]), younger age (SP: aOR 3.2 [1.8–5.8]), viral load suppression (SP: aOR 0.6 [0.4–1.0], SA: 0.5 [0.3–0.9]), stunting (SP: aOR 1.6 [1.1–2.6]) and male sex (SA: aOR 1.7 [1.0– 2.9]). Sputum bacterial carriage was similar in both groups (50%) and was associated with Zimbabwean site (SP: aOR 3.1 [1.4–7.3], SA: 2.1 [1.1–4.2]), being on ART for a longer period (SP: aOR 0.3 [0.1–0.8]), and hot compared to rainy season (SP: aOR 2.3 [1.2–4.4]). CONCLUSIONS: CLD+ CLWH were more likely to be colonised by MC and SP, including penicillin-non-susceptible SP strains, than CLD- CLWH. The role of these bacteria in CLD pathogenesis, including the risk of acute exacerbations, should be further studied.Global Health and Vaccination Research (GLOBVAC) Programme of the Medical Research Council of Norway; Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA) through Organisation of Women in Science for the developing world (OWSD) PhD Fellowship; Margaret McNamara Education Grants; L'Oréal UNESCO For Women in Science Fellowship; Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator; UK Medical Research Council (MRC); UK Department for International Development (DFID); European Union; Wellcome Trust; National Research Foundation of South Africa; Future Leaders – African Independent Research (FLAIR) Fellowship; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Global Health Research Unit on Mucosal Pathogens using UK aid from the UK Government; University of Cape Town; Allergy Society of South Africa (ALLSA).http://www.biomedcentral.com/bmcinfectdispm2021School of Health Systems and Public Health (SHSPH

Prevalence and antimicrobial resistance profiles of respiratory microbial flora in African children with HIV-associated chronic lung disease

Background HIV-associated chronic lung disease (CLD) is common among children living with HIV (CLWH) in sub-Saharan Africa, including those on antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, the pathogenesis of CLD and its possible association with microbial determinants remain poorly understood. We investigated the prevalence, and antibiotic susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), and Moraxella catarrhalis (MC) among CLWH (established on ART) who had CLD (CLD+), or not (CLD-) in Zimbabwe and Malawi. Methods Nasopharyngeal swabs (NP) and sputa were collected from CLD+ CLWH (defined as forced-expiratory volume per second z-score < − 1 without reversibility post-bronchodilation with salbutamol), at enrolment as part of a randomised, placebo-controlled trial of azithromycin (BREATHE trial - NCT02426112 ), and from age- and sex-matched CLD- CLWH. Samples were cultured, and antibiotic susceptibility testing was conducted using disk diffusion. Risk factors for bacterial carriage were identified using questionnaires and analysed using multivariate logistic regression. Results A total of 410 participants (336 CLD+, 74 CLD-) were enrolled (median age, 15 years [IQR = 13–18]). SP and MC carriage in NP were higher in CLD+ than in CLD- children: 46% (154/336) vs. 26% (19/74), p = 0.008; and 14% (49/336) vs. 3% (2/74), p = 0.012, respectively. SP isolates from the NP of CLD+ children were more likely to be non-susceptible to penicillin than those from CLD- children (36% [53/144] vs 11% [2/18], p = 0.036). Methicillin-resistant SA was uncommon [4% (7/195)]. In multivariate analysis, key factors associated with NP bacterial carriage included having CLD (SP: adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2 [95% CI 1.1–3.9]), younger age (SP: aOR 3.2 [1.8–5.8]), viral load suppression (SP: aOR 0.6 [0.4–1.0], SA: 0.5 [0.3–0.9]), stunting (SP: aOR 1.6 [1.1–2.6]) and male sex (SA: aOR 1.7 [1.0–2.9]). Sputum bacterial carriage was similar in both groups (50%) and was associated with Zimbabwean site (SP: aOR 3.1 [1.4–7.3], SA: 2.1 [1.1–4.2]), being on ART for a longer period (SP: aOR 0.3 [0.1–0.8]), and hot compared to rainy season (SP: aOR 2.3 [1.2–4.4]). Conclusions CLD+ CLWH were more likely to be colonised by MC and SP, including penicillin-non-susceptible SP strains, than CLD- CLWH. The role of these bacteria in CLD pathogenesis, including the risk of acute exacerbations, should be further studied