IMPACTS OF PENSION REFORMS ON THE KENYAN PENSION INDUSTRY

The emergence of full-fledged reforms in Kenya from the introduction of the Retirement Benefits Authority in 1997 has rekindled hopes among the ageing population in Kenya. This paper examines the effect of the NSSF Act 2013 contribution rate by use of a contribution rate model as well as Kenyans’ perception towards the yet to be implemented Act by use of questionnaire analysis. The study asserts that the set 6% is sufficient to meet the welfare conditions of Kenyans. Further, this study also identifies the main social welfare reforms put in place, as well as the effects and challenges towards implementation of the reforms on the performance of the industry with a critical theoretical look at the NSSF Act 2013

IMPACTS OF PENSION REFORMS ON THE KENYAN PENSION INDUSTRY

The emergence of full-fledged reforms in Kenya from the introduction of the Retirement Benefits Authority in 1997 has rekindled hopes among the ageing population in Kenya. This paper examines the effect of the NSSF Act 2013 contribution rate by use of a contribution rate model as well as Kenyans’ perception towards the yet to be implemented Act by use of questionnaire analysis. The study asserts that the set 6% is sufficient to meet the welfare conditions of Kenyans. Further, this study also identifies the main social welfare reforms put in place, as well as the effects and challenges towards implementation of the reforms on the performance of the industry with a critical theoretical look at the NSSF Act 2013

Effect of market concentration and competition on the technical efficiency of commercial banks in Kenya

Paper presented at at the 11th Africa Finance Journal Conference, Durban, South Africa.Market structure as represented by market concentration and competition affects the technical efficiency of the banking industry. However, the direction of the relationship between market structure and technical efficiency is mixed given the existence of two opposing schools of thought, specifically the structure-conduct-performance paradigm and the efficient market hypothesis. The purpose of this research study is to determine which of these schools of thought holds in the Kenyan banking industry by studying the impact of bank competition and concentration on the technical efficiency of commercial banks in the country. The study uses interest revenue as a measure of technical efficiency while considering other factors such as bank specific risk and the macroeconomic factors. It seeks to answer the question whether a high market concentration and low market competition leads to excessively high interest revenue. The study is based on a panel dataset of the entire banking population in Kenya ranging from the years 2007-2012. It incorporates the Panzar-Rosse model to obtain the determinants of the interest revenue earned by banks and includes the Herfindahl index as one of the possible determinants. A fixed effects estimation method is employed to determine the significance of market concentration on bank interest revenue. The estimation method also gives rise to the H statistic- a key variable in the Panzar-Rosse model that serves as a measure of market competition. The results reveal that market concentration is not significant in determining the interest revenue earned by banks possibly as a result of the smaller focus that the Panzar-Rosse model directs to the effects of market concentration as represented by the Herfindahl index. They also reveal that the Kenyan banking industry faces a mildly oligopolistic structure with a H statistic of 0.23 which is statistically insignificant from zero. The low level of competition is attributed to market fragmentation as observed by the varying levels of competition from one segment to another. This market fragmentation may be based on size or on the ownership structure of the commercial banks.Market structure as represented by market concentration and competition affects the technical efficiency of the banking industry. However, the direction of the relationship between market structure and technical efficiency is mixed given the existence of two opposing schools of thought, specifically the structure-conduct-performance paradigm and the efficient market hypothesis. The purpose of this research study is to determine which of these schools of thought holds in the Kenyan banking industry by studying the impact of bank competition and concentration on the technical efficiency of commercial banks in the country. The study uses interest revenue as a measure of technical efficiency while considering other factors such as bank specific risk and the macroeconomic factors. It seeks to answer the question whether a high market concentration and low market competition leads to excessively high interest revenue. The study is based on a panel dataset of the entire banking population in Kenya ranging from the years 2007-2012. It incorporates the Panzar-Rosse model to obtain the determinants of the interest revenue earned by banks and includes the Herfindahl index as one of the possible determinants. A fixed effects estimation method is employed to determine the significance of market concentration on bank interest revenue. The estimation method also gives rise to the H statistic- a key variable in the Panzar-Rosse model that serves as a measure of market competition. The results reveal that market concentration is not significant in determining the interest revenue earned by banks possibly as a result of the smaller focus that the Panzar-Rosse model directs to the effects of market concentration as represented by the Herfindahl index. They also reveal that the Kenyan banking industry faces a mildly oligopolistic structure with a H statistic of 0.23 which is statistically insignificant from zero. The low level of competition is attributed to market fragmentation as observed by the varying levels of competition from one segment to another. This market fragmentation may be based on size or on the ownership structure of the commercial banks

Why do UK banks securitize?

Working paper seriesThe eight years from 2000 to 2008 saw a rapid growth in the use of securitization by UK banks. We aim to identify the reasons that contributed to this rapid growth. The time period (2000 to 2010) covered by our study is noteworthy as it covers the pre- nancial crisis credit- boom, the peak of the nancial crisis and its aftermath. In the wake of the nancial crisis, many governments, regulators and political commentators have pointed an accusing nger at the securitization market - even in the absence of a detailed statistical and economic analysis. We contribute to the extant literature by performing such an analysis on UK banks, fo- cussing principally on whether it is the need for liquidity (i.e. the funding of their balance sheets), or the desire to engage in regulatory capital arbitrage or the need for credit risk trans- fer that has led to UK banks securitizing their assets. We show that securitization has been signi cantly driven by liquidity reasons. In addition, we observe a positive link between securitization and banks credit risk. We interpret these latter ndings as evidence that UK banks which engaged in securitization did so, in part, to transfer credit risk and that, in comparison to UK banks which did not use securitization, they had more credit risk to transfer in the sense that they originated lower quality loans and held lower quality assets. We show that banks which issued more asset-backed securities before the nancial crisis su¤ered more defaults after the nancial crisis.The eight years from 2000 to 2008 saw a rapid growth in the use of securitization by UK banks. We aim to identify the reasons that contributed to this rapid growth. The time period (2000 to 2010) covered by our study is noteworthy as it covers the pre-financial crisis credit- boom, the peak of the financial crisis and its aftermath. In the wake of the financial crisis, many governments, regulators and political commentators have pointed an accusing finger at the securitization market - even in the absence of a detailed statistical and economic analysis. We contribute to the extant literature by performing such an analysis on UK banks, fo- cussing principally on whether it is the need for liquidity (i.e. the funding of their balance sheets), or the desire to engage in regulatory capital arbitrage or the need for credit risk trans- fer that has led to UK banks securitizing their assets. We show that securitization has been significantly driven by liquidity reasons. In addition, we observe a positive link between securitization and banks credit risk. We interpret these latter findings as evidence that UK banks which engaged in securitization did so, in part, to transfer credit risk and that, in comparison to UK banks which did not use securitization, they had more credit risk to transfer in the sense that they originated lower quality loans and held lower quality assets. We show that banks which issued more asset-backed securities before the financial crisis suffered more defaults after the financial crisis