1,177 research outputs found

    Anthropogenic aerosols, greenhouse gases, and the uptake, transport, and storage of excess heat in the climate system

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    Author Posting. © American Geophysical Union, 2019. This article is posted here by permission of American Geophysical Union for personal use, not for redistribution. The definitive version was published in Geophysical Research Letters, 46(9), (2019):4894-4903, doi:10.1029/2019GL082015.The largest contributor to the planetary energy imbalance is well‐mixed greenhouse gases (GHGs), which are partially offset by poorly mixed (and thus northern midlatitude dominated) anthropogenic aerosols (AAs). To isolate the effects of GHGs and AAs, we analyze data from the CMIP5 historical (i.e., all natural and anthropogenic forcing) and single forcing (GHG‐only and AA‐only) experiments. Over the duration of the historical experiment (1861–2005) excess heat uptake at the top of the atmosphere and ocean surface occurs almost exclusively in the Southern Hemisphere, with AAs canceling the influence of GHGs in the Northern Hemisphere. This interhemispheric asymmetry in surface heat uptake is eliminated by a northward oceanic transport of excess heat, as there is little hemispheric difference in historical ocean heat storage after accounting for ocean volume. Data from the 1pctCO2 and RCP 8.5 experiments suggests that the future storage of excess heat will be skewed toward the Northern Hemisphere oceans.We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme's Working Group on Coupled Modelling, which is responsible for CMIP, and we thank the climate modeling groups for producing and making available their model output. CMIP data can be accessed at the ESGF website (https://esgfnode.llnl.gov/projects/esgfllnl/). For CMIP the U.S. Department of Energy's Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison provides coordinating support and led development of software infrastructure in partnership with the Global Organization for Earth System Science Portals. We also thank Paola Petrelli from the ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, for her assistance with downloading/managing the CMIP5 data archive at the National Computational Infrastructure

    Does the nonlinearity of the equation of state impose an upper bound on the buoyancy frequency?

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    Mixing in the ocean is usually accompanied by a net reduction in volume caused by the nonlinear nature of the equation of state. This contraction-on-mixing at a certain depth implies that the whole water column above this depth slumps a little and so suffers a reduction in gravitational potential energy. Under certain circumstances the gravitational potential energy of the entire water column can decrease as a consequence of mixing activity at a certain depth. We examine Fofonoff\u27s hypothesis that in these circumstances the net reduction of gravitational potential energy of the whole water column causes a local increase in the turbulent mixing activity at the location of the original mixing. Fofonoff proposed that this increased local mixing diffuses the local property gradients until the criterion for positive feedback is no longer satisfied, so providing an upper bound for the vertical stratification in the ocean. Bearing in mind the relatively inefficient nature of turbulent mixing at causing diapycnal fluxes (the majority of the turbulent kinetic energy goes directly into internal energy), we find that the criterion for positive feedback is a factor of approximately seven more difficult to achieve than has been realized to date. An examination of oceanic data shows that while Fofonoff\u27s original criterion for positive feedback is often exceeded, the more appropriate criterion is almost never approached. The positive feedback hypothesis assumes that the reduction in the gravitational potential energy of the whole water column appears at the location of the original mixing as an increase in the turbulent mixing activity. We show that this very focused oceanic response is extremely difficult to justify. For example there is no such feedback in a strictly one-dimensional water column; rather all of the reduction in gravitational potential energy appears as an increase in internal energy at the depth of the original mixing and there is no possibility of any positive feedback to increase the turbulent mixing. As the positive feedback hypothesis is lacking a convincing theoretical basis and is not supported by oceanic data, we do not believe that it acts as an effective upper bound on oceanic stratification

    Modelling the advection of vertically migrating shrimp larvae

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    The role of larval advection in determining the complex, large-scale patterns of immigration of penaeid postlarvae in the Gulf of Carpentaria is investigated by modelling the interaction between diurnal vertical migration of larvae with wind-forced and tidal currents. Eight vertical migration schemes are modelled in which both the timing of the migration and the position of the larvae in the water column are varied. These schemes are then coupled with both two-dimensional and three-dimensional models of the currents of the Gulf, to examine horizontal advection of larvae. When the larvae migrate vertically with a diurnal period, their horizontal advection is enhanced. The largest horizontal advection distances occur when the larvae move diurnally from the water column into the bottom boundary layer. Advection distances of up to 165 km are possible during the two to three week planktonic larval period. This distance corresponds to, and may determine, the offshore extent of the adult distribution. The onshore advection pattern of larvae varies in both space and time (on a seasonal scale) and is consistent with the observed spatial and temporal recruitment patterns seen by sampling postlarval immigation into nursery areas. During the period of highest reproductive activity (March) in the southeastern corner of the Gulf, the area of the largest fishery, the advection of larvae is offshore and little recruitment of postlarvae to the nursery grounds is accomplished. Six months later, during the next period of reproductive activity (October), when the number of spawning female shrimp is much lower, the phase of the tidal currents, relative to the day-night cycle, has progressed 180° and the larvae are moved onshore allowing postlarvae access to their estuarine nursery grounds several months prior to the main fishing season (March)

    Toward Open Access: it takes a village

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    This is the author final draft (post peer review), as permitted by publisher agreement. Published, closed- access version is available on the Taylor & Francis website for Library Administration journal.Academics and librarians have worked in tandem for many years to broaden access to the scholarship they create, scrutinize, collect, and consume. Recent developments have focused on campus faculty advocating for change by developing self-imposed open access policies. Such policy developments have occurred in an evolutionary process, the beginnings of which might be identified as the “serials crisis” peaking in the 1990’s, followed by the focus on efforts to examine and reform broken aspects of the system of scholarly communication, and most recently the feasibility of faculty-initiated open access policies on university campuses. This paper provides an analysis of one university’s ten year evolution to an open access policy focusing primarily on its advocates’ lessons learned and the library’s role in order to add the perspective of a public institution’s experience

    Characterizing and minimizing the effects of noise in tide gauge time series: Relative and geocentric sea level rise around Australia

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    We quantify the rate of sea level rise around the Australian continent from an analysis of tidegauge and Global Positioning System (GPS) data sets. To estimate the underlying linear ratesof sea level change in the presence of significant interannual and
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