Body fat estimates from bioelectrical impedance equations in cardiovascular risk assessment:The PREVEND cohort study

AIMS: To investigate prospectively the association of body fat percentage (BF%) estimates using various equations from bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) with cardiovascular events, compared with body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used data of 34 BIA-BF%-equations that were used for estimation of BF% in 6486 (men = 3194, women = 3294) subjects. During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 510 (7.9%) cardiovascular events (363 in men; 147 in women) occurred. In men, the crude hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for BF% from the best predicting BIA-BF%-equation was 3.97 (3.30-4.78) against 2.13 (1.85-2.45) for BF% from the BIA device's BIA-BF%-equation, 1.34 (1.20-1.49) for BMI and 1.49 (1.40-1.73) for waist circumference per log-1-SD increase of all. In women, the hazard ratios for best predicting BIA-BF%-equation, BIA device estimation, BMI and waist circumference were 3.80 (2.85-4.99), 1.89 (1.57-2.28), 1.35 (1.21-1.51) and 1.52 (1.31-1.75), respectively. After adjustments for age, Framingham cardiovascular disease risk score and creatinine excretion - a marker of muscle mass - BF%s and BMI remained independently associated with cardiovascular events in both men and women, while waist circumference was independently associated with cardiovascular events in men, but not in women. According to discrimination ability (C-index) and additive predictive value (net reclassification index and integrated discrimination index) on obesity measures to the Framingham cardiovascular disease risk score, BF% was superior to BMI and waist circumference in both men and women. CONCLUSIONS: BF% was independently associated with future cardiovascular events. Body fat estimates from the best-predicting BIA-BF%-equations can be a more predictive measurement in cardiovascular risk assessment than BMI or waist circumference

Circulating Total Bilirubin and Future Risk of Hypertension in the General Population: The Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) Prospective Study and a Mendelian Randomization Approach

BACKGROUND: Circulating total bilirubin is known to be inversely and independently associated with future risk of cardiovascular disease. However, the relationship of circulating total bilirubin with incident hypertension is uncertain. We aimed to assess the association of total bilirubin with future hypertension risk and supplemented this with a Mendelian randomization approach to investigate any causal relevance to the association. METHODS AND RESULTS: Plasma total bilirubin levels were measured at baseline in the PREVEND (Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease) prospective study of 3989 men and women without hypertension. Hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of total bilirubin with incident hypertension were assessed. New-onset hypertension was recorded in 1206 participants during a median follow-up of 10.7 years. Baseline total bilirubin was approximately log-linearly associated with hypertension risk. Age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio for hypertension per 1-SD increase in loge total bilirubin was 0.86 (0.81-0.92; P0.05 for all), arguing against a strong causal association of circulating bilirubin with blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: The weak and inverse association of circulating total bilirubin with future hypertension risk may be driven by biases such as unmeasured confounding and/or reverse causation. Further evaluation is warranted.The Dutch Kidney Foundation supported the infrastructure of the PREVEND program from 1997 to 2003 (Grant E.033). The University Medical Center Groningen supported the infrastructure from 2003 to 2006. Dade Behring, Ausam, Roche, and Abbott financed laboratory equipment and reagents by which various laboratory determinations could be performed. The Dutch Heart Foundation supported studies on lipid metabolism (Grant 2001‐005). The funding sources had no role in study design; in data collection, analysis, or interpretation of the data; in writing of the report; or in the decision to submit for publication

Stereotyping and the treatment of missing data for drug and alcohol clinical trials

Stigma and stereotyping of marginalized groups often is insidious and shows up in unlikely places, for instance in how clinical trials consider dropouts in treatment research. A surprising number of studies presume that people who do not complete the study protocol relapse and code their data as if they had been observed. There is no good statistical rationale for this treatment of missing data and numerous and more defensible alternative methods are available. We need to be mindful about our attitudes and preconceptions about the people we are intending to help. There is no good reason to continue to support science built on this scientifically indefensible stereotyping, however unintentional

Understanding the distribution of marine megafauna in the English channel region: identifying key habitats for conservation within the busiest seaway on earth.

Published onlineJournal ArticleResearch Support, Non-U.S. Gov'tThis is the final version of the article. Available from Public Library of Science via the DOI in this record.The temperate waters of the North-Eastern Atlantic have a long history of maritime resource richness and, as a result, the European Union is endeavouring to maintain regional productivity and biodiversity. At the intersection of these aims lies potential conflict, signalling the need for integrated, cross-border management approaches. This paper focuses on the marine megafauna of the region. This guild of consumers was formerly abundant, but is now depleted and protected under various national and international legislative structures. We present a meta-analysis of available megafauna datasets using presence-only distribution models to characterise suitable habitat and identify spatially-important regions within the English Channel and southern bight of the North Sea. The integration of studies from dedicated and opportunistic observer programmes in the United Kingdom and France provide a valuable perspective on the spatial and seasonal distribution of various taxonomic groups, including large pelagic fishes and sharks, marine mammals, seabirds and marine turtles. The Western English Channel emerged as a hotspot of biodiversity for megafauna, while species richness was low in the Eastern English Channel. Spatial conservation planning is complicated by the highly mobile nature of marine megafauna, however they are important components of the marine environment and understanding their distribution is a first crucial step toward their inclusion into marine ecosystem management.The INTERREG IV A France (Channel) – England cross-border European cooperation programme, co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund as part of the CHannel integrated Approach for marine Resource Management (CHARM) Phase III project provided funding for the meta-analysis presented in this manuscript through EU postdoctoral fellowships to C. McClellan and S. Patrick. R. Deaville provided the UK cetacean strandings data, which together with the marine turtle data was co-funded by the UK Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra) and by the devolved governments in Scotland and Wales. G. Bradbury and J. Darke provided data from the UK's Wildfowl and Wetlands Trust, which was funded by the Department of Energy and Climate Change. T. Dunn provided the Joint Cetacean Database and the European Seabirds at Sea data. P.S. Hammond provided the SCANS and SCANS-II data funded by EU LIFE Nature projects LIFE 92-2/UK/027 and LIFE04NAT/GB/000245, respectively. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript

The antecedents and outcomes of persistent and remitting adolescent depressive symptom trajectories:a longitudinal, population-based English study

Background Depression often first emerges in adolescence and, for many, is a lifelong disorder. The long-term clinical course of depression is highly variable. We aimed to examine the adult outcomes of adolescent-onset trajectories of clinically significant depressive symptoms and to identify factors differentiating trajectories that persist and desist in adulthood. Methods We included participants from the English population-based Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children with data on depressive symptoms. Self-reported depression symptoms were assessed on ten occasions when participants were age 10·5–25 years using the short Mood and Feelings Questionnaire, and major depressive disorder episodes were assessed at age 13·0 years, 15·0 years, 17·5 years, and 25·0 years. We characterised trajectories of depression symptoms using latent class growth analysis, for which we required depression data at least once from each of three key phases: ages 10·5–13·5 years; 16·5–18·5 years; and 21–25 years. We examined adult outcomes by assessing lifetime suicidal self-harm and functional impairment at age 24·0 years, and employment, education, and the self-reported Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire at age 25·0 years. Findings We studied 4234 participants: 2651 (63%) female, 1582 (37%) male, and one individual with missing sex data. The mean age was 10·6 years (SD 0·2) at baseline and 25·8 years (SD 0·5) at the final timepoint. Data on ethnicity were not available in our data set. We identified four depression trajectory classes: adolescent-persistent depression with onset early in adolescence (7%, n≈279), adolescent-limited depression with onset later in adolescence and remittance by adult life (14%, n≈592), adult-increasing depression (25%, n≈1056), and stable-low levels of depression (54%, n≈2307). The adolescent-persistent class was associated with poor adult outcomes for functional impairment (62%), suicidal self-harm (27%), mental health difficulties (25%), and not being in education, employment, or training (16%). Adolescent-limited depression was associated with transient adolescent stress, but by early adulthood functional impairment and mental health difficulties were similar to the stable-low group. Major depressive disorder polygenic score (odds ratio [OR] 1·36, 95% CI 1·04–1·79), adolescent educational attainment (OR 0·47, 0·30–0·74), and any early childhood adversity (OR 2·60, 1·42–4·78), that persisted into adulthood (OR 1·60, 1·38–1·87) distinguished the adolescent-persistent and adolescent-limited groups. Interpretation The future course of adolescent depression can be differentiated by age at onset during adolescence, adolescent academic attainment, early and persistent adversity, and genetic loading. A detailed social and educational history could be helpful in making clinical decisions about the intensity of interventions for young people with clinically elevated depressive symptoms who seek help

On passion and moral behavior in achievement settings: The mediating role of pride

The Dualistic Model of Passion (Vallerand et al., 2003) distinguishes two types of passion: harmonious passion (HP) and obsessive passion (OP) that predict adaptive and less adaptive outcomes, respectively. In the present research, we were interested in understanding the role of passion in the adoption of moral behavior in achievement settings. It was predicted that the two facets of pride (authentic and hubristic; Tracy & Robins, 2007) would mediate the passion-moral behavior relationship. Specifically, because people who are passionate about a given activity are highly involved in it, it was postulated that they should typically do well and thus experience high levels of pride when engaged in the activity. However, it was also hypothesized that while both types of passion should be conducive to authentic pride, only OP should lead to hubristic pride. Finally, in line with past research on pride (Carver, Sinclair, & Johnson, 2010; Tracy et al., 2009), only hubristic pride was expected to negatively predict moral behavior, while authentic pride was expected to positively predict moral behavior. Results of two studies conducted with paintball players (N=163, Study 1) and athletes (N=296, Study 2) supported the proposed model. Future research directions are discussed in light of the Dualistic Model of Passion

Controlling a magnetic Feshbach resonance with laser light

The capability to tune the strength of the elastic interparticle interaction is crucial for many experiments with ultracold gases. Magnetic Feshbach resonances are a tool widely used for this purpose, but future experiments would benefit from additional flexibility such as spatial modulation of the interaction strength on short length scales. Optical Feshbach resonances offer this possibility in principle, but suffer from fast particle loss due to light-induced inelastic collisions. Here we show that light near-resonant with a molecular bound-to-bound transition can be used to shift the magnetic field at which a magnetic Feshbach resonance occurs. This makes it possible to tune the interaction strength with laser light and at the same time induce considerably less loss than an optical Feshbach resonance would do

Circulating peroxiredoxin 4 and type 2 diabetes risk: the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease (PREVEND) study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: Oxidative stress plays a key role in the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus. We previously showed that the circulating antioxidant peroxiredoxin 4 (Prx4) is associated with cardiometabolic risk factors. We aimed to evaluate the association of Prx4 with type 2 diabetes risk in the general population. METHODS: We analysed data on 7,972 individuals from the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-stage Disease (PREVEND) study (49% men, aged 28-75 years) with no diabetes at baseline. Logistic regression models adjusted for age, sex, smoking, waist circumference, hypertension and family history of diabetes were used to estimate the ORs for type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: During a median follow up of 7.7 years, 496 individuals (288 men; 58%) developed type 2 diabetes. The median (Q1-Q3) Prx4 level was 0.84 (0.53-1.40) U/l in individuals who developed type 2 diabetes and 0.68 (0.43-1.08) U/l in individuals who did not develop type 2 diabetes. For every doubling of Prx4 levels, the adjusted OR (95% CI) for type 2 diabetes was 1.16 (1.05-1.29) in the whole population; by sex, it was 1.31 (1.14-1.50) for men and 1.03 (0.87-1.21) for women. Further adjustment for other clinical measures did not materially change the results. The addition of Prx4 to a validated diabetes risk score significantly improved the prediction of type 2 diabetes in men (p = 0.002 for reclassification improvement). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that elevated serum Prx4 levels are associated with a higher risk of incident type 2 diabetes. For men, taking Prx4 into consideration can improve type 2 diabetes prediction over a validated diabetes risk score; in contrast, there is no improvement in risk prediction for women.This work was supported by the Netherlands Heart Foundation, Dutch Diabetes Research Foundation and Dutch Kidney Foundation. This research was performed within the framework of CTMM, the Center for Translational Molecular Medicine (www.ctmm.nl); project PREDICCt (grant 01C-104-07). Dr. A. Abbasi is supported by a Rubicon grant from the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO).This is the final published version, which can also be found on the publisher's website here: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00125-014-3278-

High Plasma Levels of Betaine, a Trimethylamine N-Oxide Related Metabolite, are Associated with Severity of Cirrhosis

Background and Aims: The gut microbiome-related metabolites betaine and trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) affect major health issues. In cirrhosis, betaine metabolism may be diminished because of impaired hepatic betaine homocysteine methyltransferase activity, whereas TMAO generation from trimethylamine may be altered because of impaired hepatic flavin monooxygenase expression. Here, we determined plasma betaine and TMAO levels in patients with end-stage liver disease and assessed their relationships with liver disease severity. Methods: Plasma betaine and TMAO concentrations were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in 129 cirrhotic patients (TransplantLines cohort study; NCT03272841) and compared with levels from 4837 participants of the PREVEND cohort study. Disease severity was assessed by Child-Pugh-Turcotte (CPT) classification and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Results: Plasma betaine was on average 60% higher (p < .001), whereas TMAO was not significantly lower in cirrhotic patients vs. PREVEND population (p = .44). After liver transplantation (n = 13), betaine decreased (p = .017; p = .36 vs. PREVEND population), whereas TMAO levels tended to increase (p = .085) to higher levels than in the PREVEND population (p = .003). Betaine levels were positively associated with the CPT stage and MELD score (both p < .001). The association with the MELD score remained in the fully adjusted analysis (p < .001). The association of TMAO with the MELD score did not reach significance (p = .11). Neither betaine nor TMAO levels were associated with mortality on the waiting list for liver transplantation (adjusted p = .78 and p = .44, respectively). Conclusion: Plasma betaine levels are elevated in cirrhotic patients in parallel with disease severity and decrease after liver transplantation