Sea surface temperatures from VAS MSI data

A procedure is developed for estimating sea surface temperatures from multispectral image data acquired from the VISSR atmospheric sounder on the geostationary GOES satellites. Theoretical regression equations for two and three infrared window channels are empirically tuned using clear field of view satellite radiances matched with reports of SST from NOAA fixed environmental buoys. The empirical regression equations are then used to produce daily regional analyses of SST. Monthly mean SST's for the western North Atlantic and the eastern equatorial Pacific during March and July 1982 were produced for use in the SST Intercomparison Workshop Series. Workshop results showed VAS SST's have a scatter of 0.8-1.0 C and a slight warm bias with respect to the other measurements of SST. The VAS SST's show no discernible bias in the region of El Chichon volcanic aerosol cloud

Size and sign of time savings

INTRODUCTION The conventional approach in the U.K. has been to value all travel time changes at a constant rate regardless of their size or direction. This ‘constant unit value’ approach was supported by the 1980-86 UK DoT Value of Time Study (MVA/ITS/TSU, 1987). However, there has always remained a vocal body of opinion critical of this approach (see Welch and Williams, 1997, for references and discussion). Some of the main objections have been the following: i. small amounts of time are less useful than large amounts; ii. small time savings (or losses) might not be noticed by travellers and any that are not noticed cannot be valued by those affected and so should not be valued by society; iii. small time savings are said to often account for a large proportion of scheme benefits, so that small errors in measurement might mean that the scheme is really of no benefit to anyone; iv. allowing small time savings to have ‘full’ value is said to inflate the measured total of benefits and so lead to schemes (often road schemes) being wrongly found to have sufficient net benefit to justify implementation; v. time savings are less highly valued than are time losses, according to surveys, and so should have a lower unit value when evaluating schemes. Both aspects relate to the possible non-constancy of the value of time for a given journey made for a given purpose (clearly, it is much less controversial, and indeed standard practice, to allow for variation by purpose and traveller type). The practical difficulties are twofold. On the one hand, it is difficult to overcome the lay reaction that small time savings have little or no value, as well as the feeling that losses are more important than gains. On the other hand, if these points have any empirical relevance, they cause major problems for the cost-benefit calculus, as losses and gains will not cancel out, and time savings cannot be directly aggregated. Although they do not recommend that values differentiated by size and sign should be used for appraisal, the HCG/Accent (1999) Report (AHCG) notes that [p 259] "For any level of variation around the original journey time, gains (savings) are valued less than losses. For non-work related journeys, a time savings of five minutes has negligible value." A recent paper by Gunn (2001) notes that corroborative results are available from a reanalysis of the 1988 Dutch value of Time study. For reasons which will be carefully rehearsed in this paper, we do not believe that the conclusion on the differences between gains and losses is safe. This is based on an extensive re-analysis of the AHCG data. We have found it harder to reach a conclusion on the issue of small time savings, we agree with AHCG that their data undoubtedly implies a lower valuation: we have some concerns, nonetheless, as to the interpretation which should be placed on this

Size and sign of time savings

INTRODUCTION The conventional approach in the U.K. has been to value all travel time changes at a constant rate regardless of their size or direction. This ‘constant unit value’ approach was supported by the 1980-86 UK DoT Value of Time Study (MVA/ITS/TSU, 1987). However, there has always remained a vocal body of opinion critical of this approach (see Welch and Williams, 1997, for references and discussion). Some of the main objections have been the following: i. small amounts of time are less useful than large amounts; ii. small time savings (or losses) might not be noticed by travellers and any that are not noticed cannot be valued by those affected and so should not be valued by society; iii. small time savings are said to often account for a large proportion of scheme benefits, so that small errors in measurement might mean that the scheme is really of no benefit to anyone; iv. allowing small time savings to have ‘full’ value is said to inflate the measured total of benefits and so lead to schemes (often road schemes) being wrongly found to have sufficient net benefit to justify implementation; v. time savings are less highly valued than are time losses, according to surveys, and so should have a lower unit value when evaluating schemes. Both aspects relate to the possible non-constancy of the value of time for a given journey made for a given purpose (clearly, it is much less controversial, and indeed standard practice, to allow for variation by purpose and traveller type). The practical difficulties are twofold. On the one hand, it is difficult to overcome the lay reaction that small time savings have little or no value, as well as the feeling that losses are more important than gains. On the other hand, if these points have any empirical relevance, they cause major problems for the cost-benefit calculus, as losses and gains will not cancel out, and time savings cannot be directly aggregated. Although they do not recommend that values differentiated by size and sign should be used for appraisal, the HCG/Accent (1999) Report (AHCG) notes that [p 259] "For any level of variation around the original journey time, gains (savings) are valued less than losses. For non-work related journeys, a time savings of five minutes has negligible value." A recent paper by Gunn (2001) notes that corroborative results are available from a reanalysis of the 1988 Dutch value of Time study. For reasons which will be carefully rehearsed in this paper, we do not believe that the conclusion on the differences between gains and losses is safe. This is based on an extensive re-analysis of the AHCG data. We have found it harder to reach a conclusion on the issue of small time savings, we agree with AHCG that their data undoubtedly implies a lower valuation: we have some concerns, nonetheless, as to the interpretation which should be placed on this

Market segmentation analysis

INTRODUCTION This working paper presents the findings of research aimed at assessing differences in the value of time by market segment. It draws on findings presented in AHCG’s final report to DETR (AHCG, 1996) and previous research conducted during the course of this research contract (Bates and Whelan, 2001) and it is intended that this document be read in conjunction with those two reports. The paper describes the estimation of a base model for each journey-purpose (business, commuting and other) and shows how each is influenced by: income, journey distance, cost reimbursement, congestion, vehicle occupancy, trip sub-purpose, occupation, age group, gender, household type, ‘free time’, respondent type, time constraints and geographical region. The findings of this analysis are then drawn together to develop a final set of models that allow the value of time to vary across a range of market segments. All models are estimated using GAUSS (Aptech Systems) without taking account of the repeat observations nature of the stated preference data

Geolocation with FDOA Measurements via Polynomial Systems and RANSAC

The problem of geolocation of a transmitter via time difference of arrival (TDOA) and frequency difference of arrival (FDOA) is given as a system of polynomial equations. This allows for the use of homotopy continuation-based methods from numerical algebraic geometry. A novel geolocation algorithm employs numerical algebraic geometry techniques in conjunction with the random sample consensus (RANSAC) method. This is all developed and demonstrated in the setting of only FDOA measurements, without loss of generality. Additionally, the problem formulation as polynomial systems immediately provides lower bounds on the number of receivers or measurements required for the solution set to consist of only isolated points.Comment: This work has been submitted to the IEEE for possible publication. Copyright may be transferred without notice, after which this version may no longer be accessibl

Prosody and melody in vowel disorder

The paper explores the syllabic and segmental dimensions of phonological vowel disorder. The independence of the two dimensions is illustrated by the case study of an English-speaking child presenting with an impairment which can be shown to have a specifically syllabic basis. His production of adult long vowels displays three main patterns of deviance - shortening, bisyllabification and the hardening of a target off-glide to a stop. Viewed phonemically, these patterns appear as unconnected substitutions and distortions. Viewed syllabically, however, they can be traced to a single underlying deficit, namely a failure to secure the complex nuclear structure necessary for the coding of vowel length contrasts

Evaluation of stochastic effects on biomolecular networks using the generalised Nyquist stability criterion

Abstract—Stochastic differential equations are now commonly used to model biomolecular networks in systems biology, and much recent research has been devoted to the development of methods to analyse their stability properties. Stability analysis of such systems may be performed using the Laplace transform, which requires the calculation of the exponential matrix involving time symbolically. However, the calculation of the symbolic exponential matrix is not feasible for problems of even moderate size, as the required computation time increases exponentially with the matrix order. To address this issue, we present a novel method for approximating the Laplace transform which does not require the exponential matrix to be calculated explicitly. The calculation time associated with the proposed method does not increase exponentially with the size of the system, and the approximation error is shown to be of the same order as existing methods. Using this approximation method, we show how a straightforward application of the generalized Nyquist stability criterion provides necessary and sufficient conditions for the stability of stochastic biomolecular networks. The usefulness and computational efficiency of the proposed method is illustrated through its application to the problem of analysing a model for limit-cycle oscillations in cAMP during aggregation of Dictyostelium cells

Robustness analysis of magnetic torquer controlled spacecraft attitude dynamics

This paper describes a systematic approach to the robustness analysis of linear periodically time-varying (LPTV) systems. The method uses the technique known as Lifting to transform the original time-varying uncertain system into linear fractional transformation (LFT) form. The stability and performance robustness of the system to structured parametric uncertainty can then be analysed non-conservatively using the structured singular value μ. The method is applied to analyse the stability robustness of an attitude control law for a spacecraft controlled by magnetic torquer bars, whose linearised dynamics can naturally be written in linear periodically time-varying form. The proposed method allows maximum allowable levels of uncertainty, as well as worst-case uncertainty combinations to be computed. The destabilising effect of these uncertain parameter combinations is verified in time-domain simulations