Modeling and analysis of the variability of the water cycle in the upper Rio Grande basin at high resolution

Estimating the water budgets in a small-scale basin is a challenge, especially in the mountainous western United States, where the terrain is complex and observational data in the mountain areas are sparse. This manuscript reports on research that downscaled 5-yr (1999-2004) hydrometeorological fields over the upper Rio Grande basin from a 2.5° NCEP-NCAR reanalysis to a 4-km local scale using a regional climate model [fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University-National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5), version 3]. The model can reproduce the terrain-related precipitation distribution - the trend of diurnal, seasonal, and interannual precipitation variability - although poor snow simulation caused it to overestimate precipitation and evapotranspiration in the cold season. The outcomes from the coupled model are also comparable to offline Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) and Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS)/Mosaic land surface simulations that are driven by observed and/or analyzed surface meteorological data. © 2007 American Meteorological Society

Modeling intraseasonal features of 2004 North American monsoon precipitation

This study examines the capabilities and limitations of the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University-National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) in predicting the precipitation and circulation features that accompanied the 2004 North American monsoon (NAM). When the model is reinitialized every 5 days to restrain the growth of modeling errors, its results for precipitation checked at subseasonal time scales (not for individual rainfall events) become comparable with ground- and satellite-based observations as well as with the NAM's diagnostic characteristics. The modeled monthly precipitation illustrates the evolution patterns of monsoon rainfall, although it underestimates the rainfall amount and coverage area in comparison with observations. The modeled daily precipitation shows the transition from dry to wet episodes on the monsoon onset day over the Arizona-New Mexico region, and the multiday heavy rainfall (>1 mm day-1) and dry periods after the onset. All these modeling predictions agree with observed variations. The model also accurately simulated the onset and ending dates of four major moisture surges over the Gulf of California during the 2004 monsoon season. The model reproduced the strong diurnal variability of the NAM precipitation, but did not predict the observed diurnal feature of the precipitation peak's shift from the mountains to the coast during local afternoon to late night. In general, the model is able to reproduce the major, critical patterns and dynamic variations of the NAM rainfall at intraseasonal time scales, but still includes errors in precipitation quantity, pattern, and timing. The numerical study suggests that these errors are due largely to deficiencies in the model's cumulus convective parameterization scheme, which is responsible for the model's precipitation generation. © 2007 American Meteorological Society

How proofs are prepared at Camelot

We study a design framework for robust, independently verifiable, and workload-balanced distributed algorithms working on a common input. An algorithm based on the framework is essentially a distributed encoding procedure for a Reed--Solomon code, which enables (a) robustness against byzantine failures with intrinsic error-correction and identification of failed nodes, and (b) independent randomized verification to check the entire computation for correctness, which takes essentially no more resources than each node individually contributes to the computation. The framework builds on recent Merlin--Arthur proofs of batch evaluation of Williams~[{\em Electron.\ Colloq.\ Comput.\ Complexity}, Report TR16-002, January 2016] with the observation that {\em Merlin's magic is not needed} for batch evaluation---mere Knights can prepare the proof, in parallel, and with intrinsic error-correction. The contribution of this paper is to show that in many cases the verifiable batch evaluation framework admits algorithms that match in total resource consumption the best known sequential algorithm for solving the problem. As our main result, we show that the $k$-cliques in an $n$-vertex graph can be counted {\em and} verified in per-node $O(n^{(\omega+\epsilon)k/6})$ time and space on $O(n^{(\omega+\epsilon)k/6})$ compute nodes, for any constant $\epsilon>0$ and positive integer $k$ divisible by $6$, where $2\leq\omega<2.3728639$ is the exponent of matrix multiplication. This matches in total running time the best known sequential algorithm, due to Ne{\v{s}}et{\v{r}}il and Poljak [{\em Comment.~Math.~Univ.~Carolin.}~26 (1985) 415--419], and considerably improves its space usage and parallelizability. Further results include novel algorithms for counting triangles in sparse graphs, computing the chromatic polynomial of a graph, and computing the Tutte polynomial of a graph.Comment: 42 p

Model performance of downscaling 1999-2004 hydrometeorological fields to the upper Rio Grande basin using different forcing datasets

This study downscaled more than five years of data (1999-2004) for hydrometeorological fields over the upper Rio Grande basin (URGB) to a 4-km resolution using a regional model [fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University-National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5, version 3)] and two forcing datasets that include National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP)-NCAR reanalysis-1 (R1) and North America Regional Reanalysis (NARR) data. The long-term high-resolution simulation results show detailed patterns of hydroclimatological fields that are highly related to the characteristics of the regional terrain; the most important of these patterns are precipitation localization features caused by the complex topography. In comparison with station observational data, the downscaling processing, on whichever forcing field is used, generated more accurate surface temperature and humidity fields than the Eta Model and NARR data, although it still included marked errors, such as a negative (positive) bias toward the daily maximum (minimum) temperature and overestimated precipitation, especially in the cold season. Comparing the downscaling results forced by the NARR and R1 with both the gridded and station observational data shows that under the NARR forcing, the MM5 model produced generally better results for precipitation, temperature, and humidity than it did under the R1 forcing. These improvements were more apparent in winter and spring. During the warm season, although the use of NARR improved the precipitation estimates statistically at the regional (basin) scale, it substantially underestimated them over the southern upper Rio Grande basin, partly because the NARR forcing data exhibited warm and dry biases in the monsoon-active region during the simulation period and improper domain selection. Analyses also indicate that over mountainous regions, both the Climate Prediction Center's (CPC's) gridded (0.25°) and NARR forcings underestimate precipitation in comparison with station gauge data. © 2008 American Meteorological Society

Impacts of model calibration on high-latitude land-surface processes: PILPS 2(e) calibration/validation experiments

In the PILPS 2(e) experiment, the Snow Atmosphere Soil Transfer (SAST) land-surface scheme developed from the Biosphere-Atmosphere Transfer Scheme (BATS) showed difficulty in accurately simulating the patterns and quantities of runoff resulting from heavy snowmelt in the high-latitude Torne-Kalix River basin (shared by Sweden and Finland). This difficulty exposes the model deficiency in runoff formations. After representing subsurface runoff and calibrating the parameters, the accuracy of hydrograph prediction improved substantially. However, even with the accurate precipitation and runoff, the predicted soil moisture and its variation were highly "model-dependent". Knowledge obtained from the experiment is discussed. © 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved

Microwave Slow-Wave Structure and Phase-Compensation Technique for Microwave Power Divider

In this paper, T-shaped electromagnetic bandgap is loaded on a coupled transmission line itself and its electric performance is studied. Results show that microwave slow-wave effect can be enhanced and therefore, size reduction of a transmission-line-based circuit is possible. However, the transmission-line-based circuits characterize varied phase responses against frequency, which becomes a disadvantage where constant phase response is required. Consequently, a phase-compensation technique is further presented and studied. For demonstration purpose, an 8-way coupled-line power divider with 22.5 degree phase shifts between adjacent output ports, based on the studied slow-wave structure and phase-compensation technique, is developed. Results show both compact circuit architecture and improved phase imbalance are realized, confirming the investigated circuit structures and analyzing methodologies