Prognostic significance of the PROFUND index on one year mortality in acute heart failure: results from the RICA registry

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a syndrome with high prevalence, mainly affecting elderly patients, where the presence of associated comorbidities is of great importance. Methods: An observational study from a prospective registry was conducted. Patients identified from the National Registry of Heart Failure (RICA), which belongs to theWorking Group on Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation of the Spanish Society of Internal Medicine (SEMI), were included. The latter is a prospective, multicenter registry that has been active since 2008. It includes individual consecutive patients over 50 years of age with a diagnosis of HF at hospital discharge (acute decompensated or new-onset HF). Results: In total, 5424 patients were identified from the registry. Forty-seven percent were men and mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was 51.4%; 1132 had a score of 0 to 2 according to the PROFUND index, 3087 had a score of 3 to 6, and 952 patients had a score of 7 to 10 points. In the sample, 252 patients had a score above 11 points. At the end of the year of follow-up, 61% of the patients died. This mortality increased proportionally as the PROFUND index increased, specifically 75% for patients with PROFUND greater than 11. The Kaplan-Meier survival curve shows that survival at one year progressively decreases as the PROFUND index value increases. Thus, subjects with scores greater than seven (intermediate-high and high-risk) presented the worst survival with a log rank of 0.96 and a p < 0.05. In the regression analysis, we found a higher risk of death from any cause at one year in the group with the highest risk according to the PROFUND index (score greater than 11 points (HR 1.838 (1.410-2.396)). Conclusions: The PROFUND index is a good index for predicting mortality in patients admitted for acute HF, especially in those subjects at intermediate to high risk with scores above seven. Future studies should seek to determine whether the PROFUND index score is simply a prognostic marker or whether it can also be used to make therapeutic decisions for those subjects with very high short-term mortality

Combining heart rate and systolic blood pressure to improve risk stratification in older patients with heart failure: Findings from the RICA Registry

Objectives: Heart rate (HR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) are independent prognostic variables in patients with heart failure (HF). We evaluated if combining HR and SBP could improve prognostic assessment in older patients. Methods: Variables associated with all-cause mortality and readmission for HF during 9 months of follow-up were analyzed from the Spanish Heart Failure Registry (RICA). HR and SBP values were stratified in three combined groups. Results: We evaluated 1551 patients, 82 years and 56% women. Using HR strata of <70 and ≥70 bpm we found mortality rates of 9.8 and 13.6%, respectively (hazard ratio 1.0 and 1.35). For SBP ≥ 140, 120-140 and <120 mm Hg, mortality rates were 8.2, 10.4 and 20.3%. respectively (hazard ratio 1.0, 1.34 and 2.76). Using combined strata of HR < 70 bpm and SBP ≥ 140 mm Hg (n = 176; low-risk), HR < 70 and SBP < 140 + HR ≥ 70 and SBP < 120 (n = 1089; moderate-risk) and HR ≥ 70 and SBP < 120 (n = 286; high-risk) we found mortality rates of 4.5%, 11.0% and 24.0%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression for all-cause mortality shows for low-, middle- and high-risk groups was 1 (reference), 1.93 (95% CI: 0.93-3.99, p = 0.077) and 4.32 (95% CI: 2.04-9.14, p < 0.001). BMI, NYHA, MDRD, hypertension and sodium were also independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: The combination provides better risk discrimination than use of HR and SBP alone and may provide a simple and reliable tool for risk assessment for older HF patients in clinical practice

Combining heart rate and systolic blood pressure to improve risk stratification in older patients with heart failure: Findings from the RICA Registry

Objectives: Heart rate (HR) and systolic blood pressure (SBP) are independent prognostic variables in patients with heart failure (HF). We evaluated if combining HR and SBP could improve prognostic assessment in older patients. Methods: Variables associated with all-cause mortality and readmission for HF during 9 months of follow-up were analyzed from the Spanish Heart Failure Registry (RICA). HR and SBP values were stratified in three combined groups. Results: We evaluated 1551 patients, 82 years and 56% women. Using HR strata of <70 and ≥70 bpm we found mortality rates of 9.8 and 13.6%, respectively (hazard ratio 1.0 and 1.35). For SBP ≥ 140, 120-140 and <120 mm Hg, mortality rates were 8.2, 10.4 and 20.3%. respectively (hazard ratio 1.0, 1.34 and 2.76). Using combined strata of HR < 70 bpm and SBP ≥ 140 mm Hg (n = 176; low-risk), HR < 70 and SBP < 140 + HR ≥ 70 and SBP < 120 (n = 1089; moderate-risk) and HR ≥ 70 and SBP < 120 (n = 286; high-risk) we found mortality rates of 4.5%, 11.0% and 24.0%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression for all-cause mortality shows for low-, middle- and high-risk groups was 1 (reference), 1.93 (95% CI: 0.93-3.99, p = 0.077) and 4.32 (95% CI: 2.04-9.14, p < 0.001). BMI, NYHA, MDRD, hypertension and sodium were also independent prognostic factors. Conclusions: The combination provides better risk discrimination than use of HR and SBP alone and may provide a simple and reliable tool for risk assessment for older HF patients in clinical practice