Combining Climate Change Mitigation Scenarios with Current Forest Owner Behavior: A Scenario Study from a Region in Southern Sweden

This study investigates the need for change of current forest management approaches in a southern Swedish region within the context of future climate change mitigation through empirically derived projections, rather than forest management according to silvicultural guidelines. Scenarios indicate that climate change mitigation will increase global wood demand. This might call for adjustments of well-established management approaches. This study investigates to what extent increasing wood demands in three climate change mitigation scenarios can be satisfied with current forest management approaches of different intensities in a southern Swedish region. Forest management practices in Kronoberg County were mapped through interviews, statistics, and desk research and were translated into five different management strategies with different intensities regulating management at the property level. The consequences of current practices, as well as their intensification, were analyzed with the Heureka Planwise forest planning system in combination with a specially developed forest owner decision simulator. Projections were done over a 100-year period under three climate change mitigation scenarios developed with the Global Biosphere Management Model (GLOBIUM). Current management practices could meet scenario demands during the first 20 years. This was followed by a shortage of wood during two periods in all scenarios unless rotations were reduced. In a longer timeframe, the wood demands were projected to be easily satisfied in the less ambitious climate change mitigation scenarios. In contrast, the demand in the ambitious mitigation scenario could not be met with current management practices, not even if all owners managed their production forests at the intensive extreme of current management approaches. The climate change mitigation scenarios provide very different trajectories with respect to future drivers of forest management. Our results indicate that with less ambitious mitigation efforts, the relatively intensive practices in the study region can be softened while ambitious mitigation might push for further intensification

Immune response in deep cervical lymph nodes and spleen in the mouse after antigen deposition in different intracerebral sites

Brain interstitial and cerebrospinal fluid drainage into the lymphatics was studied by injections of 5 microliters of packed sheep red blood cells (SRBC) injected into the caudate nucleus, the occipital lobe, and the lateral ventricle of the brain in mice. The number of plaque-forming cells (PFC) was determined in the deep cervical lymph nodes, the axillary lymph nodes, and the spleen, and the number of PFC was compared with the response in the same tissues after intravenous immunization with 0.1 ml 10% SRBC. The weight of the deep cervical lymph nodes increased 3.0 times on day 3 after injection in the brain parenchyma compared with the weight of these nodes after intravenous immunization. The antigen-specific response peaked on day 5, 392 +/- 37 PFC/10(6) for IgG in the deep cervical lymph nodes after antigen deposition in the caudate nucleus, whereas only a minor peak in the antigen-specific response was obtained after intraventricular antigen deposition, 127 +/- 79 PFC x 10(6) for IgG on day 6. There were no increased PFC in any of the lymph nodes after intravenous immunization. The experiments show an antigen-specific response in the deep cervical lymph nodes after intracerebral antigen deposition, whereas antigens deposited in the lateral ventricles drain preferentially to the blood, with a high response in the spleen