Early pregnancy challenges: study of caesarean scar pregnancy through a novel national surveillance platform and systematic reviews of priority questions in miscarriage management

Uncommon disorders are difficult to study because routine information sources are unreliable, and comprehensive studies would require a large collaboration to identify relatively few cases. This PhD developed a national network and research platform for the study of serious and uncommon disorders in early pregnancy: The UK Early Pregnancy Surveillance Service (UKEPSS). A national collaboration can enable high quality research to improve our knowledge and help us provide better care for women with rare early pregnancy conditions. Using the UKEPSS platform, with an early pregnancy network of 86 UK hospitals and Early Pregnancy Units (EPUs), nation-wide prospective cohort and case control studies of caesarean scar pregnancy were performed. The second section of this thesis comprises of systematic reviews in priority questions in miscarriage management, exploring the effectiveness of progesterone to reduce miscarriage in women presenting with early pregnancy bleeding; the effect of ethnicity on miscarriage; and the effect of hydrosalpinx and its management on miscarriage risk

A Randomized Trial of Progesterone in Women with Bleeding in Early Pregnancy

BACKGROUND Bleeding in early pregnancy is strongly associated with pregnancy loss. Progesterone is essential for the maintenance of pregnancy. Several small trials have suggested that progesterone therapy may improve pregnancy outcomes in women who have bleeding in early pregnancy. METHODS We conducted a multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial to evaluate progesterone, as compared with placebo, in women with vaginal bleeding in early pregnancy. Women were randomly assigned to receive vaginal suppositories containing either 400 mg of progesterone or matching placebo twice daily, from the time at which they presented with bleeding through 16 weeks of gestation. The primary outcome was the birth of a live-born baby after at least 34 weeks of gestation. The primary analysis was performed in all participants for whom data on the primary outcome were available. A sensitivity analysis of the primary outcome that included all the participants was performed with the use of multiple imputation to account for missing data. RESULTS A total of 4153 women, recruited at 48 hospitals in the United Kingdom, were randomly assigned to receive progesterone (2079 women) or placebo (2074 women). The percentage of women with available data for the primary outcome was 97% (4038 of 4153 women). The incidence of live births after at least 34 weeks of gestation was 75% (1513 of 2025 women) in the progesterone group and 72% (1459 of 2013 women) in the placebo group (relative rate, 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.00 to 1.07; P=0.08). The sensitivity analysis, in which missing primary outcome data were imputed, resulted in a similar finding (relative rate, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.07; P=0.08). The incidence of adverse events did not differ significantly between the groups. CONCLUSIONS Among women with bleeding in early pregnancy, progesterone therapy administered during the first trimester did not result in a significantly higher incidence of live births than placebo. (Funded by the United Kingdom National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment program; PRISM Current Controlled Trials number, ISRCTN14163439. opens in new tab.

Vitamin D and assisted reproductive treatment outcome: A prospective cohort study

Background: Vitamin D deficiency has been associated with an increased risk of abnormal pregnancy implantation leading to obstetric complications such as pre-eclampsia and fetal growth restriction. However, the effect of vitamin D on reproductive treatment outcomes in couples undergoing assisted reproductive treatment is poorly understood. This study investigates the association between vitamin D and reproductive treatment outcomes in women undergoing assisted reproductive treatments? Methods: A prospective cohort study conducted at a large tertiary teaching hospital, United Kingdom. Five hundred women undergoing assisted reproductive treatment were recruited between September 2013 and September 2015. All participants had their serum vitamin D measured and their reproductive treatment outcomes collated. Women were categorised in to three groups: vitamin D replete (> 75 nmol/L), insufficient (50-75 nmol/L) and deficient (< 50 nmol/L) according to Endocrine Society guidance. The primary outcome was live birth. Secondary outcomes included biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy and pregnancy loss rates. Results: Vitamin D deficiency was found in 53.2% (266/500) of participants and vitamin D insufficiency was found in 30.8% (154/500) of participants. Only 16% (80/500) of women were vitamin D replete. The live birth rates for vitamin D deficient, insufficient and replete women were 23.2% (57/246), 27.0% (38/141) and 37.7% (29/77) respectively (p = 0.04). The respective live birth rates for vitamin D deficient, insufficient and replete women were 24.3, 27.1, 34.4% after adjustment for key prognostic factors (p = 0.25). Conclusions: Vitamin D deficiency and insufficiency are common in women undergoing assisted reproductive treatments. The crude live birth rate achieved in women undergoing assisted reproductive treatments are associated with serum vitamin D, although statistical significance is lost when adjusting for important prognostic variables. Vitamin D deficiency could be an important condition to treat in women considering fertility treatment. A research trial to investigate the benefits of vitamin D deficiency treatment would test this hypothesis. Trial registration: Clinicaltrials.gov - NCT02187146. © 2019 The Author(s).Funding text #1 The study was funded by the Birmingham Women’s and Children’s NHS Foundation Trust Research and Development Department and was approved by the National Research Ethics Service (NRES) Committee West Midlands – Black Country (REC 13/WM/0258). A total of 504 patients who underwent ART at the Birmingham Women’s Fertility Centre from September 2013 to September 2015 were recruited. Funding text #2 The cohort study was funded by a grant from the Research and Development Department at the Birmingham Women’s and Children’s NHS Foundation Trust. Funding text #3 This study was approved by the National Research Ethics Service (NRES) Committee West Midlands – Black Country (REC 13/WM/0258). All participants provided full written and informed consent. Funding text #4 1Tommy’s National Centre for Miscarriage Research, Institute of Metabolism and Systems Research (IMSR), University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UK. 2Birmingham Women’s and Children’s National Foundation Trust, Mindelsohn Way, Birmingham B15 2TG, UK. 3Spanish Council for Scientific Research, Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research, Barcelona, Spain. 4Birmingham Women’s Foundation NHS Trust, Edgbaston B15 2TG, UK.Peer reviewe