Dynamic communicability and epidemic spread: a case study on an empirical dynamic contact network

We analyze a recently proposed temporal centrality measure applied to an empirical network based on person-to-person contacts in an emergency department of a busy urban hospital. We show that temporal centrality identifies a distinct set of top-spreaders than centrality based on the time-aggregated binarized contact matrix, so that taken together, the accuracy of capturing top-spreaders improves significantly. However, with respect to predicting epidemic outcome, the temporal measure does not necessarily outperform less complex measures. Our results also show that other temporal markers such as duration observed and the time of first appearance in the the network can be used in a simple predictive model to generate predictions that capture the trend of the observed data remarkably well.Comment: 31 pages, 15 figures, 11 tables; typos corrected; references added; Figure 3 added; some changes to the conclusion and introductio

Some Calculable Contributions to Entanglement Entropy

Entanglement entropy appears as a central property of quantum systems in broad areas of physics. However, its precise value is often sensitive to unknown microphysics, rendering it incalculable. By considering parametric dependence on correlation length, we extract finite, calculable contributions to the entanglement entropy for a scalar field between the interior and exterior of a spatial domain of arbitrary shape. The leading term is proportional to the area of the dividing boundary; we also extract finite subleading contributions for a field defined in the bulk interior of a waveguide in 3+1 dimensions, including terms proportional to the waveguide's cross-sectional geometry; its area, perimeter length, and integrated curvature. We also consider related quantities at criticality and suggest a class of systems for which these contributions might be measurable.Comment: 4+ pages, 1 figure. v2: Some clarifications and more references; updated to resemble version published in PR

Unique Characteristics of Church Planters: A Research Proposal

This article is the second and concluding article derived from the doctoral research project on young, male church planters initiated by Hertzberg with statistical and analytical support by Lonsway. Its goal is to recap the major initiatives in the research on church planters in the evangelical tradition and to cite their strengths and limitations, to summarize the research design and findings from Hertzberg’s research using the researcher’s Church Planter Questionnaire and the Stage II Casebook of the ATS Profiles of Ministry Program, and to offer a set of recommendations to strengthen and broaden the research in this vital area of church growth

Esparsette (Onobrychis viciifolia) als mögliche Futterpflanze zur Kontrolle von Magen-Darm-Strongyliden bei Schafen

In der Schaf- und Ziegenhaltung stellt der Befall mit Magen-Darm-Strongyliden (MDS) einen wesentlichen Problemfaktor für die Tiergesundheit dar. Klinische und subklinische Erkrankungen können von erheblicher wirtschaftlicher Relevanz sein. Eine zunehmende Resistenzentwicklung gegen seit langem eingesetzte Anthelminthika hat derzeit einen intensivierten Einsatz dieser Wirkstoffe zur Folge und verschärft das Problem somit zusätzlich. Die Entwicklung und Bereitstellung komplementärer Kontrollstrategien könnte zu einer erheblichen Reduktion des Anthelminthika-Einsatzes beitragen. Eine mögliche Strategie stellt der Einsatz tanninhaltiger Futterpflanzen dar. Wir beschreiben Ergebnisse aus einem in vivo Versuch zur antiparasitischen Wirkung von Esparsettenheu und Esparsettensilage (6,2 % und 4,4 % Tannine / Trockensubstanz) gegen Haemonchus contortus und Cooperia curticei in experimentell infizierten Lämmern. Nach 16-tägiger Fütterung mit Esparsettenheu war die H. contortus Wurmbürde im Vergleich zu einer isoproteisch und isoenergetisch gefütterten Kontrollgruppe (0,1 % Tannine / Trockensubstanz) um 53 % reduziert (P < 0,05). Es konnte gezeigt werden, dass Lämmer, die mit Esparsettenheu gefüttert wurden, bereits 10 Tage nach Versuchsbeginn 44 % (P < 0,05) weniger H. contortus Eier pro Gramm Kot (EpG) ausschieden als die Kontrolltiere. Bei Versuchsende (16 Tage nach Fütterungsbeginn) war die H. contortus Eiausscheidung im Vergleich zur Kontrolle um 58 % reduziert (P < 0,01). Die Tagesgewichtszunahme der Lämmer in der Esparsettenheu-Gruppe war im Vergleich zur Kontrollgruppe tendenziell besser (163 g/Tag und 96 g/Tag; P = 0,07). Die Fütterung mit Esparsettensilage reduzierte die H. contortus Eiausscheidung verglichen mit der Kontrolle um 48 %. Dieses Resultat war allerdings nicht signifikant (P = 0,075). Im Vergleich zu den Kontrollgruppen wurde die C. curticei Eiausscheidung durch Esparsettenheu um 74 % (P < 0,001) und durch Esparsettensilage um 81 % (P < 0,001) reduziert. Es handelt sich bei dieser Studie um die erste, welche die für den Praxiseinsatz wichtige Verwendung einer konservierten, tanninhaltigen Futterpflanze gezielt gegen H. contortus und C. curticei untersucht

Attractive Casimir Forces in a Closed Geometry

We study the Casimir force acting on a conducting piston with arbitrary cross section. We find the exact solution for a rectangular cross section and the first three terms in the asymptotic expansion for small height to width ratio when the cross section is arbitrary. Though weakened by the presence of the walls, the Casimir force turns out to be always attractive. Claims of repulsive Casimir forces for related configurations, like the cube, are invalidated by cutoff dependence.Comment: An updated version to coincide with the one published December 2005 in PRL. 4 pages, 2 figure

A high-reflectivity high-Q micromechanical Bragg-mirror

We report on the fabrication and characterization of a micromechanical oscillator consisting only of a free-standing dielectric Bragg mirror with high optical reflectivity and high mechanical quality. The fabrication technique is a hybrid approach involving laser ablation and dry etching. The mirror has a reflectivity of 99.6%, a mass of 400ng, and a mechanical quality factor Q of approximately 10^4. Using this micromirror in a Fabry Perot cavity, a finesse of 500 has been achieved. This is an important step towards designing tunable high-Q high-finesse cavities on chip.Comment: 3 pages, 2 figure

Do Dark Matter Axions Form a Condensate with Long-Range Correlation?

Recently there has been significant interest in the claim that dark matter axions gravitationally thermalize and form a Bose-Einstein condensate with cosmologically long-range correlation. This has potential consequences for galactic scale observations. Here we critically examine this claim. We point out that there is an essential difference between the thermalization and formation of a condensate due to repulsive interactions, which can indeed drive long-range order, and that due to attractive interactions, which can lead to localized Bose clumps (stars or solitons) that only exhibit short range correlation. While the difference between repulsion and attraction is not present in the standard collisional Boltzmann equation, we argue that it is essential to the field theory dynamics, and we explain why the latter analysis is appropriate for a condensate. Since the axion is primarily governed by attractive interactions -- gravitation and scalar-scalar contact interactions -- we conclude that while a Bose-Einstein condensate is formed, the claim of long-range correlation is unjustified.Comment: New version matches the version to be published in Physical Review D and includes a clarification about the non-relativistic limi

Effects of paddock management on vegetation, nutrient accumulation, and internal parasites in laying hens

Management of paddocks for free-range layers requires an effort from farmers to minimize the adverse effects of these systems on animal health (e.g., parasites) and environment (e.g., nutrient accumulation and leaching). In this study, we report results from 2 on-farm experiments conducted to investigate (1) the effects of rotational versus continuous use of the paddocks and (2) the effects of wood chips in the area close to the pop holes (openings to the paddock) with regard to turf quality, nutrient load in the soil, and parasite infections. Rotational use of the hen paddocks led to a lower proportion of bare soil close to the house, but not in more distant regions. Covering the area in front of the house with wood chips did not reduce bare areas. Nitrogen and phosphorous contents in soil were similar in permanently and rotationally used paddocks; they were usually higher close to the house than in distant regions. Neither nutrient accumulated over the observation period. There was no significant effect of the 2 management regimens on worm burdens (Ascaridia galli, Heterakis gallinarum, Capillaria spp.) at the end of the laying period. Fecal egg counts were significantly reduced on rotationally used paddocks and (in 3 of 4 cases) on paddocks with wood chips in the area close to the pop holes compared with unmanaged paddocks. Based on the positive effects on turf quality, manageability, and helminth egg excretion, we recommend rotational paddock management and a permanently used, small all-weather run covered with wood chips or gravel for free-range layer flock