19,761 research outputs found
Cluelessness
Decisions, whether moral or prudential, should be guided at least in part by considerations of the consequences that would result from the various available actions. For any given action, however, the majority of its consequences are unpredictable at the time of decision. Many have worried that this leaves us, in some important sense, clueless. In this paper, I distinguish between âsimpleâ and âcomplexâ possible sources of cluelessness. In terms of this taxonomy, the majority of the existing literature on cluelessness focusses on the simple sources. I argue, contra James Lenman in particular, that these would-be sources of cluelessness are unproblematic, on the grounds that indifference-based reasoning is far less problematic than Lenman (along with many others) supposes. However, there does seem to be a genuine phenomenon of cluelessness associated with the âcomplexâ sources; here, indifference-based reasoning is inapplicable by anyoneâs lights. This âcomplex problem of cluelessnessâ is vivid and pressing, in particular, in the context of Effective Altruism. This motivates a more thorough examination of the precise nature of cluelessness, and the precise source of the associated phenomenology of discomfort in forced-choice situations. The latter parts of the paper make some initial explorations in those directions
Biopesticides, regulatory innovation and the regulatory state
This article analyses regulatory innovation. It considers, in particular, how a regulatory environmental agency has been encouraged to innovate in the area of biopesticides. The literature on regulatory innovation is reviewed, the discussion situated within Moran's theory of the regulatory state. It considers to what extent innovation has occurred within the agency, looking at its proactive stance, and how unusually for a regulatory body it has negotiated new policy spaces in which to operate. The article looks at the contextual drivers and also the exogenous and endogenous pressures behind the innovation. It shows how the executive has intervened in order to promote more use of biopesticides and how pressure is also being exerted within the regulatory authority. By using the existing literature and empirical evidence a framework is outlined for explaining the likelihood of regulatory innovation occurring in regulatory agencies
Population axiology
Population axiology is the study of the conditions under which one state of affairs is better than another, when the states of affairs in ques- tion may differ over the numbers and the identities of the persons who ever live. Extant theories include totalism, averagism, variable value theories, critical level theories, and âperson-affectingâ theories. Each of these the- ories is open to objections that are at least prima facie serious. A series of impossibility theorems shows that this is no coincidence: it can be proved, for various sets of prima facie intuitively compelling desiderata, that no axiology can simultaneously satisfy all the desiderata on the list. Oneâs choice of population axiology appears to be a choice of which intuition one is least unwilling to give up
Understanding Deutsch's probability in a deterministic multiverse
Difficulties over probability have often been considered fatal to the Everett
interpretation of quantum mechanics. Here I argue that the Everettian can have
everything she needs from `probability' without recourse to indeterminism,
ignorance, primitive identity over time or subjective uncertainty: all she
needs is a particular *rationality principle*.
The decision-theoretic approach recently developed by Deutsch and Wallace
claims to provide just such a principle. But, according to Wallace, decision
theory is itself applicable only if the correct attitude to a future Everettian
measurement outcome is subjective uncertainty. I argue that subjective
uncertainty is not to be had, but I offer an alternative interpretation that
enables the Everettian to live without uncertainty: we can justify Everettian
decision theory on the basis that an Everettian should *care about* all her
future branches. The probabilities appearing in the decision-theoretic
representation theorem can then be interpreted as the degrees to which the
rational agent cares about each future branch. This reinterpretation, however,
reduces the intuitive plausibility of one of the Deutsch-Wallace axioms
(Measurement Neutrality).Comment: 34 pages (excluding bibliography); no figures. To appear in Studies
in the History and Philosophy of Modern Physics, Septamber 2004. Replaced to
include changes made during referee and editorial review (abstract extended;
arrangement and presentation of material in sections 4.1, 5.3, 5.4 altered
significantly; minor changes elsewhere
The Demise of EC Regulation 17/62
Brief commentary on the introduction of new EC Regulation on the enforcement of the EC competition rules by Rosa Greaves (Allen & Overy and Professor of European Law, Durham European Law Institute). Published in Amicus Curiae â Journal of the Society for Advanced Legal Studies at the Institute of Advanced Legal Studies. The Journal is produced by SALS at the IALS (Institute of Advanced Legal Studies, School of Advanced Study, University of London)
Towards a geometrical understanding of the CPT theorem
The CPT theorem of quantum field theory states that any relativistic (Lorentz-invariant) quantum field theory must also be invariant under CPT, the composition of charge conjugation, parity reversal and time reversal. This paper sketches a puzzle that seems to arise when one puts the existence of this sort of theorem alongside a standard way of thinking about symmetries, according to which *spacetime* symmetries (at any rate) are associated with features of the spacetime structure. The puzzle is, roughly, that the existence of a CPT theorem seems to show that it is not possible for a well-formulated theory that does not make use of a preferred frame or foliation to make use of a temporal orientation. Since a manifold with only a Lorentzian metric can be temporally orientable --- capable of admitting a temporal orientation --- this seems to be an odd sort of necessary connection between distinct existences. The paper then suggests a solution to the puzzle: it is suggested that the CPT theorem arises because temporal orientation is unlike other pieces of spacetime structure, in that one cannot represent it by a tensor field. To avoid irrelevant technical details, the discussion is carried out in the setting of classical (rather than quantum) field theory, using a little-known classical analog of the CPT theorem
Small-span Hermitian matrices over quadratic integer rings
Building on the classification of all characteristic polynomials of integer
symmetric matrices having small span (span less than 4), we obtain a
classification of small-span polynomials that are the characteristic polynomial
of a Hermitian matrix over some quadratic integer ring. Taking quadratic
integer rings as our base, we obtain as characteristic polynomials some
low-degree small-span polynomials that are not the characteristic (or minimal)
polynomial of any integer symmetric matrix.Comment: 16 page
Discounting future health
In carrying out cost-benefit or cost-effective analysis, a discount rate should be applied to some kinds of future benefits and costs. It is controversial, though, whether future health is in this class. I argue that one of the standard arguments for discounting (from diminishing marginal returns) is inapplicable to the case of health, while another (favouring a pure rate of time preference) is unsound in any case. However, there are two other reasons that might support a positive discount rate for future health: one relating to uncertainty, and the other relating to the instrumental benefits of improved health. While the latter considerations could be modelled via a discount rate, they could alternatively be modelled more explicitly, in other ways; I briefly discuss which modelling method is preferable. Finally, I argue against the common claims that failing to discount future health would lead to paradox, and/or to inconsistency with the way future cash flows are treated
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