A personalized stepwise dynamic predictive algorithm of the time to first treatment in chronic lymphocytic leukemia

Summary: Personalized prediction is ideal in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL). Although refined models have been developed, stratifying patients in risk groups, it is required to accommodate time-dependent information of patients, to address the clinical heterogeneity observed within these groups. In this direction, this study proposes a personalized stepwise dynamic predictive algorithm (PSDPA) for the time-to-first-treatment of the individual patient. The PSDPA introduces a personalized Score, reflecting the evolution in the patient’s follow-up, employed to develop a reference pool of patients. Score evolution’s similarity is used to predict, at a selected time point, the time-to-first-treatment for a new patient. Additional patient’s biological information may be utilized. The algorithm was applied to 20 CLL patients, indicating that stricter assessment criteria for the Score evolution’s similarity, and biological similarity exploitation, may improve prediction. The PSDPA capitalizes on both the follow-up and the biological background of the individual patient, dynamically promoting personalized prediction in CLL

Other malignancies in the history of CLL: an international multicenter study conducted by ERIC, the European Research Initiative on CLL, in HARMONY

Background: Patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) have a higher risk of developing other malignancies (OMs) compared to the general population. However, the impact of CLL-related risk factors and CLL-directed treatment is still unclear and represents the focus of this work. Methods: We conducted a retrospective international multicenter study to assess the incidence of OMs and detect potential risk factors in 19,705 patients with CLL, small lymphocytic lymphoma, or high-count CLL-like monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis, diagnosed between 2000 and 2016. Data collection took place between October 2020 and March 2022. Findings: In 129,254 years of follow-up after CLL diagnosis, 3513 OMs were diagnosed (27.2 OMs/1000 person-years). The most common hematological OMs were Richter transformation, myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Non-melanoma skin (NMSC) and prostate cancers were the most common solid tumors (STs). The only predictor for MDS and AML development was treatment with fludarabine and cyclophosphamide with/without rituximab (FC ± R) (OR = 3.7; 95% CI = 2.79–4.91; p < 0.001). STs were more frequent in males and patients with unmutated immunoglobulin heavy variable genes (OR = 1.77; 95% CI = 1.49–2.11; p < 0.001/OR = 1.89; 95% CI = 1.6–2.24; p < 0.001). CLL-directed treatment was associated with non-melanoma skin and prostate cancers (OR = 1.8; 95% CI = 1.36–2.41; p < 0.001/OR = 2.11; 95% CI = 1.12–3.97; p = 0.021). In contrast, breast cancers were more frequent in untreated patients (OR = 0.17; 95% CI = 0.08–0.33; p < 0.001). Patients with CLL and an OM had inferior overall survival (OS) than those without. AML and MDS conferred the worst OS (p < 0.001). Interpretation: OMs in CLL impact on OS. Treatment for CLL increased the risk for AML/MDS, prostate cancer, and NMSC. FCR was associated with increased risk for AML/MDS. Funding: AbbVie, and EU/ EFPIA Innovative Medicines Initiative Joint Undertaking HARMONY grant n° 116026