Commercial value chain optimization and economic modelling for the Barendrecht CO2 storage project

AbstractShell CO2 Storage B.V. (SCS) is planning to inject up to 10 million tonnes of CO2 in two depleted gas fields: Barendrecht (BRT) and Barendrecht-Ziedewij (BRTZ). This paper describes the process of selecting an optimised commercial value chain design for capture, transportation, injection and marketing of the CO2, requiring a helicopter view of the full system from source to sink over the 30 year injection life cycle of the project. The commercial concepts considered, selection criteria used and the selected concept will be discussed. Second, the economic modelling criteria for the main value drivers of the project will be discussed and the main differences with traditional petroleum economics will be indicated.Although the project is not pursued for financial profit, the use of the evaluation methodology described below has resulted in an optimal value proposition and value chain for Government, project, sub-contractors and society. The analysis showed that the project differed significantly from other CCS projects due to the relative weight of the transportation value component. The risk and uncertainty approach for the economic modelling of the key value drivers of the projects has resulted in a robust economic model to assist decision making for any changes to the project in a rapidly changing political environment

Sunshine, Sea, and Season of Birth: MS Incidence in Wales

Maternal sun exposure in gestation and throughout the lifetime is necessary for vitamin D synthesis, and living near the sea is a population level index of seafood consumption. The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence rate of multiple sclerosis (MS) in Wales and examine its association with sun exposure, coastal living, and latitude. The study used a database of MS hospital visits and admissions in Wales between 2002 and 2013. For the 1,909 lower layer super output areas (LSOAs) in Wales, coastal status, population, longitude/latitude, and average sunshine hours per day were obtained. Age-specific and age-standardised MS incidence were calculated and modelled using Poisson regression. The distribution of births by month was compared between MS cases and the combined England and Wales population. There were 3,557 new MS cases between 2002 and 2013, with an average annual incidence of 8.14 (95% CI: 7.69-8.59) among males and 12.97 (95% CI: 12.44-13.50) among females per 100,000 population. The female-to-male ratio was 1.86:1. For both sexes combined, the average annual incidence rate was 9.10 (95% CI: 8.80-9.40). All figures are age-standardized to the 1976 European standard population. Compared to the combined England and Wales population, more people with MS were born in April, observed-to-expected ratio: 1.21 (95% CI: 1.08-1.36). MS incidence varied directly with latitude and inversely with sunshine hours. Proximity to the coast was associated with lower MS incidence only in easterly areas. This study shows that MS incidence rate in Wales is comparable to the rate in Scotland and is associated with environmental factors that probably represent levels of vitamin D

Analysis of brainstem activitywith fMRI during low-level of pain- a feasibility study with innocuous cold stimuli

Background: In functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI)studies, there are limitedpublished data on the functional map of the human brainstem. Objective: The primary goals of this pilot study were to assess the feasibility and  to map  the  neural activity in the human brainstem with fMRIby equal intensity by low-level of thermal stimuli on the peripheral sensors of the skin. Patients and Methods: FMRI studies of the brainstem were carried out on 6healthyindividuals in a 3T MRI machine. Noxious thermal stimuli was applied on the peripheral sensitisation nerves on the arm. FMRI data spanned from the brainstem location by a 32-head channel and analysed using a fixed-effects General Linear Model to discriminate signal intensity changes from physiological motion. The results were normalised and combined to show the activity at each location on a voxel-by-voxel basis. Areas of physiological activity were recognisedwith comparison to the  number of atlases. Results: Noxious and innocuous related activation clusters were approved in thisapplied method. There were considerable activity in the midbrain, pons, medulla and reticular formation. The results  of this pilot study are similar and in some anatomical regions even better with head coils than obtained with previous fMRI spinal coil studies.We obtained evidence of localization of the following nuclei by using this method, asfollows: major activities in the inferior anterior parts of pons and the junction with medulla includes the (olive and pyramids),superior cerebella pundicle, rostral portion of medulla (RMV), Broadmann areas  [5,2] touch and temperature sensation  areas with the innocuous stimuli; activation in the left side of the medulla the (olive and pyramids), the left side of pons, the left side of midbrain, Broadmann area [5,7] pain and temperature sensation areas with noxious stimuli. Conclusion:This pilotstudy provides useful evidenceoflow-painful and innocuous information transmitted  between the peripheral nervous system and the central nervous system in healthy participants.It also demonstrates how peripheral sensitisation induces physiological changes in the brainstem  correlates with noxious and innocuous thermal transmission

Cancer associated fibroblasts predict for poor outcome and promote periostin-dependent invasion in oesophageal adenocarcinoma

Interactions between cancer cells and cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAF) play an important role in tumour development and progression. In this study we investigated the functional role of CAF in oesophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). We used immunochemistry to analyse a cohort of EAC patients (183 patients) for CAF markers related to disease mortality. We characterized CAF and normal oesophageal fibroblasts (NOF) using western blotting, immunofluorescence and gel contraction. Transwell assays, 3-D organotypic culture and xenograft models were used to examine effects on EAC cell function, and dissect molecular mechanisms regulating invasion. Most EAC (93%) contained CAF with a myofibroblastic (?-SMA-positive) phenotype, which correlated significantly with poor survival (p?=?0.016; HR 7. 1 (1.7-29.4). Primary CAF, isolated from EAC, have a contractile, myofibroblastic phenotype, and promote EAC cell invasion in vitro (Transwell assays, p?=?<0.05; organotypic culture, p?<?0.001) and in vivo (p?=?<0.05). In vitro, this pro-invasive effect is modulated through the matricellular protein periostin. Periostin is secreted by CAF, and acts as a ligand for EAC cell integrins ?v?3 and ?v?5, promoting activation of the PI3kinase/Akt pathway. In patient samples, periostin expression at the tumour cell/stromal interface correlates with poor overall and disease-free survival. Our study highlights the importance of the tumour stroma in EAC progression. Paracrine interaction between CAF-secreted periostin and EAC-expressed integrins results in PI3 kinase/Akt activation and increased tumour cell invasion. Most EAC contain a myofibroblastic CAF-rich stroma; this may explain the aggressive, highly infiltrative nature of the disease, and suggests that stromal targeting may produce therapeutic benefit in EAC patient

Tumour infiltrating lymphocytes correlate with improved survival in patients with oesophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC) is increasingly common in the west, and survival remains poor at 10-15 % at 5 years. Immune responses are increasingly implicated as a determining factor of tumour progression. The ability of lymphocytes to recognise tumour antigens provides a mechanism for a host immune attack against cancer providing a potential treatment strategy.MATERIALS AND METHODS: Tumour infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs: CD3+, CD4+, CD8+ and FOXp3+) were assessed by immunohistochemistry using tissue microarrays in a contemporary and homogeneous cohort of OAC patients (n = 128) undergoing curative treatment.RESULTS: Multivariate analysis identified three independent prognostic factors for improved cancer-specific survival (CSS): increased CD8+ TILs (p = 0.003), completeness of resection (p < 0.0001) and lower pathological N stage (p < 0.0001). Independent prognostic factors for favourable disease-free survival included surgery-only treatment (p = 0.015), completeness of resection (p = 0.001), increased CD8+ TILs (p < 0.0001) and reduced pathological N stage (p < 0.0001). Higher levels of TILs in the pathological specimen were associated with significant pathological response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). On multivariate analysis increased levels of CD4+ (p = 0.017) and CD8+ TILs (p = 0.005) were associated with significant local tumour regression and lymph node downstaging, respectively.DISCUSSION: Our results establish an association of TILs and survival in OAC, as seen in other solid tumours, and identify particular TIL subsets that are present at higher levels in patients who responded to NAC compared to non-responders. These findings highlight potential therapeutic strategies in EAC based on utilising the host immunological response and highlight the immune responses biomarker potential

A subset of myofibroblastic cancer-associated fibroblasts regulate collagen fiber elongation, which is prognostic in multiple cancers

Collagen structure has been shown to influence tumor cell invasion, metastasis and clinical outcome in breast cancer. However, it remains unclear how it affects other solid cancers. Here we utilized multi-photon laser scanning microscopy and Second Harmonic Generation to identify alterations to collagen fiber structure within the tumor stroma of head & neck, esophageal and colorectal cancers. Image segmentation algorithms were then applied to quantitatively characterize these morphological changes, showing that elongated collagen fibers significantly correlated with poor clinical outcome (Log Rank p < 0.05). We used TGF-? treatment to model fibroblast conversion to smooth muscle actin SMA-positive cancer associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and found that these cells induce the formation of elongated collagen fibers in vivo. However, proteomic/transcriptomic analysis of SMA-positive CAFs cultured ex-vivo showed significant heterogeneity in the expression of genes with collagen fibril organizing gene ontology. Notably, stratifying patients according to stromal SMA-positivity and collagen fiber elongation was found to provide a highly significant correlation with poor survival in all 3 cancer types (Log Rank p ? 0.003). In summary, we show that increased collagen fiber length correlates with poor patient survival in multiple tumor types and that only a sub-set of SMA-positive CAFs can mediate the formation of this collagen structure

A Large-Scale Study of Anxiety and Depression in People with Multiple Sclerosis: A Survey via the Web Portal of the UK MS Register

Studies have found that people with Multiple Sclerosis experience relatively high rates of anxiety and depression. Although methodologically robust, many of these studies had access to only modest sample sizes (N<200). The aims of this study were to use responses gained via the web portal of the UK MS Register (N>4000) to: describe the depression and anxiety profiles of people with MS; to determine if anxiety and depression are related to age or disease duration; and to assess whether the levels of anxiety and depression differ between genders and types of MS.From its launch in May 2011 to the end of December 2011, 7786 adults with MS enrolled to take part in the UK MS Register via the web portal. The responses to the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) were collated with basic demographic and descriptive MS data provided at registration and the resulting dataset was analysed in SPSS (v.16).The mean HADS score among the 4178 respondents was 15.7 (SE 0.117, SD 7.55) with a median of 15.0 (IQR 11). Anxiety and depression rates were notably high, with over half (54.1%) scoring ≥ 8 for anxiety and 46.9% scoring ≥ 8 for depression. Women with relapsing-remitting MS were more anxious than men with this type (p<0.001), and than women with other types of MS (p = 0.017). Within each gender, men and women with secondary progressive MS were more depressed than men or women with other types of MS (p<0.001, p<0.001).This largest known study of its kind has shown that anxiety and depression are highly prevalent in people with MS, indicating that their mental health needs could be better addressed. These findings support service planning and further research to provide the best care for people with MS to help alleviate these debilitating conditions

The feasibility of collecting information from people with Multiple Sclerosis for the UK MS Register via a web portal: characterising a cohort of people with MS.

BACKGROUND: A UK Register of people with Multiple Sclerosis has been developed to address the need for an increased knowledge-base about MS. The Register is being populated via: a web-based portal; NHS neurology clinical systems; and administrative data sources. The data are de-identified and linked at the individual level. At the outset, it was not known whether people with MS would wish to participate in the UK MS Register by personally contributing their data to the Register via a web-based system. Therefore, the research aim of this work was to build an internet-mounted recruitment and consenting technology for people with Multiple Sclerosis, and to assess its feasibility as a questionnaire delivery platform to contribute data to the UK MS Register, by determining whether the information provided could be used to describe a cohort of people with MS. METHODS: The web portal was developed using VB.net and JQuery with a Microsoft SQL 2008 database. UK adults with MS can self-register and enter data about themselves by completing validated questionnaires. Descriptive statistics were used to characterise the respondents. RESULTS: The web portal was launched in May 2011, and in first three months 7,279 individuals registered on the portal. The ratio of men to women was 1:2.4 (n = 5,899), the mean self-reported age at first symptoms was 33.8 (SD 10.5) years, and at diagnosis 39.6 (SD 10.3) years (n = 4,401). The reported types of MS were: 15% primary progressive, 63% relapsing-remitting, 8% secondary progressive, and 14% unknown (n = 5,400). These characteristics are similar to those of the prevalent MS population. Employment rates, sickness/disability rates, ethnicity and educational qualifications were compared with the general UK population. Information about the respondents' experience of early symptoms and the process of diagnosis, plus living arrangements are also reported. CONCLUSIONS: These initial findings from the MS Register portal demonstrate the feasibility of collecting data about people with MS via a web platform, and show that sufficient information can be gathered to characterise a cohort of people with MS. The innovative design of the UK MS register, bringing together three disparate sources of data, is creating a rich resource for research into this condition