ApoE e2 and aging-related outcomes in 379,000 UK Biobank participants

This is the final version. Available on open access from Impact Journals via the DOI in this recordThe Apolipoprotein E (APOE) e4 allele is associated with reduced longevity and increased Coronary Artery Disease (CAD) and Alzheimer's disease, with e4e4 having markedly larger effect sizes than e3e4. The e2 longevity promoting variant is less studied. We conducted a phenome-wide association study of ApoE e2e3 and e2e2 with aging phenotypes, to assess their potential as targets for anti-aging interventions. Data were from 379,000 UK Biobank participants, aged 40 to 70 years. e2e3 (n=46,535) had mostly lower lipid-related biomarker levels including reduced total and LDL-cholesterol, and lower risks of CAD (Odds Ratio=0.87, 95% CI: 0.83 to 0.90, p=4.92×10-14) and hypertension (OR=0.94, 95% CI: 0.92 to 0.97, p=7.28×10-7) versus e3e3. However, lipid changes in e2e2 (n=2,398) were more extreme, including a marked increase in triglyceride levels (0.41 Standard Deviations, 95% CI: 0.37 to 0.45, p=5.42×10-92), with no associated changes in CAD risks. There were no associations with biomarkers of kidney function. The effects of both e2e2 and e2e3 were minimal on falls, muscle mass, grip strength or frailty. In conclusion, e2e3 has protective effects on some health outcomes, but the effects of e2e2 are not similar, complicating the potential usefulness of e2 as a target for anti-aging intervention.National Institute on Agin

Red cell distribution width and common disease onsets in 240,477 healthy volunteers followed for up to 9 years

This is the final version. Available on open access from Public Library of Science via the DOI in this recordData Availability: Ethical approval for UK Biobank study was obtained from the North West Multi-Centre Research Ethics Committee. All of the UK Biobank data used in this research is available to bona fide researchers following an application to the UK Biobank (http://www.ukbiobank.ac.uk/register-apply/). The UK Biobank data provided for our approved research project cannot be released by the authors to third parties, this is a legal obligation as part of our Material Transfer Agreement. The authors did not have any special access privileges that others would not have.Higher Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW or anisocytosis) predicts incident coronary artery disease (CAD) plus all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but its predictive value for other common diseases in healthy volunteers is less clear. We aimed to determine the shorter and longer term associations between RDW and incident common conditions in participants free of baseline disease, followed for 9 years. We undertook a prospective analysis of RDW% using 240,477 healthy UK Biobank study volunteers aged 40-70 years at baseline, with outcomes ascertained during follow-up (≤9 years). Participants were free of anemia, CAD, type-2 diabetes, stroke, hypertension, COPD, and any cancer (except non-melanoma skin cancer) at baseline. Survival models (with competing Hazards) tested associations with outcomes from hospital admission records and death certificates. High RDW (≥15% variation, n = 6,050) compared to low (<12.5% n = 20,844) was strongly associated with mortality (HR 3.10: 95% CI 2.57 to 3.74), adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, education level, mean cell volume and hemoglobin concentration. Higher RDW was also associated with incident CAD (sub-HR 1.67: 1.40 to 1.99), heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, atrial fibrillation, stroke, and cancer (sHR 1.37: 1.21 to 1.55; colorectal cancer sHR 1.92: 1.36 to 2.72), especially leukemia (sHR 2.85: 1.63 to 4.97). Associations showed dose-response relationships, and RDW had long-term predictive value (≥4.5 years after assessment) for the majority of outcomes, which were similar in younger and older persons. In conclusion, higher RDW predicted onsets of a wide range of common conditions as well as mortality in a large healthy volunteer cohort. RDW is not just a short term predictor, as high levels were predictive 4.5 to 9 years after baseline in healthy volunteers. The wide range of outcomes reflects known RDW genetic influences, including diverse disease risks. RDW may be a useful clinical marker for inclusion in wellness assessments.This work is supported by internal funding from the University of Exeter Medical School (L.C.P. and D.M.), a UK Medical Research Council (grant number MR/M023095/1) award (D.M. and J.L.A.), internal funding from the University of Connecticut Health Center (G.A.K.), and the Intramural Research Program of the National Institute on Aging, U.S. National Institutes of Health (L.F.)

Obesity and Longer Term Risks of Dementia in 65-74 Year Olds

Background: overweight or obesity at ages <65 years associates with increased dementia incidence, but at ≥65 years estimates are paradoxical. Weight loss before dementia diagnosis, plus smoking and diseases causing weight loss may confound associations. Objective: to estimate weight loss before dementia diagnosis, plus short and longer-term body mass index associations with incident dementia in 65-74 year olds within primary care populations in England. Methods: we studied dementia diagnosis free subjects: 257,523 non-smokers without baseline cancer, heart failure or multi-morbidity (group A) plus 161,927 with these confounders (group B), followed ≤14.9 years. Competing hazard models accounted for mortality. Results: in group A, 9,774 were diagnosed with dementia and in those with repeat weight measures, 54% lost ≥2.5 kg during 10 years pre-diagnosis. During <10 years obesity (≥30.0 kg/m2) or overweight (25.0 to <30.0) were inversely associated with incident dementia (versus 22.5 to <25.0). However, from 10 to 14.9 years, obesity was associated with increased dementia incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.17; 95% CI: 1.03-1.32). Overweight protective associations disappeared in longer-term analyses (HR, 1.01; 95% CI: 0.90-1.13). In group B, (n = 6,070 with incident dementia), obesity was associated with lower dementia risks in the short and longer-term. Conclusions: in 65-74 year olds (free of smoking, cancer, heart failure or multi-morbidity at baseline) obesity associates with higher longer-term incidence of dementia. Paradoxical associations were present short-term and in those with likely confounders. Reports of protective effects of obesity or overweight on dementia risk in older groups may reflect biases, especially weight loss before dementia diagnosis.This article is freely available via Open Access. Click on the Publisher URL to access it via the publisher's site.Supported by the National Institute for Health Research School for Public Health Research (Ageing Well Programme) and the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health National Institute on Aging.published version, accepted version (12 month embargo), submitted versio

Telomere length and aging-related outcomes in humans: A Mendelian randomization study in 261,000 older participants.

This is the final version. Available from Wiley Open Access via the DOI in this recordInherited genetic variation influencing leukocyte telomere length provides a natural experiment for testing associations with health outcomes, more robust to confounding and reverse causation than observational studies. We tested associations between genetically determined telomere length and aging-related health outcomes in a large European ancestry older cohort. Data were from n = 379,758 UK Biobank participants aged 40-70, followed up for mean of 7.5 years (n = 261,837 participants aged 60 and older by end of follow-up). Thirteen variants strongly associated with longer telomere length in peripheral white blood cells were analyzed using Mendelian randomization methods with Egger plots to assess pleiotropy. Variants in TERC, TERT, NAF1, OBFC1, and RTEL1 were included, and estimates were per 250 base pairs increase in telomere length, approximately equivalent to the average change over a decade in the general white population. We highlighted associations with false discovery rate-adjusted p-values smaller than .05. Genetically determined longer telomere length was associated with lowered risk of coronary heart disease (CHD; OR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92-0.98) but raised risk of cancer (OR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.06-1.16). Little evidence for associations were found with parental lifespan, centenarian status of parents, cognitive function, grip strength, sarcopenia, or falls. The results for those aged 60 and older were similar in younger or all participants. Genetically determined telomere length was associated with increased risk of cancer and reduced risk of CHD but little change in other age-related health outcomes. Telomere lengthening may offer little gain in later-life health status and face increasing cancer risks.the National Institute on Agin

The Longevity Associated Sh2b3 (LNK) Genetic Variant: Selected Aging Phenotypes in 379,758 Subjects

This is the author accepted manuscript. The final version is available from Oxford University Press via the DOI in this record.Human SH2B3 is involved in growth factor and inflammation signaling. A SH2B3 missense variant (rs3184504) is associated with cardiovascular diseases plus breast, colorectal and lung cancers, with highly correlated variants across the ATXN2/SH2B3/BRAP locus linked to parental age at death, suggesting a geroscience common mechanism of aging and disease. To better understand the SH2B3-related aging pathway and its potential as an intervention target, we undertook a phenotype-wide association study (PheWAS) of 52 aging traits. Data were from 379,758 European-descent UK Biobank participants, aged 40 to 70 at baseline: 27% of participants were CC homozygotes and 23% TT at rs3184504. Parental extreme longevity (mothers aged ≥98 years, fathers ≥96) was more common in CC versus TT (Odds Ratio =1.18, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.29) with an additive per allele effect. The C allele associated with better cognitive function and white blood cell counts were more likely to be normal. The C allele reduced risks of coronary heart disease (OR= 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93 to 0.96) but was also associated with a modestly higher cancer rate (OR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.02 to 1.04), suggesting a trade-off across aging outcomes and limiting its potential as an anti-aging target.Medical Research Council (MRC)University of Exeter Medical SchoolUniversity of Connecticut School of Medicin

Central adiposity and the overweight risk paradox in aging: follow-up of 130,473 UK Biobank participants

This is the final version of the article. Available from American Society for Nutrition via the DOI in this record.Background: For older groups, being overweight [body mass index (BMI; in kg/m(2)): 25 to <30] is reportedly associated with a lower or similar risk of mortality than being normal weight (BMI: 18.5 to <25). However, this "risk paradox" is partly explained by smoking and disease-associated weight loss. This paradox may also arise from BMI failing to measure fat redistribution to a centralized position in later life.Objective: This study aimed to estimate associations between combined measurements of BMI and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with mortality and incident coronary artery disease (CAD).Design: This study followed 130,473 UK Biobank participants aged 60-69 y (baseline 2006-2010) for ≤8.3 y (n = 2974 deaths). Current smokers and individuals with recent or disease-associated (e.g., from dementia, heart failure, or cancer) weight loss were excluded, yielding a "healthier agers" group. Survival models were adjusted for age, sex, alcohol intake, smoking history, and educational attainment. Population and sex-specific lower and higher WHR tertiles were <0.91 and ≥0.96 for men and <0.79 and ≥0.85 for women, respectively.Results: Ignoring WHR, the risk of mortality for overweight subjects was similar to that for normal-weight subjects (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.19; P = 0.066). However, among normal-weight subjects, mortality increased for those with a higher WHR (HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.65) compared with a lower WHR. Being overweight with a higher WHR was associated with substantial excess mortality (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.25, 1.61) and greatly increased CAD incidence (sub-HR: 1.64; 95% CI: 1.39, 1.93) compared with being normal weight with a lower WHR. There was no interaction between physical activity and BMI plus WHR groups with respect to mortality.Conclusions: For healthier agers (i.e., nonsmokers without disease-associated weight loss), having central adiposity and a BMI corresponding to normal weight or overweight is associated with substantial excess mortality. The claimed BMI-defined overweight risk paradox may result in part from failing to account for central adiposity, rather than reflecting a protective physiologic effect of higher body-fat content in later life.AB reported grants from the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research (Ageing Well Programme) during the conduct of the study and was an employee of Pfizer Italia until November 2012.Supported by UK Medical Research Council award MR/M023095/1 to DM, the National Institute for Health Research School for Public Health Research Ageing Well Programme (partnership), and the Intramural Research Program of the NIH National Institute on Aging

Central adiposity and the overweight risk paradox in aging: follow-up of 130,473 UK Biobank participants

This is the final version of the article. Available from American Society for Nutrition via the DOI in this record.Background: For older groups, being overweight [body mass index (BMI; in kg/m(2)): 25 to <30] is reportedly associated with a lower or similar risk of mortality than being normal weight (BMI: 18.5 to <25). However, this "risk paradox" is partly explained by smoking and disease-associated weight loss. This paradox may also arise from BMI failing to measure fat redistribution to a centralized position in later life.Objective: This study aimed to estimate associations between combined measurements of BMI and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with mortality and incident coronary artery disease (CAD).Design: This study followed 130,473 UK Biobank participants aged 60-69 y (baseline 2006-2010) for ≤8.3 y (n = 2974 deaths). Current smokers and individuals with recent or disease-associated (e.g., from dementia, heart failure, or cancer) weight loss were excluded, yielding a "healthier agers" group. Survival models were adjusted for age, sex, alcohol intake, smoking history, and educational attainment. Population and sex-specific lower and higher WHR tertiles were <0.91 and ≥0.96 for men and <0.79 and ≥0.85 for women, respectively.Results: Ignoring WHR, the risk of mortality for overweight subjects was similar to that for normal-weight subjects (HR: 1.09; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.19; P = 0.066). However, among normal-weight subjects, mortality increased for those with a higher WHR (HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.08, 1.65) compared with a lower WHR. Being overweight with a higher WHR was associated with substantial excess mortality (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.25, 1.61) and greatly increased CAD incidence (sub-HR: 1.64; 95% CI: 1.39, 1.93) compared with being normal weight with a lower WHR. There was no interaction between physical activity and BMI plus WHR groups with respect to mortality.Conclusions: For healthier agers (i.e., nonsmokers without disease-associated weight loss), having central adiposity and a BMI corresponding to normal weight or overweight is associated with substantial excess mortality. The claimed BMI-defined overweight risk paradox may result in part from failing to account for central adiposity, rather than reflecting a protective physiologic effect of higher body-fat content in later life.AB reported grants from the UK National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) School for Public Health Research (Ageing Well Programme) during the conduct of the study and was an employee of Pfizer Italia until November 2012.Supported by UK Medical Research Council award MR/M023095/1 to DM, the National Institute for Health Research School for Public Health Research Ageing Well Programme (partnership), and the Intramural Research Program of the NIH National Institute on Aging

Low Vitamin D Levels and Risk of Incident Delirium in 351,000 Older UK Biobank Participants

This is the final version. Available on open access from Wiley via the DOI in this recordBACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Delirium is common in older adults, especially following hospitalization. Because low vitamin D levels may be associated with increased delirium risk, we aimed to determine the prognostic value of blood vitamin D levels, extending our previous genetic analyses of this relationship. DESIGN Prospective cohort analysis. SETTING Community‐based cohort study of adults from 22 cities across the United Kingdom (the UK Biobank). PARTICIPANTS Adults aged 60 and older by the end of follow‐up in the linked hospital inpatient admissions data, up to 14 years after baseline (n = 351,320). MEASUREMENTS At baseline, serum vitamin D (25‐OH‐D) levels were measured. We used time‐to‐event models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between vitamin D deficiency and incident hospital‐diagnosed delirium, adjusted for age, sex, assessment month, assessment center, and ethnicity. We performed Mendelian randomization genetic analysis in European participants to further investigate vitamin D and delirium risk. RESULTS A total of 3,634 (1.03%) participants had at least one incident hospital‐diagnosed delirium episode. Vitamin D deficiency (50 nmol/L). Increased risk was not limited to the deficient group: insufficient levels (25–50 nmol/L) were also at increased risk (HR = 1.38; 95% CI = 1.28–1.49; P = 4*10−18). The association was independent of calcium levels, hospital‐diagnosed fractures, dementia, and other relevant cofactors. In genetic analysis, participants carrying more vitamin D–increasing variants had a reduced likelihood of incident delirium diagnosis (HR = .80 per standard deviation increase in genetically instrumented vitamin D: .73–.87; P = 2*10−7). CONCLUSION Progressively lower vitamin D levels predicted increased risks of incident hospital‐diagnosed delirium, and genetic evidence supports a shared causal pathway. Because low vitamin D levels are simple to detect and inexpensive and safe to correct, an intervention trial to confirm these results is urgently needed.Alzheimer’s SocietyMedical Research Council (MRC)National Institute on Agin