On a minimal model for estimating climate sensitivity

In a recent issue of this journal, Loehle (2014) presents a "minimal model" for estimating climate sensitivity, identical to that previously published by Loehle and Scafetta (2011). The novelty in the more recent paper lies in the straightforward calculation of an estimate of transient climate response based on the model and an estimate of equilibrium climate sensitivity derived therefrom, via a flawed methodology. We demonstrate that the Loehle and Scafetta model systematically underestimates the transient climate response, due to a number of unsupportable assumptions regarding the climate system. Once the flaws in Loehle and Scafetta's model are addressed, the estimates of transient climate response and equilibrium climate sensitivity derived from the model are entirely consistent with those obtained from general circulation models, and indeed exclude the possibility of low climate sensitivity, directly contradicting the principal conclusion drawn by Loehle. Further, we present an even more parsimonious model for estimating climate sensitivity. Our model is based on observed changes in radiative forcings, and is therefore constrained by physics, unlike the Loehle model, which is little more than a curve-fitting exercise

Hercules X-1: Pulsed gamma-rays detected above 150 GeV

The 1.24 second binary pulsar Her X-1, first observed in X-rays in 1971 by UHURU has now been seen as a sporadic gamma ray source from 1 TeV up to at least 500 TeV. In addition, reprocessed optical and infrared pulses are seen from the companion star HZ Herculis. Thus measurements of the Her X-1/HZ Herculis system span 15 decades in energy, rivaling both the Crab pulsar and Cygnus X-3 in this respect for a discrete galactic source

Locating very high energy gamma ray sources with arc minute accuracy

The angular accuracy of gamma-ray detectors is intrinsically limited by the physical processes involved in photon detection. Although a number of point-like sources were detected by the COS-B satellite, only two were unambiguously identified by time signature with counterparts at longer wavelengths. By taking advantage of the extended longitudinal structure of Very High Energy gamma-ray showers, measurements in the TeV energy range can pinpoint source coordinates to arc minute accuracy. This was demonstrated using Cerenkov air shower imaging techniques. With two telescopes in coincidence, the individual event circular probable error will be 0.13 deg. The half-cone angle of the field of view is effectively 1 deg

‘I’d be proud to spend the sacred foreign aid budget on our poor pensioners’: Representations of macro aid resourcing in the Irish, UK and US print-media during the economic crisis, 2008–2011

The news-media has been identified as an influence on donor nations’ overseas aid allocations, acting as a site where decisions are justified to ‘domestic constituencies’ and through which resistance is mobilised. Mediated pressures on aid allocations amplified between 2008 and 2011 in three donor countries experiencing domestic economic difficulties: Ireland, the UK and the US. This study suggests that each country’s print-media positioned the macro resourcing of aid primarily as an inward concern, neglected recipient country needs, and made weak connections to international policy frameworks to benchmark, contextualise and rationalise aid allocations. The research suggests that the explanatory limitations of the countries’ news-models in communicating the processes and rationales underpinning macro aid resourcing may be a factor in sustaining a knowledge and legitimacy deficit among domestic publics for international aid agreements

Very High Energy Gamma-Ray Emission from the Blazar Markarian 421

Very high energy gamma-ray emission from the BL Lac object Markarian 421 has been detected over three observing seasons on 59 nights between April 1992 and June 1994 with the Whipple 10-meter imaging Cherenkov telescope. During its initial detection in 1992, its flux above 500 GeV was 1.6$\times$10$^{-11}$photons cm$^{-2}$ s$^{-1}$. Observations in 1993 confirmed this level of emission. For observations made between December 1993 and April 1994, its intensity was a factor of 2.2$\pm$0.5 lower. Observations on 14 and 15 May, 1994 showed an increase over this quiescent level by a factor of $\sim$10 (Kerrick et al. 1995). This strong outburst suggests that 4 episodes of increased flux measurements on similar time scales in 1992 and 1994 may be attributed to somewhat weaker outbursts. The variability of the TeV gamma-ray emission from Markarian 421 stands in contrast to EGRET observations (Lin et al. 1994) which show no evidence for variability.Comment: gzip compressed tar file including LaTeX text and 4 postscript figures (14 pages total incl. 4 tables), accepted for publication in the Astrophysical Journal. Contact address is [email protected]

Correlated variability of Mkn 421 at X-ray and TeV wavelengths on timescales of hours

Mkn 421 was observed for about two days with BeppoSAX, prior to and partly overlapping the start of a 1 week continuous exposure with ASCA in April 1998, as part of a world-wide multiwavelength campaign. A pronounced, well defined, flare observed in X-rays was also observed simultaneously at TeV energies by the Whipple Observatory's 10 m gamma-ray telescope. These data provide the first evidence that the X-ray and TeV intensities are well correlated on time-scales of hours.Comment: 4 pages, 1 figure, presented at the VERITAS Workshop on the TeV Astrophysics of Extragalactic Object

On the Foundation of the Relativistic Dynamics with the Tachyon

The theoretical foundation of the object moving faster than light in vacuum ({\it tachyon}) is still missing or incomplete. Here we present the classical foundation of the relativistic dynamics including the tachyon. An anomalous sign-factor extracted from the transformation of ${ \sqrt{1-u^{2}/c^{2} } }$ under the Lorentz transformation, which has been always missed in the usual formulation of the tachyon, has a crucial role in the dynamics of the tachyon. Due to this factor the mass of the tachyon transforms in the unusual way although the energy and momentum, which are defined as the conserved quantities in all uniformly moving systems, transform in the usual way as in the case of the object moving slower than light ({\it bradyon}). We show that this result can be also obtained from the least action approach. On the other hand, we show that the ambiguities for the description of the dynamics for the object moving with the velocity of light ({\it luxon}) can be consistently removed only by introducing a new dynamical variable. Furthermore, by using the fundamental definition of the momentum and energy we show that the zero-point energy for any kind of the objects, {\it i.e.}, the tachyon, bradyon, and luxon, which has been known as the undetermined constant, should satisfy some constraints for consistency, and we note that this is essentially another novel relativistic effect. Finally, we remark about the several unsolved problems.Comment: 39 pages, latex, 15 figures avaliable upon reques

Lagrangian approach to a symplectic formalism for singular systems

We develop a Lagrangian approach for constructing a symplectic structure for singular systems. It gives a simple and unified framework for understanding the origin of the pathologies that appear in the Dirac-Bergmann formalism, and offers a more general approach for a symplectic formalism, even when there is no Hamiltonian in a canonical sense. We can thus overcome the usual limitations of the canonical quantization, and perform an algebraically consistent quantization for a more general set of Lagrangian systems.Comment: 30 page