CSF p-tau/Aβ(42) ratio and brain FDG-PET may reliably detect MCI "imminent" converters to AD.

peer reviewedPURPOSE: To know whether mild cognitive impairment (MCI) patients will develop Alzheimer's disease (AD) dementia in very short time or remain stable is of crucial importance, also considering new experimental drugs usually tested within very short time frames. Here we combined cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) AD biomarkers and a neurodegeneration marker such as brain FDG-PET to define an objective algorithm, suitable not only to reliably detect MCI converters to AD dementia but also to predict timing of conversion. METHODS: We included 77 consecutive MCI patients with neurological/neuropsychological assessment, brain 18F-FDG-PET and CSF analysis available at diagnosis and a neuropsychological/neurological evaluation every 6 months for a medium- to a long-term follow-up (at least 2 and up to 8 years). Binomial logistic regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analyses were performed to determine the best biomarker (or combination of biomarkers) in detecting MCI converters to AD dementia and then, among the converters, those who converted in short time frames. RESULTS: Thirty-five out of 77 MCI patients (45%) converted to AD dementia, with an average conversion time since MCI diagnosis of 26.07 months. CSF p-tau/Aβ42 was the most accurate predictor of conversion from MCI to AD dementia (82.9% sensitivity; 90% specificity). CSF p-tau/Aβ42 and FDG-PET-positive MCIs converted to AD dementia significantly earlier than the CSF-positive-only MCIs (median conversion time, 17.1 vs 31.3 months). CONCLUSIONS: CSF p-tau/Aβ42 ratio and brain FDG-PET may predict both occurrence and timing of MCI conversion to full-blown AD dementia. MCI patients with both biomarkers suggestive for AD will likely develop an AD dementia shortly, thus representing the ideal target for any new experimental drug requiring short periods to be tested for

The CSF p-tau181/Aβ42 Ratio Offers a Good Accuracy "In Vivo" in the Differential Diagnosis of Alzheimer's Dementia.

BACKGROUND: The incoming disease-modifying therapies against Alzheimer's disease (AD) require reliable diagnostic markers to correctly enroll patients all over the world. CSF AD biomarkers, namely amyloid-β 42 (Aβ42), total tau (t-tau), and tau phosphorylated at threonine 181 (p-tau181), showed good diagnostic accuracy in detecting AD pathology, but their real usefulness in daily clinical practice is still a matter of debate. Therefore, further validation in complex clinical settings, that is patients with different types of dementia, is needed to uphold their future worldwide adoption. METHODS: We measured CSF AD biomarkers' concentrations in a sample of 526 patients with a clinical diagnosis of dementia (277 with AD and 249 with Other Type of Dementia, OTD). Brain FDG-PET was also considered in a subsample of 54 patients with a mismatch between the clinical diagnosis and the CSF findings. RESULTS: A p-tau181/Aβ42 ratio higher than 0.13 showed the best diagnostic performance in differentiating AD from OTD (86% accuracy index, 74% sensitivity, 81% specificity). In cases with a mismatch between clinical diagnosis and CSF findings, brain FDG-PET partially agreed with the p-tau181/Aβ42 ratio, thus determining an increase in CSF accuracy. CONCLUSION: The p-tau181/Aβ42 ratio alone might reliably detect AD pathology in heterogeneous samples of patients suffering from different types of dementia. It might constitute a simple, cost-effective and reproducible in vivo proxy of AD suitable to be adopted worldwide not only in daily clinical practice but also in future experimental trials, to avoid the enrolment of misdiagnosed AD patients